The contest between Iraklis Yerolakkou and Halkanoras is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 38%. The draw probability sits at 27% and the away win at 35%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% chance. Iraklis, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded, while Halkanoras, on the road against a stronger opponent, nets 1.67 and concedes 1.5. The model’s single selection is Over 1.5, with a 78.6% probability. The recent form shows Iraklis coming off a draw and Halkanoras unbeaten in five, both ending their last match 0-0. This balanced picture leaves no clear favourite beyond the model’s pick, and the match is poised for a closely contested outcome.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Iraklis Yerolakkou, failed to deliver as the match finished 0-0, a draw that extended Halkanoras’ unbeaten run. The model had tipped a home win with a 38% chance, but that call was wrong. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, given a 78.6% probability; it missed. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result of a draw, confirming the unexpected outcome. Iraklis’ recent form, coming off a draw, and Halkanoras’ unbeaten streak were highlighted, but neither side managed to score, leaving the model’s predictions largely unfulfilled.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Iraklis Yerolakkou win✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras win✗ Miss
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
1.10
1.10
1.30
0.64
0.91
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.82
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
2.25
2.00
4.00
0.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
24% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halkanoras
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.40
1.94
1.31
1.64
1.50
vs Stronger (26)
1.77
1.35
1.86
1.21
1.67
1.50
vs Similar (4)
2.00
1.75
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
0-0 ✓
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
Iraklis Yerolakkou goals ↓
Halkanoras goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
7.0%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
1
7.4%
13%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.2%
8.6%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.0%
4.1%
2.9%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iraklis Yerolakkou goals (down), columns = Halkanoras goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 0.28 points worse than Halkanoras in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 0.69 goals worse than Halkanoras in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 0.24 goals better than Halkanoras in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.57
0.60
0.80
0.36
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.47
0.56
0.56
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
3.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halkanoras
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.94
0.75
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (26)
0.81
0.77
0.86
0.79
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.52
0.50
0.50
0.27
0.55
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.35
0.44
0.44
0.38
0.25
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Halkanoras) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halkanoras
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.00
0.56
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (26)
0.96
0.58
1.00
0.43
0.92
0.75
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halkanoras over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →