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Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Spartakos Kitiou Result & Analysis

Date: 03/01/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 1-1
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Vs
32%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraklis Yerolakkou win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L24L11D21W11D11D11D10W00D03LA·DOX04/10H·AYI18/10H·DIG25/10A·AHI01/11H·MEA09/11A·HAL22/11H·ASI29/11A·AE 06/12H·OMO13/12A·PAE20/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.230.861.430.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.780.671.001.000.33
vs Weaker (4)0.752.252.004.000.331.67
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L22D01L00D02L22D11D02L00D04LH·ASI04/10A·AE 19/10H·OMO26/10A·PAE01/11A·AYI08/11H·KAR22/11A·ETH29/11H·NEA06/12A·APE13/12H·DOX20/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.631.531.601.271.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.321.321.201.401.441.22
vs Weaker (11)1.552.182.202.001.002.33
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
Iraklis Yerolakkou goals ↓
Spartakos Kitiou goals →
01234
011%10%7.2%3.0%0.9%
19.3%14%8.1%3.3%1.0%
26.0%7.4%4.5%1.9%0.6%
32.2%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iraklis Yerolakkou goals (down), columns = Spartakos Kitiou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 0.07 points worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 0.52 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou is 0.21 goals better than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L00D11D10W10W11D00D00D01LA·DOX04/10H·AYI18/10H·DIG25/10A·AHI01/11H·MEA09/11A·HAL22/11H·ASI29/11A·AE 06/12H·OMO13/12A·PAE20/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.620.570.860.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.440.440.500.500.330.33
vs Weaker (4)0.501.001.003.000.330.33
Clean sheet %54% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D00D00D02L11D00D00D00DH·ASI04/10A·AE 19/10H·OMO26/10A·PAE01/11A·AYI08/11H·KAR22/11A·ETH29/11H·NEA06/12A·APE13/12H·DOX20/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.670.600.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.740.500.600.560.89
vs Weaker (11)0.820.731.000.600.670.83
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D10W01L01L00D10W00D02LA·DOX04/10H·AYI18/10H·DIG25/10A·AHI01/11H·MEA09/11A·HAL22/11H·ASI29/11A·AE 06/12H·OMO13/12A·PAE20/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.310.620.290.570.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.330.170.500.670.00
vs Weaker (4)0.251.251.001.000.001.33
Clean sheet %46% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L00D02L20W00D02L00D04LH·ASI04/10A·AE 19/10H·OMO26/10A·PAE01/11A·AYI08/11H·KAR22/11A·ETH29/11H·NEA06/12A·APE13/12H·DOX20/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.871.000.670.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.790.580.700.800.890.33
vs Weaker (11)0.731.451.201.400.331.50
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis Yerolakkou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis Yerolakkou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
IY wins
0
Draws
0
SK wins

Head-to-head

Iraklis Yerolakkou vs Spartakos Kitiou · H/A from IY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25APAEEK Vs IY3-0
13/12/25HIY Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-0
06/12/25AAE Zakakiou Vs IY0-1
29/11/25HIY Vs ASIL Lysi1-1
22/11/25AHalkanoras Vs IY1-1
09/11/25HIY Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
01/11/25AAhironas / Onisilos Vs IY1-2
25/10/25HIY Vs Digenis Morphou1-1
18/10/25HIY Vs Ayia Napa2-4
04/10/25ADoxa Vs IY1-0

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25HSK Vs Doxa0-4
13/12/25AAPEA Vs SK0-0
06/12/25HSK Vs Nea Salamis0-2
29/11/25AEthnikos Latsion Vs SK1-1
22/11/25HSK Vs Karmiotissa2-2
08/11/25AAyia Napa Vs SK2-0
01/11/25APAEEK Vs SK0-0
26/10/25HSK Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-1
19/10/25AAE Zakakiou Vs SK2-2
04/10/25HSK Vs ASIL Lysi1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iraklis Yerolakkou
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL0.92
HomeLDDDD0.57
AwayLWDWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%0%33%
AVG goals2.002.291.67
Over 1.5 %62%71%50%
Over 2.5 %31%29%33%
Over 3.5 %8%14%0%
Scored0.770.860.67
Conceded1.231.431.00
BTTS54%71%33%
Clean Sheet23%14%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.19
HomeLLDLL1.43
AwayDDLDD0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%43%24%
AVG goals3.023.242.81
Over 1.5 %74%76%71%
Over 2.5 %57%57%57%
Over 3.5 %40%33%48%
Scored1.431.671.19
Conceded1.601.571.62
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet21%24%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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