This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.80
1.62
0.81
1.86
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.60
0.76
1.38
0.77
1.83
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
1.00
2.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.8%
Under 2.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
Under 3.5
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
1-0
13.8%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals ↓
Ironi Tiberias goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.4%
4.7%
1.4%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.2%
8.0%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.8%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals (down), columns = Ironi Tiberias goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Ashdod
1.20
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is 0.60 points worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Hadera
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is 0.40 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is 0.20 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona or Draw✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
32%
25%
covers Ironi Kiryat Shmona + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona or Ironi Tiberias✗ Miss
68.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
32%
25%
covers Ironi Kiryat Shmona + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ironi Tiberias✓ Hit
57.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
32%
25%
covers Draw + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.5%
Under
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.1%
Under
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ironi Kiryat Shmona, so a minus line means Ironi Kiryat Shmona give that many goals of a start and Ironi Tiberias receive them. At -1, Ironi Kiryat Shmona must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ironi Kiryat Shmona win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.81
0.31
0.64
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.28
0.69
0.31
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.30
1.13
0.27
1.13
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.12
0.36
1.15
0.31
1.08
0.42
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+57pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.50
0.81
0.50
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.48
0.69
0.46
1.33
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
1.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alfredo Stephens42%
Roei Zikri21%
Mohamad Abu Rumi14%
Jardel12%
Lidor Cohen10%
Christian Bella10%
Denis Kulikov9%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura6%
Ayad Habashi5%
Shay Ben David5%
Nadav Aviv Niddam5%
Cristian Martínez4%
Avichay Wodaje0%
Noam Cohen0%
Ofir Benbenishti0%
Dadya Or0%
Dudi Twito0%
Assaf Tsur0%
Shon Edri0%
Yair Mordechai0%
Hamza Shibli0%
Bilal Shaheen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura41%
Ofir Benbenishti31%
Mohamad Abu Rumi29%
Ayad Habashi25%
Bilal Shaheen23%
Shay Ben David20%
Dudi Twito18%
Yair Mordechai17%
Shon Edri17%
Dadya Or14%
Assaf Tsur14%
Cristian Martínez13%
Avichay Wodaje10%
Noam Cohen6%
Alfredo Stephens5%
Roei Zikri5%
Nadav Aviv Niddam5%
Lidor Cohen0%
Christian Bella0%
Jardel0%
Hamza Shibli0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Martínez13%
Hamza Shibli11%
Alfredo Stephens11%
Ofir Benbenishti8%
Bilal Shaheen8%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura6%
Noam Cohen6%
Nadav Aviv Niddam5%
Yair Mordechai4%
Ayad Habashi0%
Avichay Wodaje0%
Shay Ben David0%
Dadya Or0%
Dudi Twito0%
Roei Zikri0%
Lidor Cohen0%
Assaf Tsur0%
Christian Bella0%
Jardel0%
Shon Edri0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alfredo Stephens32%
Jardel19%
Yair Mordechai17%
Roei Zikri11%
Cristian Martínez0%
Ayad Habashi0%
Avichay Wodaje0%
Noam Cohen0%
Shay Ben David0%
Ofir Benbenishti0%
Dadya Or0%
Dudi Twito0%
Lidor Cohen0%
Assaf Tsur0%
Nadav Aviv Niddam0%
Christian Bella0%
Shon Edri0%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura0%
Hamza Shibli0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Bilal Shaheen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona's squad is €1m more valuable than Ironi Tiberias's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Ironi Tiberias have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Ironi Tiberias have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Ironi Tiberias have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera