This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.30
1.12
1.19
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.00
0.67
1.33
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (26)
0.96
1.19
1.23
1.15
0.69
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals ↓
Ironi Tiberias goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
6.1%
4.7%
2.1%
0.7%
1
7.6%
13%
7.5%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.1%
6.0%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.7%
4.8%
3.2%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Kiryat Shmona goals (down), columns = Ironi Tiberias goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is 0.60 points worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is 0.40 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Ironi Kiryat Shmona is 0.20 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona or Draw✓ Hit
69.4%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
31%
covers Ironi Kiryat Shmona + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona or Ironi Tiberias✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
31%
covers Ironi Kiryat Shmona + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ironi Tiberias✗ Miss
57.4%
Avg Implied -
43%
27%
31%
covers Draw + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.6%
Under
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.3%
Under
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.2%
Under
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.9%
Under
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.7%
Under
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ironi Kiryat Shmona, so a minus line means Ironi Kiryat Shmona give that many goals of a start and Ironi Tiberias receive them. At -1, Ironi Kiryat Shmona must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ironi Kiryat Shmona win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.62
0.62
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.58
0.77
0.62
0.23
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.73
0.50
0.64
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.50
0.56
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.62
0.46
0.54
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Kiryat Shmona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Ugarriza52%
Mor Siman Tov25%
Yair Mordechai23%
Jwan Al Halabi17%
Ariel Shirdatzki14%
Mohamad Abu Rumi12%
Cristian Martínez10%
Wale Musa Alli6%
Aviv Avraham6%
Ovadia Dervish5%
Nemanja Ljubisavljević0%
Anthony Limbombe0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
Yaw Ackah0%
Daniel Tenenbaum0%
Itzik Sholmyster0%
Shay Ben David0%
Ofir Benbenishti0%
Ido Vaier0%
Liel Deri0%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura0%
Bilal Shaheen0%
Yoav Karadi0%
Harel Goldenberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shay Ben David43%
Bilal Shaheen43%
Aviv Avraham39%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura33%
Mohamad Abu Rumi25%
Nemanja Ljubisavljević22%
Adrián Ugarriza19%
Yair Mordechai18%
Anthony Limbombe17%
Fernando Pacheco17%
Harel Goldenberg17%
Ovadia Dervish15%
Ofir Benbenishti13%
Mor Siman Tov12%
Cristian Martínez10%
Ariel Shirdatzki9%
Itzik Sholmyster8%
Wale Musa Alli6%
Daniel Tenenbaum5%
Yaw Ackah0%
Ido Vaier0%
Liel Deri0%
Jwan Al Halabi0%
Yoav Karadi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ariel Shirdatzki18%
Yair Mordechai14%
Mohamad Abu Rumi12%
Nemanja Ljubisavljević11%
Ido Vaier11%
Adrián Ugarriza10%
Shay Ben David10%
Jwan Al Halabi8%
Ofir Benbenishti7%
Aviv Avraham6%
Ovadia Dervish5%
Anthony Limbombe0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
Cristian Martínez0%
Wale Musa Alli0%
Yaw Ackah0%
Daniel Tenenbaum0%
Itzik Sholmyster0%
Liel Deri0%
Mor Siman Tov0%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura0%
Bilal Shaheen0%
Yoav Karadi0%
Harel Goldenberg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrián Ugarriza48%
Yair Mordechai32%
Mohamad Abu Rumi19%
Ariel Shirdatzki14%
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura11%
Jwan Al Halabi8%
Nemanja Ljubisavljević0%
Anthony Limbombe0%
Fernando Pacheco0%
Cristian Martínez0%
Wale Musa Alli0%
Yaw Ackah0%
Daniel Tenenbaum0%
Itzik Sholmyster0%
Shay Ben David0%
Ofir Benbenishti0%
Ido Vaier0%
Ovadia Dervish0%
Aviv Avraham0%
Liel Deri0%
Mor Siman Tov0%
Bilal Shaheen0%
Yoav Karadi0%
Harel Goldenberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona's squad is €1m more valuable than Ironi Tiberias's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Ironi Tiberias have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Ironi Tiberias have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Ironi Tiberias have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina