Ironi Modi'in are set to face a clear favourite in Bnei Yehuda, who are tipped to win the match. The model sees a 49% chance of an away victory, 28% for a draw and 23% for a home win. With an expected 2.6 goals, the most likely total is two, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability. Ironi Modi'in, playing at home against a stronger side, average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Bnei Yehuda, on the road to a weaker opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.0 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.6%) and Under 5.5 (95.4%). Ironi Modi'in entered the game after a draw in their last match, while Bnei Yehuda are riding a three-game winning streak.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ironi Modi'in win
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda win
48.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ironi Modi'in
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.07
1.07
1.00
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.70
0.80
1.60
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.75
1.20
0.70
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bnei Yehuda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.97
1.33
1.00
1.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.73
1.08
1.50
1.17
1.93
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Modi'in) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.4%
Under 3.5
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
Ironi Modi'in goals ↓
Bnei Yehuda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
11%
9.4%
4.8%
1.9%
1
6.6%
13%
9.4%
4.8%
1.9%
2
3.9%
6.1%
4.7%
2.4%
0.9%
3
1.3%
2.0%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Modi'in goals (down), columns = Bnei Yehuda goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in is 0.46 points worse than Bnei Yehuda in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Ironi Modi'in is 0.24 goals worse than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Ironi Modi'in is 0.08 goals worse than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ironi Modi'in or Draw
51.2%
Avg Implied -
23%
28%
49%
covers Ironi Modi'in + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in or Bnei Yehuda
72.1%
Avg Implied -
23%
28%
49%
covers Ironi Modi'in + Bnei Yehuda
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Bnei Yehuda
76.7%
Avg Implied -
23%
28%
49%
covers Draw + Bnei Yehuda
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 0.5
Over
63.3%
Under
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 1.5
Over
26.5%
Under
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 2.5
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5
Over
45.9%
Under
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ironi Modi'in, so a minus line means Ironi Modi'in give that many goals of a start and Bnei Yehuda receive them. At -1, Ironi Modi'in must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ironi Modi'in win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ironi Modi'in)
Ironi Modi'in -2
2.4%
Draw -2
6.4%
Bnei Yehuda +2
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ironi Modi'in)
Ironi Modi'in -1
8.8%
Draw -1
14.4%
Bnei Yehuda +1
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ironi Modi'in)
Ironi Modi'in +1
51.2%
Draw +1
23.0%
Bnei Yehuda -1
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ironi Modi'in)
Ironi Modi'in +2
74.2%
Draw +2
15.3%
Bnei Yehuda -2
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Modi'in
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.80
0.00
0.60
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.30
0.70
0.30
0.00
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bnei Yehuda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.60
0.47
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.50
0.58
0.58
0.79
0.43
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Modi'in) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.5%
Under 0.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.8%
Under 1.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.0%
Under 2.5
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.1%
Under
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.2%
Under
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Modi'in
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.90
0.80
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.45
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bnei Yehuda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
0.73
0.53
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.58
0.92
0.58
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Modi'in) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.7%
Under 0.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.5%
Under 1.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.8%
Under 2.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.0%
Under
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.7%
Under
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Ironi Modi'in's squad is €2m less valuable than Bnei Yehuda's (€1m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Ironi Modi'in and Bnei Yehuda have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Ironi Modi'in and Bnei Yehuda have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Ironi Modi'in and Bnei Yehuda have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →