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Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula Result & Analysis

Date: 10/11/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
Ironi Modi
Ironi Modi'in
Vs
55%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ironi Modi'in win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W23L10W12L22D13L12L23L31W02LA·HAP31/08A·KIR07/09H·HAP14/09A·MAC21/09H·MAC28/09A·HAP05/10H·MAC15/10A·HAP20/10H·BNE24/10A·HAP03/11
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.641.911.801.201.502.50
vs Stronger (5)1.801.802.001.331.502.50
vs Similar (6)1.502.001.501.001.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L02L11D14L04L11D22D21W23L10WH·HAP01/09A·HAP07/09H·HAP14/09A·HAP21/09H·KAF28/09A·HAP05/10H·HAP12/10A·MAC17/10H·MAC24/10A·BNE31/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.601.141.500.561.69
vs Stronger (11)0.731.822.001.500.441.89
vs Similar (19)0.891.471.001.500.711.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Modi'in) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1 ✓
5.4%
Ironi Modi'in goals ↓
Hapoel Afula goals →
01234
08.8%5.7%3.0%0.9%0.2%
112%13%5.1%1.5%0.3%
211%9.6%4.3%1.3%0.3%
36.0%5.4%2.4%0.7%0.2%
42.5%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Modi'in goals (down), columns = Hapoel Afula goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Ironi Modi'in is 0.14 points worse than Hapoel Afula in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Ironi Modi'in is 0.05 goals worse than Hapoel Afula in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.05).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Ironi Modi'in is 0.30 goals better than Hapoel Afula in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.57).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D00D00D11D12L01L22D20W01LA·HAP31/08A·KIR07/09H·HAP14/09A·MAC21/09H·MAC28/09A·HAP05/10H·MAC15/10A·HAP20/10H·BNE24/10A·HAP03/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.910.600.600.831.17
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.671.000.500.500.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %36% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L10W02L03L11D11D00D02L00DH·HAP01/09A·HAP07/09H·HAP14/09A·HAP21/09H·KAF28/09A·HAP05/10H·HAP12/10A·MAC17/10H·MAC24/10A·BNE31/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.500.860.250.94
vs Stronger (11)0.361.091.001.000.221.11
vs Similar (19)0.370.790.420.830.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Modi'in) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W01L10W12L11D01L11D01L11D01LA·HAP31/08A·KIR07/09H·HAP14/09A·MAC21/09H·MAC28/09A·HAP05/10H·MAC15/10A·HAP20/10H·BNE24/10A·HAP03/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.911.001.200.600.671.33
vs Stronger (5)1.001.001.330.670.501.50
vs Similar (6)0.831.001.000.500.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L12L01L00D11D21W21W10WH·HAP01/09A·HAP07/09H·HAP14/09A·HAP21/09H·KAF28/09A·HAP05/10H·HAP12/10A·MAC17/10H·MAC24/10A·BNE31/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.640.640.310.75
vs Stronger (11)0.360.731.000.500.220.78
vs Similar (19)0.530.680.580.670.430.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Modi'in) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Modi'in over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Ironi Modi'in and Hapoel Afula have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Ironi Modi'in and Hapoel Afula have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Ironi Modi'in and Hapoel Afula have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Ironi Modi'in and Hapoel Afula have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
IM wins
0
Draws
0
HA wins

Head-to-head

Ironi Modi'in vs Hapoel Afula · H/A from IM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/25AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs IM2-0
24/10/25HIM Vs Bnei Yehuda3-1
20/10/25AHapoel Kfar Shalem Vs IM3-2
15/10/25HIM Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva1-2
05/10/25AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs IM3-1
28/09/25HIM Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-2
21/09/25AMaccabi Herzliya Vs IM2-1
14/09/25HIM Vs Hapoel Acre1-0
07/09/25AKiryat Yam SC Vs IM3-2
31/08/25AHapoel Hadera Vs IM2-3

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25ABnei Yehuda Vs HA0-1
24/10/25HHA Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva2-3
17/10/25AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HA1-2
12/10/25HHA Vs Hapoel Acre2-2
05/10/25AHapoel Hadera Vs HA1-1
28/09/25HHA Vs Kafr Qasim0-4
21/09/25AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HA4-1
14/09/25HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba1-1
07/09/25AHapoel Kfar Shalem Vs HA2-0
01/09/25HHA Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ironi Modi
Ironi Modi'in
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.18
HomeWWDLW2.00
AwayLLLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%60%17%
AVG goals3.553.004.00
Over 1.5 %91%80%100%
Over 2.5 %82%80%83%
Over 3.5 %55%40%67%
Scored1.641.801.50
Conceded1.911.202.50
BTTS82%80%83%
Clean Sheet9%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW0.78
HomeLDLDL0.83
AwayLLDWW0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%12%15%
AVG goals2.542.832.27
Over 1.5 %76%83%69%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %34%46%23%
Scored0.861.040.69
Conceded1.681.791.58
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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