This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.80
0.93
1.57
1.75
2.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
2.75
0.75
2.50
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.45
1.00
1.20
1.83
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2 â
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Ashdod goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.7%
5.3%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.7%
13%
7.9%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.8%
5.9%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.3%
4.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Ashdod goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.17
Maccabi Haifa
1.69
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Hapoel Haifa
1.44
Hapoel Katamon
1.33
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.24
Bnei Sakhnin
1.15
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.12
Ashdod
1.06
Ironi Tiberias
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.82
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod are level in average points per game (both 1.06).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
1.86
Beitar Jerusalem
1.61
Ashdod
1.45
Hapoel Katamon
1.42
Hapoel Haifa
1.42
Maccabi Netanya
1.42
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.09
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Hapoel Hadera
0.94
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.94
Ironi Tiberias
0.85
Bnei Sakhnin
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 0.61 goals worse than Ashdod in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.45).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.27
Hapoel Katamon
1.27
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.30
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.39
Maccabi Haifa
1.47
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.52
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Ashdod
1.67
Hapoel Hadera
1.73
Ironi Tiberias is 0.30 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.67).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Beitar Jerusalem
61%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
59%
Maccabi Haifa
57%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
55%
Bnei Sakhnin
49%
Maccabi Netanya
47%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
45%
Ashdod
44%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
43%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ashdod
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.1
8.4
2.9
2.6
3.1
23.1
23.5
22.8
vs Stronger (14)
8.4
7.6
8.9
4.1
4.2
4.0
22.9
23.6
22.5
vs Similar (36)
8.2
8.4
8.1
2.4
2.1
2.8
23.2
23.5
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
23%
37%
48%
43%
52%
56%
69%
47%
% under line
69%
77%
63%
52%
57%
48%
44%
31%
53%
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.5
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.3
Hapoel Hadera
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Beitar Jerusalem
8.8
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.6
Ashdod
8.1
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Maccabi Haifa
5.0
Hapoel Hadera
5.0
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Ashdod
4.6
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.6
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.5
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25.0
Maccabi Haifa
24.8
Hapoel Haifa
24.4
Beitar Jerusalem
24.2
Maccabi Netanya
24.1
Hapoel Hadera
23.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.3
Bnei Sakhnin
23.0
Ashdod
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.9%
Under 21.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.60
0.50
0.64
0.12
0.56
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.86
0.00
0.67
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.52
0.64
0.64
0.08
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
0.64
0.93
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.75
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.91
0.70
0.60
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.64
0.50
0.50
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
0.67
0.67
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.70
0.64
0.45
0.42
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.29
0.64
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.75
0.25
0.75
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.55
0.30
0.60
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Ashdod
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohammad Kanaan35%
Roy Levy30%
Israel Coll20%
Ori Azo20%
Stav Nachmani19%
Ebenezer Mamatah19%
Ilay Tamam15%
Adir Levi12%
Noam Muche10%
Shlomi Azulay9%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Ariel Harush0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Sahar Hasson0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Montari Kamaheni0%
Luiyi de Lucas0%
Shalev Harush0%
Liav Prada0%
Shahar Rosen0%
Martin Ndzie0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Ravid Abrgil0%
Elia Gethon0%
Asil Kanani0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Agyei53%
Eugene Ansah40%
Ravid Abrgil36%
Jordan Sebban33%
Liav Prada33%
Elad Shahaf25%
Ilay Tamam23%
Shahar Rosen20%
Elia Gethon20%
Ori Azo20%
Maor Yashilirmak17%
Ariel Harush15%
Tom Ben-Zaken15%
Roy Levy15%
Omri Ben Harush13%
Nir Bitton12%
Timothy Awany12%
Ebenezer Mamatah12%
Mohammad Kanaan12%
Noam Muche10%
Martin Ndzie10%
Shlomi Azulay9%
Luiyi de Lucas9%
Adir Levi6%
Israel Coll0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Sahar Hasson0%
Montari Kamaheni0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Asil Kanani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eugene Ansah40%
Mohammad Kanaan29%
Asil Kanani20%
Ori Azo20%
Shahar Rosen13%
Adir Levi12%
Roy Levy10%
Shlomi Azulay9%
Stav Nachmani6%
Ebenezer Mamatah6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Israel Coll0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Ariel Harush0%
Sahar Hasson0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Montari Kamaheni0%
Luiyi de Lucas0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Shalev Harush0%
Noam Muche0%
Liav Prada0%
Martin Ndzie0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Ravid Abrgil0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohammad Kanaan29%
Eugene Ansah20%
Adir Levi18%
Ilay Tamam15%
Tom Ben-Zaken8%
Stav Nachmani6%
Ebenezer Mamatah6%
Roy Levy5%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Omri Ben Harush0%
Israel Coll0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Ariel Harush0%
Sahar Hasson0%
Shlomi Azulay0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Jordan Sebban0%
Montari Kamaheni0%
Luiyi de Lucas0%
Shalev Harush0%
Noam Muche0%
Liav Prada0%
Shahar Rosen0%
Martin Ndzie0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Ravid Abrgil0%
Elia Gethon0%
Asil Kanani0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ori Azo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €2m more valuable than Ashdod's (€5m vs €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera