This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.00
1.38
2.31
1.00
1.64
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
2.55
1.20
3.00
0.83
2.17
vs Similar (19)
1.32
1.68
1.45
2.00
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-0 â
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Ashdod goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
6.7%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.5%
13%
8.0%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.7%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.2%
4.3%
3.0%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Ashdod goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Ironi Tiberias is 0.48 points better than Ashdod in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.85).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Ironi Tiberias is 0.21 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.15).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Ironi Tiberias is 0.18 goals better than Ashdod in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.88).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ashdod
For 3.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 14.9 · Total 26.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.0
10.1
2.9
3.0
2.7
25.8
25.5
26.1
vs Stronger (15)
9.4
10.1
8.6
5.3
6.3
4.4
27.6
28.6
26.7
vs Similar (35)
9.7
8.0
11.4
1.9
1.8
1.9
24.2
22.9
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
40%
47%
46%
48%
44%
77%
80%
73%
% under line
57%
60%
53%
54%
52%
56%
23%
20%
27%
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.7
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.1
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Beitar Jerusalem
9.0
Maccabi Netanya
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Ashdod
8.7
Maccabi Haifa
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.9
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.4
Beitar Jerusalem
5.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ashdod
4.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.4
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.4
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
27.1
Beitar Jerusalem
26.7
Hapoel Haifa
25.7
Maccabi Netanya
25.2
Bnei Sakhnin
24.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24.7
Ashdod
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.5%
Under 9.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.5%
Under 3.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.7%
Under 21.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.93
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.83
0.33
1.33
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.79
0.55
0.82
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.03
0.75
1.19
0.21
0.86
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.18
0.80
1.60
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.95
0.73
1.00
0.12
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.97
0.86
0.64
0.69
1.25
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.71
1.00
0.73
0.73
0.69
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ashdod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ashdod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.62
1.12
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.36
0.40
1.40
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.74
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ashdod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Ashdod
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jean Batoum31%
Eugene Ansah29%
Nehoray Dabush29%
Karim Kimvuidi25%
Eylon Almog20%
Hayford Boahen20%
Arial Mendy17%
Avishai Cohen17%
Ibrahim Diakite14%
Ilay Hajaj12%
Ori Azo11%
Ilay Tamam7%
Mohamad Amer7%
Roy Gordana6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Adir Levi0%
Noam Muche0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Avishai Cohen67%
Raz Meir67%
Adir Levi50%
Ori Azo44%
Eugene Ansah33%
Amit Danziger33%
Roy Gordana29%
Victor Ochayi29%
Mohamad Amer27%
Timothy Awany25%
Tom Ben-Zaken25%
Ilay Tamam20%
Shalev Harush20%
Amitay Yamin20%
Karim Kimvuidi19%
Nir Bitton17%
Arial Mendy17%
Lenny Nangis17%
Elia Gethon17%
Emmanuel Agyei17%
Nehoray Dabush14%
Ibrahim Diakite14%
Ilay Hajaj12%
Noam Muche12%
Maor Yashilirmak12%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Or Dasa0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Jean Batoum0%
Reem Tal0%
Hayford Boahen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Ben-Zaken25%
Adir Levi25%
Eugene Ansah24%
Ilay Tamam20%
Roy Gordana18%
Nir Bitton17%
Lenny Nangis17%
Jean Batoum15%
Karim Kimvuidi12%
Ori Azo11%
Noam Muche6%
Maor Yashilirmak6%
Timothy Awany0%
Arial Mendy0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Avishai Cohen0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Mohamad Amer0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ibrahim Diakite0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
Hayford Boahen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eugene Ansah33%
Hayford Boahen20%
Avishai Cohen17%
Jean Batoum15%
Mohamad Amer7%
Roy Gordana6%
Noam Muche6%
Nir Bitton0%
Timothy Awany0%
Arial Mendy0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Eylon Almog0%
Or Dasa0%
Raz Meir0%
Tom Ben-Zaken0%
Karim Kimvuidi0%
Ilay Tamam0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Shalev Harush0%
Adir Levi0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Liav Farada0%
Ben Hadadi0%
Maor Yashilirmak0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Victor Ochayi0%
Asaf Arania0%
Elia Gethon0%
Emmanuel Agyei0%
Ori Azo0%
Ibrahim Diakite0%
Reem Tal0%
Amitay Yamin0%
Amit Danziger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €2m more valuable than Ashdod's (€5m vs €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Ashdod have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina