This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.43
1.59
1.12
0.85
1.85
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.33
0.20
2.40
vs Weaker (22)
1.55
1.23
1.71
1.07
1.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.7%
Under 1.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2 ✓
7.0%
2-0
6.3%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
1
9.8%
15%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.3%
7.5%
4.4%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.4%
2.8%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.17
Maccabi Haifa
1.69
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Hapoel Haifa
1.44
Hapoel Katamon
1.33
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.24
Bnei Sakhnin
1.15
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.12
Ashdod
1.06
Ironi Tiberias
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 1.16 points worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 2.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
1.86
Beitar Jerusalem
1.61
Ashdod
1.45
Hapoel Katamon
1.42
Hapoel Haifa
1.42
Maccabi Netanya
1.42
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.09
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Hapoel Hadera
0.94
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.94
Ironi Tiberias
0.85
Bnei Sakhnin
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 1.23 goals worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 2.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.27
Hapoel Katamon
1.27
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.30
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.39
Maccabi Haifa
1.47
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.52
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Ashdod
1.67
Hapoel Hadera
1.73
Ironi Tiberias is 0.59 goals worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 0.78).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beitar Jerusalem
61%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
59%
Maccabi Haifa
57%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
55%
Bnei Sakhnin
49%
Maccabi Netanya
47%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
45%
Ashdod
44%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
43%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
For 5.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 14.6 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.6
8.4
3.2
3.4
3.0
24.9
26.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.2
11.7
8.7
4.4
5.8
3.4
25.7
26.4
25.1
vs Weaker (36)
9.1
9.9
8.3
2.7
2.6
2.8
24.5
25.8
23.2
% over line
53%
69%
38%
48%
58%
38%
81%
87%
76%
% under line
47%
31%
62%
52%
42%
62%
19%
13%
24%
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.8
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Beitar Jerusalem
9.5
Maccabi Haifa
9.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.4
Hapoel Haifa
9.1
Maccabi Netanya
9.1
Hapoel Hadera
9.0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.7
Ashdod
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Hapoel Hadera
5.1
Hapoel Haifa
5.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Ashdod
4.8
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
25.9
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.5
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.5
Hapoel Haifa
24.5
Maccabi Haifa
23.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.2
Maccabi Netanya
23.1
Ashdod
22.8
Bnei Sakhnin
22.3
Beitar Jerusalem
22.2
Hapoel Hadera
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.3%
Under 9.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.8%
Under 3.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.6%
Under 21.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.30
0.57
0.29
0.44
0.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
-
-
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.24
0.57
0.29
0.27
0.18
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.59
0.41
0.23
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
1.25
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.40
vs Weaker (22)
0.50
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.38
0.88
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.79
0.50
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
-
-
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.60
0.79
0.50
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.12
0.71
0.62
0.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.75
0.33
0.33
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
1.14
0.73
1.29
0.79
0.88
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kings Kangwa46%
Alon Turgeman43%
Dan Biton32%
Iuri Medeiros29%
Eliel Peretz24%
Paul Arnold Garita18%
Matan Baltaxa13%
Shai Elias12%
Yoni Stoyanov10%
Amir Chaim Ganah10%
Hélder Lopes9%
Zahi Ahmed7%
Miguel Vítor6%
Carlos Ponck0%
Roy Gordana0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Antonio Sefer0%
Rotem Hatuel0%
Or Blorian0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
Samir Farhud0%
Niv Eliasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carlos Ponck33%
Rotem Hatuel33%
Or Blorian24%
Miguel Vítor24%
Matan Baltaxa20%
Lucas Ventura19%
Hélder Lopes17%
Roy Gordana17%
Guy Mizrahi17%
Iuri Medeiros14%
Eliel Peretz14%
Zahi Ahmed13%
Samir Farhud12%
Paul Arnold Garita9%
Niv Eliasi9%
Kings Kangwa8%
Antonio Sefer7%
Yoni Stoyanov5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Dan Biton0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Shai Elias0%
Amir Chaim Ganah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Sefer29%
Roy Gordana25%
Kings Kangwa25%
Eliel Peretz24%
Dan Biton23%
Amir Chaim Ganah15%
Iuri Medeiros14%
Hélder Lopes13%
Guy Mizrahi12%
Samir Farhud12%
Or Blorian10%
Paul Arnold Garita9%
Zahi Ahmed7%
Yoni Stoyanov5%
Lucas Ventura5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Rotem Hatuel0%
Shai Elias0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dan Biton36%
Paul Arnold Garita23%
Kings Kangwa21%
Iuri Medeiros14%
Shai Elias12%
Miguel Vítor12%
Amir Chaim Ganah10%
Alon Turgeman9%
Zahi Ahmed7%
Yoni Stoyanov5%
Eliel Peretz5%
Hélder Lopes0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Roy Gordana0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Antonio Sefer0%
Rotem Hatuel0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Or Blorian0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
Samir Farhud0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €15m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€5m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's attack is €8m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€2m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias's midfield is €4m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€1m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's defence is €3m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera