This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.33
1.53
1.47
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.82
0.60
1.20
0.83
2.33
vs Similar (19)
1.63
1.05
2.00
1.60
1.22
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.1%
Under 2.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Hapoel Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
6.8%
2.6%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
2
6.5%
7.4%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.4%
2.8%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Hapoel Haifa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Ashdod
1.20
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.00
Ironi Tiberias is 0.80 points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Hadera
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Ironi Tiberias is 0.20 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.00
Ironi Tiberias is 0.40 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ironi Tiberias or Draw✓ Hit
65.2%
Avg Implied -
34%
31%
35%
covers Ironi Tiberias + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias or Hapoel Haifa✗ Miss
68.6%
Avg Implied -
34%
31%
35%
covers Ironi Tiberias + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Haifa✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied -
34%
31%
35%
covers Draw + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.6%
Under
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.9%
Under
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.4%
Under
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ironi Tiberias, so a minus line means Ironi Tiberias give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Haifa receive them. At -1, Ironi Tiberias must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ironi Tiberias win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.87
0.47
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.64
0.40
0.20
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.37
1.10
0.60
0.44
0.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.53
0.73
0.53
1.20
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.50
0.69
0.46
1.31
0.54
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.18
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.68
0.90
1.00
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guy Melamed62%
Javon East30%
Thiemoko Diarra22%
Dor Hugi20%
Anis Forat Ayias17%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Itamar Noy5%
Naor Sabag4%
Dramane Salou4%
Dmitri Antilevski0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Orel Dgani0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Aviel Zargari0%
George Diba0%
Aboubacar Doumbia0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Bar Lin0%
Roy Navi0%
Noam Ben Harush0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roy Navi67%
Orel Dgani29%
Noam Ben Harush26%
Liran Sardal24%
Tamir Arbel23%
Naor Sabag22%
Oren Biton20%
Aboubacar Doumbia20%
Dmitri Antilevski18%
Dor Malul17%
Itay Buganim17%
Guy Melamed15%
Thiemoko Diarra13%
Aviel Zargari12%
Dramane Salou12%
Fernand Mayembo11%
Javon East10%
Yonatan Ferber10%
Itamar Noy10%
Yoav Gerafi5%
George Diba5%
Dor Hugi4%
Niv Antman0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Bar Lin0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Javon East30%
Dor Hugi20%
Aboubacar Doumbia20%
Naor Sabag13%
Thiemoko Diarra13%
Noam Ben Harush13%
Dmitri Antilevski9%
Itay Buganim8%
Tamir Arbel8%
Orel Dgani6%
Fernand Mayembo5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Liran Sardal5%
Dramane Salou0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Guy Melamed0%
Dor Malul0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Aviel Zargari0%
George Diba0%
Itamar Noy0%
Bar Lin0%
Roy Navi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guy Melamed38%
Aboubacar Doumbia30%
Thiemoko Diarra17%
Dor Hugi12%
Javon East10%
Dmitri Antilevski9%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Liran Sardal5%
Noam Ben Harush4%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Dramane Salou0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Orel Dgani0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Naor Sabag0%
Dor Malul0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Aviel Zargari0%
George Diba0%
Itamar Noy0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Bar Lin0%
Roy Navi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera