This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.47
1.62
1.38
1.36
1.57
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
2.10
0.60
1.80
1.20
2.40
vs Similar (20)
1.80
1.15
2.09
1.18
1.44
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.4%
Under 2.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
2-0
5.8%
0-1 ✓
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Hapoel Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
5.6%
5.0%
2.5%
0.9%
1
6.0%
12%
8.1%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.7%
6.5%
3.3%
1.2%
3
3.1%
4.7%
3.5%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.3%
1.9%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Hapoel Haifa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Ironi Tiberias is 0.80 points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Ironi Tiberias is 0.20 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Ironi Tiberias is 0.40 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ironi Tiberias or Draw✗ Miss
65.3%
Avg Implied -
39%
26%
35%
covers Ironi Tiberias + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias or Hapoel Haifa✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied -
39%
26%
35%
covers Ironi Tiberias + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Haifa✓ Hit
60.5%
Avg Implied -
39%
26%
35%
covers Draw + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.1%
Under
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ironi Tiberias, so a minus line means Ironi Tiberias give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Haifa receive them. At -1, Ironi Tiberias must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ironi Tiberias win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.00
0.69
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
1.27
0.64
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.56
0.50
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.58
0.54
0.46
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.62
0.69
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.20
1.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.60
0.82
0.55
1.11
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alon Turgeman57%
Javon East46%
Ofek Biton20%
Liran Rotman14%
Roei Zikri12%
Rotem Hatuel10%
Anis Forat Ayias8%
Liran Sardal6%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Dor Malul0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Yaad Gonen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Larry Angulo67%
Roy Nawi47%
Rotem Hatuel35%
Alon Turgeman29%
Dor Malul26%
Bruno Ramires25%
Naor Sabag25%
Saná Gomes25%
Ivan Kričak22%
Oren Biton22%
Saar Fadida20%
Tamir Arbel20%
Liran Sardal18%
Itay Buganim15%
Liran Rotman14%
Yaad Gonen14%
Roei Zikri12%
George Diba11%
Javon East8%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Ofek Biton0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Yonatan Ferber0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ofek Biton33%
Naor Sabag15%
Yonatan Ferber15%
Javon East8%
Roei Zikri6%
Dor Malul5%
Rotem Hatuel5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Liran Rotman0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Roy Nawi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alon Turgeman57%
Ofek Biton20%
Rotem Hatuel20%
Liran Rotman14%
Javon East8%
Regis Ndo8%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Roei Zikri0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Haifa have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina