This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.23
1.44
0.75
0.93
1.79
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.57
1.67
0.67
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.22
1.13
1.38
0.77
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.0%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Hapoel Katamon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.5%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
1
14%
13%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.0%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
6.1%
4.6%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.4%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Hapoel Katamon goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.17
Maccabi Haifa
1.69
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Hapoel Haifa
1.44
Hapoel Katamon
1.33
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.24
Bnei Sakhnin
1.15
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.12
Ashdod
1.06
Ironi Tiberias
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 0.27 points worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.33).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
1.86
Beitar Jerusalem
1.61
Ashdod
1.45
Hapoel Katamon
1.42
Hapoel Haifa
1.42
Maccabi Netanya
1.42
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.09
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Hapoel Hadera
0.94
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.94
Ironi Tiberias
0.85
Bnei Sakhnin
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 0.58 goals worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.42).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.27
Hapoel Katamon
1.27
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.30
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.39
Maccabi Haifa
1.47
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.52
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Ashdod
1.67
Hapoel Hadera
1.73
Ironi Tiberias is 0.09 goals worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.27).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Beitar Jerusalem
61%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
59%
Maccabi Haifa
57%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
55%
Bnei Sakhnin
49%
Maccabi Netanya
47%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
45%
Ashdod
44%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
43%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Katamon
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.8
Beitar Jerusalem
9.6
Maccabi Haifa
9.4
Bnei Sakhnin
9.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.4
Hapoel Haifa
9.2
Maccabi Netanya
9.1
Hapoel Hadera
9.0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.7
Ashdod
7.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.1
Hapoel Hadera
5.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Hapoel Haifa
5.0
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Ashdod
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.6
Bnei Sakhnin
4.6
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.5
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.3
Hapoel Haifa
24.3
Maccabi Haifa
23.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.0
Maccabi Netanya
23.0
Ashdod
22.5
Hapoel Hadera
22.0
Beitar Jerusalem
21.7
Bnei Sakhnin
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.0%
Under 9.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.9%
Under 3.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.7%
Under 21.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.30
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.31
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
-
-
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.21
0.62
0.23
0.36
0.18
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.31
0.44
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.00
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.65
0.38
0.46
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.79
0.50
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
-
-
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.62
0.85
0.46
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.12
0.31
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.86
1.67
0.33
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.48
1.00
0.31
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon have a similar squad value (both €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon have a similar attack value (both €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Katamon have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's defence is €1m less valuable than Hapoel Katamon's (€2m vs €3m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera