This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.97
2.20
0.47
1.73
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.63
1.16
2.22
0.67
1.10
1.60
vs Weaker (10)
2.60
0.60
2.17
0.17
3.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.1%
Under 2.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.6%
0-2 ✓
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
5.6%
5.5%
3.0%
1.2%
1
5.3%
11%
8.6%
4.7%
1.9%
2
4.9%
8.1%
6.7%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.6%
4.2%
3.5%
1.9%
0.8%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Ironi Tiberias is 0.44 points worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Ironi Tiberias is 0.21 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Ironi Tiberias is 0.70 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 4.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.8
1.8
1.7
1.9
29.7
27.6
31.6
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
-
7.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
27.0
-
27.0
vs Similar (24)
9.6
10.0
9.3
2.9
3.0
2.8
29.9
27.6
31.8
vs Weaker (24)
6.7
6.5
7.0
0.7
0.8
0.6
30.0
27.5
35.0
% over line
40%
43%
38%
22%
19%
26%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
57%
62%
78%
81%
74%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.4
Beitar Jerusalem
9.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Maccabi Netanya
9.0
Hapoel Haifa
8.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.9
Ashdod
8.5
Maccabi Haifa
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Beitar Jerusalem
5.2
Bnei Sakhnin
5.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Ashdod
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.5
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
27.1
Beitar Jerusalem
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
25.6
Maccabi Netanya
25.0
Bnei Sakhnin
24.9
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24.8
Ashdod
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.8%
Under 9.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.5%
Under 3.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
91.8%
Under 21.5
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.03
0.57
1.00
0.44
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.83
0.33
1.33
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.83
0.64
0.91
0.46
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.37
0.89
0.22
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
0.40
1.17
0.17
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.79
0.43
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.64
0.45
0.69
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.57
1.20
0.27
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.79
1.33
0.44
0.60
1.10
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.20
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stav Torial33%
Roy Korine31%
Loizos Loizou23%
Daniel Dapaah22%
Ziv Morgan20%
Omri Levi19%
Amit Lemkin11%
Chico9%
Roee Alkokin8%
Xande Silva8%
Andrian Kraev5%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Shahar Piven0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Liran Rotman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Yazen Nassar0%
Doron Leidner0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Tal Archel0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Ran Binyamin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Coco40%
Andrian Kraev33%
Yazen Nassar33%
Ran Binyamin29%
Emmanuel Boateng25%
Anas Mahamid25%
Liran Rotman25%
Doron Leidner24%
Xande Silva23%
Chico22%
Falcão22%
Fernand Mayembo20%
Omri Levi19%
Tal Archel18%
El Yam Kancepolsky17%
Shahar Piven12%
Roy Korine12%
Amit Lemkin11%
Daniel Dapaah11%
Loizos Loizou9%
Roee Alkokin4%
Assaf Tzur0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Stav Torial0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Mor Buskila0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liran Rotman25%
Stav Torial19%
Roee Alkokin17%
Andrian Kraev10%
Loizos Loizou9%
Xande Silva8%
Mor Buskila8%
Roy Korine6%
Doron Leidner6%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Levi0%
Shahar Piven0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Yazen Nassar0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Tal Archel0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Ran Binyamin0%
Amit Lemkin0%
Daniel Dapaah0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Dapaah22%
Mor Buskila15%
Ran Binyamin14%
Emmanuel Boateng12%
Omri Levi10%
Stav Torial10%
Loizos Loizou9%
Falcão4%
Chico0%
Xande Silva0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Shahar Piven0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Liran Rotman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Roy Korine0%
Yazen Nassar0%
Doron Leidner0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Tal Archel0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Amit Lemkin0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €13m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€5m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's attack is €9m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€2m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias's midfield is €1m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's defence is €3m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina