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Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Tiberias
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Ironi Tiberias a 46% win probability against Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel: Ligat Ha'al on 2026-05-13, with 27% for the draw and 27% for Maccabi Bnei Raina. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 19.5 fouls (93%), Over 2.5 cards (90%), Over 21.5 fouls (86%), Under 11.5 corners (82%).

Results analysis

Ironi Tiberias finished 1-0 against Maccabi Bnei Raina (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 46% home win, 27% draw and 27% away win. Missed: Over 1.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ironi Tiberias win✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D21W23L00D00D20W11D30W43WH·HAP07/02A·IRO14/02H·MAC21/02A·BEI04/04H·ASH11/04A·BNE18/04H·IRO26/04A·HAP29/04A·ASH03/05H·MAC10/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.871.571.711.192.00
vs Stronger (6)1.332.671.671.671.003.67
vs Similar (16)1.442.121.752.121.122.12
vs Weaker (8)1.250.751.000.671.400.80
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L04L12L00D02L32W21W01L20W11DA·MAC09/02H·MAC14/02A·IRO21/02H·HAP04/04A·BNE11/04A·HAP18/04A·ASH25/04H·HAP29/04A·BNE04/05H·IRO09/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.832.000.672.131.001.87
vs Stronger (21)0.902.480.912.730.902.20
vs Similar (9)0.670.890.000.501.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Maccabi Bnei Raina goals →
01234
06.8%5.7%4.2%1.7%0.5%
18.2%13%7.0%2.8%0.9%
27.7%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%
34.2%5.2%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.8%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Maccabi Bnei Raina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Ironi Tiberias is 0.67 points better than Maccabi Bnei Raina in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Ironi Tiberias is 0.58 goals better than Maccabi Bnei Raina in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Ironi Tiberias is 0.39 goals better than Maccabi Bnei Raina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 2.09).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (16)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (17)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Ashdod
8.8
Beitar Jerusalem
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Beitar Jerusalem
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Ashdod
5.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
28.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.7
Beitar Jerusalem
27.6
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.0
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Ashdod
25.2
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Bnei Sakhnin
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.1%
Under 9.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.8%
Under 3.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.8%
Under 21.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D20W00D00D20W01L10W11DH·HAP07/02A·IRO14/02H·MAC21/02A·BEI04/04H·ASH11/04A·BNE18/04H·IRO26/04A·HAP29/04A·ASH03/05H·MAC10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.970.571.000.440.94
vs Stronger (6)0.331.830.331.330.332.33
vs Similar (16)0.691.000.881.250.500.75
vs Weaker (8)0.250.250.000.000.400.40
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L00D00D01L32W00D00D10W10WA·MAC09/02H·MAC14/02A·IRO21/02H·HAP04/04A·BNE11/04A·HAP18/04A·ASH25/04H·HAP29/04A·BNE04/05H·IRO09/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.330.870.470.93
vs Stronger (21)0.481.240.451.180.501.30
vs Similar (9)0.220.110.000.000.400.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards90.0%--------
Over 21.5 fouls85.8%--------
Under 11.5 corners81.8%--------
Over 1.579.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards77.8%--------
Over 23.5 fouls74.7%--------
Under 10.5 corners72.5%--------

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (38)
€46m
MH (46)
€30m
HBS (33)
€25m
BJ (39)
€20m
HTA (39)
€17m
MN (36)
€12m
HK (34)
€11m
HPT (36)
€9m
IKS (31)
€8m
ASH (42)
€8m
HH (40)
€7m
MBR (35)
€6m
IT (29)
€5m
BS (39)
€5m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €1m less valuable than Maccabi Bnei Raina's (€5m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Bnei Raina · H/A from IT
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HIT Vs Maccabi Bnei Raina2-1
29/11/25AMaccabi Bnei Raina Vs IT1-3
26/04/25HIT Vs Maccabi Bnei Raina2-1
01/03/25HIT Vs Maccabi Bnei Raina1-0
05/12/24AMaccabi Bnei Raina Vs IT1-0

Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HIT Vs Maccabi Netanya4-3
03/05/26AAshdod Vs IT0-3
29/04/26AHapoel Haifa Vs IT1-1
26/04/26HIT Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona2-0
18/04/26ABnei Sakhnin Vs IT0-0
11/04/26HIT Vs Ashdod0-0
04/04/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs IT3-2
21/02/26HIT Vs Maccabi Bnei Raina2-1
14/02/26AIroni Kiryat Shmona Vs IT2-2
07/02/26HIT Vs Hapoel Tel Aviv0-2

Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HMBR Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona1-1
04/05/26ABnei Sakhnin Vs MBR0-2
29/04/26HMBR Vs Hapoel Katamon0-1
25/04/26AAshdod Vs MBR1-2
18/04/26AHapoel Haifa Vs MBR2-3
11/04/26ABnei Sakhnin Vs MBR2-0
04/04/26HMBR Vs Hapoel Katamon0-0
21/02/26AIroni Tiberias Vs MBR2-1
14/02/26HMBR Vs Maccabi Netanya0-4
09/02/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs MBR4-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Tiberias
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.26
HomeLWDWW1.60
AwayDLDDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.942.883.00
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.281.481.08
Conceded1.661.401.92
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD0.86
HomeLLDLD0.60
AwayLLWWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%12%36%
AVG goals2.622.642.60
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored0.860.721.00
Conceded1.761.921.60
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva3679
67%
2.2
7938+41
3.2
78%
56%
39%
10.0
58%
5.8
88%
28.7
92%
25
0002.21.1
60%
2Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem3676
61%
2.1
7840+38
3.3
78%
64%
39%
8.8
42%
6.0
85%
29.1
88%
20
0002.21.1
57%
3Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv3563
51%
1.8
7246+26
3.4
83%
69%
54%
9.4
44%
5.6
96%
30.3
100%
46
0002.11.3
53%
4Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3562
51%
1.8
5535+20
2.6
71%
43%
29%
8.5
36%
6.1
80%
29.9
92%
17
0001.61.0
47%
5Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa3655
42%
1.5
6647+19
3.1
81%
61%
44%
8.7
38%
5.1
80%
26.7
81%
30
0001.81.3
54%
6Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Netanya3348
42%
1.5
5963-4
3.7
91%
67%
45%
9.0
27%
6.4
91%
26.0
77%
12
0001.81.9
50%
7Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3344
36%
1.3
4556-11
3.1
85%
45%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.41.7
-
8Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3340
33%
1.2
5053-3
3.1
82%
64%
45%
8.3
32%
5.0
73%
27.3
82%
8
0001.51.6
47%
9Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3640
25%
1.1
4857-9
2.9
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.31.6
-
10Hapoel HaifaHapoel Haifa3334
24%
1.0
3951-12
2.7
73%
42%
30%
9.8
45%
5.5
91%
27.0
82%
7
0001.21.5
43%
11Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin3334
24%
1.0
2849-21
2.3
76%
45%
18%
9.3
36%
4.7
77%
25.2
64%
5
0000.81.5
39%
12Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon3331
21%
0.9
2643-17
2.1
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
0000.81.3
-
13AshdodAshdod3328
18%
0.8
3862-24
3.0
82%
58%
33%
8.7
32%
5.6
77%
27.8
86%
8
0001.21.9
46%
14Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina3322
18%
0.7
2669-43
2.9
76%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0000.82.1
-
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →

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