This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.10
1.69
1.08
2.35
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.73
1.45
1.17
1.17
2.40
1.80
vs Weaker (18)
2.33
0.89
2.14
1.00
2.45
0.82
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.5%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
0-0 ✓
5.8%
2-2
4.7%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Maccabi Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
9.2%
11%
7.3%
3.8%
1
3.6%
10%
9.9%
6.9%
3.6%
2
2.2%
4.5%
4.7%
3.2%
1.7%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Maccabi Haifa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.17
Maccabi Haifa
1.69
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Hapoel Haifa
1.44
Hapoel Katamon
1.33
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.24
Bnei Sakhnin
1.15
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.12
Ashdod
1.06
Ironi Tiberias
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 0.63 points worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
1.86
Beitar Jerusalem
1.61
Ashdod
1.45
Hapoel Katamon
1.42
Hapoel Haifa
1.42
Maccabi Netanya
1.42
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.09
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Hapoel Hadera
0.94
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.94
Ironi Tiberias
0.85
Bnei Sakhnin
0.82
Ironi Tiberias is 1.01 goals worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.27
Hapoel Katamon
1.27
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.30
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.39
Maccabi Haifa
1.47
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.52
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Ashdod
1.67
Hapoel Hadera
1.73
Ironi Tiberias is 0.11 goals better than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beitar Jerusalem
61%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
59%
Maccabi Haifa
57%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
55%
Bnei Sakhnin
49%
Maccabi Netanya
47%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
45%
Ashdod
44%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
43%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Haifa
For 5.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.4
8.9
3.3
3.3
3.3
23.5
23.4
23.6
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
5.0
7.0
4.5
6.0
3.0
26.5
28.0
25.0
vs Similar (18)
8.3
7.3
8.9
3.8
3.2
4.2
24.7
27.2
23.1
vs Weaker (30)
9.3
9.4
9.2
3.0
3.2
2.8
22.2
20.3
23.8
% over line
39%
38%
40%
52%
52%
52%
68%
62%
71%
% under line
61%
62%
60%
48%
48%
48%
32%
38%
29%
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.5
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.4
Beitar Jerusalem
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.2
Hapoel Hadera
9.1
Maccabi Haifa
9.0
Maccabi Netanya
9.0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.7
Ashdod
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Maccabi Haifa
5.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.0
Hapoel Hadera
4.9
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ashdod
4.7
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Hapoel Haifa
24.3
Maccabi Haifa
23.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.3
Maccabi Netanya
23.1
Ashdod
22.9
Beitar Jerusalem
22.6
Bnei Sakhnin
22.3
Hapoel Hadera
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.1%
Under 9.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.3%
Under 3.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.1%
Under 21.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.71
0.43
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.36
0.77
0.38
0.25
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
0.69
0.46
0.82
0.35
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.55
0.50
0.17
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.33
0.86
0.71
0.82
0.09
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.71
0.57
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.56
0.77
0.54
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.70
1.00
0.62
1.53
0.76
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.91
0.67
1.00
1.40
0.80
vs Weaker (18)
1.50
0.56
1.29
0.29
1.64
0.73
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guy Melamed40%
Dia Saba38%
Dean David35%
Omer David Dahan33%
Lior Refaelov29%
Xander Severina22%
Kenny Saief12%
Iyad Khalaili10%
Dolev Haziza9%
Oleksandr Syrota7%
Abdoulaye Seck5%
Pedrão0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Matías Nahuel0%
Maor Kandil0%
Gadi Kinda0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Mahmoud Jaber0%
Ethane Azoulay0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Ricardinho0%
Ilay Feingold0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Liam Hermesh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roey Elimelech44%
Abdoulaye Seck43%
Maor Kandil33%
Dolev Haziza27%
Dia Saba25%
Vital Nsimba25%
Ethane Azoulay25%
Ilay Feingold25%
Ricardinho20%
Ali Mohamed17%
Mahmoud Jaber17%
Dean David15%
Lior Refaelov14%
Sean Goldberg14%
Ilay Hajaj14%
Oleksandr Syrota13%
Gadi Kinda11%
Xander Severina11%
Pedrão10%
Guy Melamed10%
Kenny Saief6%
Matías Nahuel0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Omer David Dahan0%
Iyad Khalaili0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dia Saba33%
Dolev Haziza23%
Vital Nsimba17%
Gadi Kinda17%
Kenny Saief12%
Ali Mohamed11%
Dean David10%
Mahmoud Jaber8%
Xander Severina6%
Ethane Azoulay5%
Lior Refaelov5%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Pedrão0%
Matías Nahuel0%
Maor Kandil0%
Guy Melamed0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Oleksandr Syrota0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Ricardinho0%
Ilay Feingold0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Omer David Dahan0%
Iyad Khalaili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dia Saba46%
Omer David Dahan33%
Dean David30%
Lior Refaelov19%
Xander Severina11%
Roey Elimelech11%
Guy Melamed10%
Dolev Haziza9%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Pedrão0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Matías Nahuel0%
Kenny Saief0%
Maor Kandil0%
Gadi Kinda0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Mahmoud Jaber0%
Oleksandr Syrota0%
Ethane Azoulay0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Ilay Hajaj0%
Ricardinho0%
Ilay Feingold0%
Liam Hermesh0%
Iyad Khalaili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €22m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€5m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's attack is €5m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias's midfield is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€1m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's defence is €9m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€2m vs €10m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera