This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.90
1.81
1.62
1.57
2.21
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
2.33
2.33
2.00
1.00
2.67
vs Similar (24)
1.71
1.79
1.69
1.54
1.73
2.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
Ironi Tiberias goals ↓
Maccabi Netanya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
5.6%
4.7%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.6%
12%
7.7%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.4%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.5%
4.9%
3.5%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.4%
2.0%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ironi Tiberias goals (down), columns = Maccabi Netanya goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Ironi Tiberias is 0.12 points worse than Maccabi Netanya in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Ironi Tiberias is 0.42 goals worse than Maccabi Netanya in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Ironi Tiberias is 0.21 goals better than Maccabi Netanya in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.91).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ironi Tiberias
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Netanya
For 3.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ironi Tiberias
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.8
8.5
3.7
3.4
4.0
24.9
25.5
24.4
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
10.0
9.5
5.0
6.0
3.8
26.2
26.2
26.2
vs Similar (37)
8.1
8.0
8.2
3.2
2.5
4.1
24.3
25.0
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
33%
27%
52%
44%
61%
70%
73%
67%
% under line
70%
67%
73%
48%
56%
39%
30%
27%
33%
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.6
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Ashdod
8.8
Beitar Jerusalem
8.8
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Ashdod
4.9
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
28.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.6
Beitar Jerusalem
27.4
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.0
Hapoel Haifa
25.6
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Ashdod
24.9
Bnei Sakhnin
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.2%
Under 9.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.3%
Under 3.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.7%
Under 21.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.50
0.93
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.83
0.33
1.33
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.71
0.55
0.82
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.87
0.88
0.81
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.50
1.67
1.67
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.71
0.69
0.62
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.86
0.57
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.83
0.73
0.64
0.77
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.03
0.94
0.81
0.86
1.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.08
1.00
0.92
0.82
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Netanya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Basam Zaarura40%
Maor Levi30%
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Bakary Konate20%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Heriberto Tavares15%
Omri Shamir12%
Wilson Harris8%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Gontie Junior Diomande6%
Rotem Keller5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Maxim Plakushchenko0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed56%
Omri Shamir50%
Karm Jaber33%
Gontie Junior Diomande33%
Heriberto Tavares25%
Itay Ben Shabat25%
Bakary Konate20%
Wilson Harris17%
Amit Cohen17%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Rotem Keller15%
Oz Bilu14%
Matheus Davó10%
Denis Kulikov7%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Maor Levi5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Davó35%
Heriberto Tavares20%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Maor Levi15%
Rotem Keller10%
Karm Jaber10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Amit Cohen6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Oz Bilu5%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Yuval Sade0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Basam Zaarura13%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed11%
Gontie Junior Diomande11%
Heriberto Tavares10%
Maor Levi10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Amit Cohen6%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Rotem Keller0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Ironi Tiberias's squad is €6m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€5m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias and Maccabi Netanya have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Ironi Tiberias's midfield is €2m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Ironi Tiberias's defence is €3m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina