PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Irtysh vs AKAS Result & Analysis

Date: 08/05/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Irtysh
Irtysh
Vs
62%
22%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AKAS
AKAS
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Irtysh win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AKAS win✗ Miss
15.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

IrtyshIrtysh

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D01L11D21W03L40W10W10W00DH·OKZ15/03A·AKA18/03A·AKA21/03H·SHA16/03H·SD 19/03A·KAS23/03H·EKI09/04A·AKT17/04H·SPO25/04A·SHA01/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.090.641.670.330.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.671.001.000.000.003.00
vs Weaker (8)1.250.502.000.500.500.50
Clean sheet %55% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AKAS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AKASAKAS

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W11D10W00D13L31W01L11DA·OKZ11/03A·KHA15/03H·IRT18/03A·JAS16/03A·KAS19/03A·KAS09/04H·YAS18/04A·SD 24/04H·KHA02/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.111.001.671.000.831.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (8)1.121.002.001.000.831.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %22% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Irtysh) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.8%
Under 2.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.4%
Under 3.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
8.9%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
Irtysh goals ↓
AKAS goals →
01234
05.7%3.7%2.2%0.7%0.2%
18.9%11%4.7%1.5%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.6%0.4%
37.1%6.9%3.3%1.1%0.3%
43.7%3.6%1.7%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Irtysh goals (down), columns = AKAS goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Irtysh is 1.08 points better than AKAS in terms of average points per game (2.35 vs 1.27).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Irtysh is 1.12 goals better than AKAS in terms of goals scored per game (2.73 vs 1.62).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Irtysh is 0.73 goals better than AKAS in terms of goals conceded per game (0.77 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IrtyshIrtysh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L00D10W02L10W00D10W00DH·OKZ15/03A·AKA18/03A·AKA21/03H·SHA16/03H·SD 19/03A·KAS23/03H·EKI09/04A·AKT17/04H·SPO25/04A·SHA01/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.360.670.000.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.671.000.000.002.00
vs Weaker (8)0.250.250.500.000.000.50
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (AKAS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AKASAKAS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W00D00D12L20W01L00DA·OKZ11/03A·KHA15/03H·IRT18/03A·JAS16/03A·KAS19/03A·KAS09/04H·YAS18/04A·SD 24/04H·KHA02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.441.000.000.500.67
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (8)0.620.501.000.000.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Irtysh) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Irtysh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Irtysh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Irtysh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IrtyshIrtysh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D11D11D01L30W10W00D00DH·OKZ15/03A·AKA18/03A·AKA21/03H·SHA16/03H·SD 19/03A·KAS23/03H·EKI09/04A·AKT17/04H·SPO25/04A·SHA01/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.271.000.330.400.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.000.330.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (8)1.000.251.500.500.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (AKAS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AKASAKAS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D01L10W00D01L11D00D11DA·OKZ11/03A·KHA15/03H·IRT18/03A·JAS16/03A·KAS19/03A·KAS09/04H·YAS18/04A·SD 24/04H·KHA02/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.560.671.000.330.33
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (8)0.500.501.001.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Irtysh) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Irtysh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Irtysh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Irtysh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
IRT wins
1
Draws
0
AKA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Irtysh vs AKAS · H/A from IRT
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/24AAKAS Vs IRT1-1

IrtyshIrtysh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/25AShakhter Karagandy Vs IRT0-0
25/04/25HIRT Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-0
17/04/25AAktobe Jas Vs IRT0-1
09/04/25HIRT Vs Ekibastuz4-0
23/03/25AKaspiy Vs IRT3-0
19/03/25HIRT Vs SD Family2-1
16/03/25HIRT Vs Shakhter Karagandy1-1
21/03/24AAkademiya Ontustik Vs IRT1-0
18/03/24AAKAS Vs IRT1-1
15/03/24HIRT Vs Okzhetpes1-0

AKASAKAS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25HAKA Vs Khan Tengri1-1
24/04/25ASD Family Vs AKA1-0
18/04/25HAKA Vs Yassy Turkistan3-1
09/04/25AKaspiy Vs AKA3-1
19/03/25AKaspiy Vs AKA0-0
16/03/25AJas Qyran Vs AKA0-1
18/03/24HAKA Vs Irtysh1-1
15/03/24AKhan Tengri Vs AKA1-2
11/03/24AOkzhetpes Vs AKA1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Irtysh
Irtysh
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.91
HomeWDWWW2.67
AwayDLLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%83%20%
AVG goals1.732.001.40
Over 1.5 %45%50%40%
Over 2.5 %27%33%20%
Over 3.5 %9%17%0%
Scored1.091.670.40
Conceded0.640.331.00
BTTS27%33%20%
Clean Sheet55%67%40%
Corners---
Cards---
AKAS
AKAS
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.44
HomeDWD1.67
AwayWWDLL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals2.112.671.83
Over 1.5 %67%100%50%
Over 2.5 %33%33%33%
Over 3.5 %22%33%17%
Scored1.111.670.83
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS67%100%50%
Clean Sheet22%0%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches