Irtysh vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 12:00

Final 2-1

Irtysh

31%

25%

44%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Aktobe

Kazakhstan: Premier League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Irtysh’s recent form, two straight defeats and a 0-2 loss to FK Tobol Kostanay, suggests a cautious start, while Aktobe, fresh from a win over Kaisar, carries momentum into the away fixture. The model favours an away win, giving Aktobe a 44% chance, with a 31% chance for Irtysh and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected total is 3.3 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.1% probability.

Irtysh averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, whereas Aktobe averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.25 conceded away against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5%, Under 6.5 at 95.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.9% and Away under 3.5 goals at 89.2%.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, an away win at 44 percent, failed to materialise as Irtysh edged Aktobe 2-1, extending their recent win streak. The model’s call was wrong. Home win probability stood at 31 percent, draw 25 percent, away win 44 percent. The model’s selections proved accurate: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 percent, Under 7.5 at 98.1 percent, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8 percent, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 95.8 percent, Under 6.5 at 95.1 percent, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.7 percent, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0 percent, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 89.3 percent. The match finished 2-1 to the hosts.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Irtysh win✓ Hit

31.0%

Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.06

Edge

+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

3.22

Betfair

3.10

Dafabet

3.10

Superbet

3.10

William Hil

3.10

Draw✗ Miss

24.9%

Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.45

Edge

-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

3.65

Pinnacle

3.61

Betano

3.55

Marathonbet

3.50

Betfair

3.50

Aktobe win✗ Miss

44.2%

Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.04

Edge

-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

2.17

1xBet

2.09

Dafabet

2.08

Betano

2.07

10Bet

2.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Irtysh

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.6

Avg scored

3.0

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.47	1.00	2.67	1.07	2.27	0.93
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	1.33	1.44	1.40	1.40	1.25	1.50
vs Weaker (21)	2.95	0.81	3.30	0.90	2.64	0.73
Clean sheet %	37% (+9pp vs league)

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.9

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.50	1.40	1.29	1.07	1.69	1.69
vs Stronger (2)	1.00	2.50	2.00	1.00	0.00	4.00
vs Similar (13)	1.23	1.46	1.12	1.12	1.40	2.00
vs Weaker (15)	1.80	1.20	1.40	1.00	2.00	1.30
Clean sheet %	17% (-11pp vs league)

This opponent (Irtysh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

84.8%

@ 1.23+9.8%

Under 1.5

15.2%

@ 3.68-9.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.28

Betano

1.25

10Bet

1.25

Unibet

1.22

Betfair

1.22

Under

Betfair

4.20

Marathonbet

3.88

1xBet

3.88

10Bet

3.75

Unibet

3.75

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

63.5%

@ 1.76+10.4%

Under 2.5

36.5%

@ 1.99-10.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.95

10Bet

1.80

Betano

1.78

SBO

1.75

1xBet

1.74

Under

Bet365

2.10

Pinnacle

2.05

1xBet

2.05

SBO

2.03

Marathonbet

2.02

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

41.4%

@ 2.88+9.5%

Under 3.5

58.6%

@ 1.35-9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

3.25

10Bet

3.00

Betfair

2.88

Unibet

2.80

Pinnacle

2.80

Under

Betfair

1.40

Unibet

1.38

Pinnacle

1.38

10Bet

1.36

Betano

1.34

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

65.4%

@ 1.63+9.1%

34.6%

@ 2.10-9.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.77

Betano

1.65

10Bet

1.65

William Hil

1.62

Marathonbet

1.60

Betfair

2.25

1xBet

2.18

William Hil

2.15

Marathonbet

2.14

Unibet

2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

11.1%@ 5.96+4.2%

1-2

9.0%@ 7.45+3.5%

2-1 ✓

7.4%@ 9.53+3.1%

2-2

6.7%@ 11.07+3.0%

0-2

6.1%@ 9.22+1.6%

0-1

5.8%@ 7.59+0.4%

1-3

5.4%@ 13.42+2.3%

0-0

4.8%@ 11.32+1.2%

Irtysh goals ↓

	Aktobe goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	5.8%	6.1%	3.6%	1.6%
1	4.6%	11%	9.0%	5.4%	2.4%
2	4.2%	7.4%	6.7%	4.0%	1.8%
3	2.0%	3.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.9%
4	0.8%	1.4%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Irtysh goals (down), columns = Aktobe goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Kairat Almaty

3.00

FC Astana

2.60

Ordabasy

2.50

Okzhetpes

1.80

Irtysh

1.80

FK Tobol Kostanay

1.80

Zhenys

1.75

Aktobe

1.67

Kyzyl-Zhar

1.60

Kaspiy

1.50

Yelimay Semey

1.00

Ulytau

0.80

Kaisar

0.40

Atyrau

0.33

Zhetysu

0.20

Altay (Kazakhstan)

0.17

Irtysh is 0.13 points better than Aktobe in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Ordabasy

2.67

Kairat Almaty

2.50

FC Astana

2.40

Okzhetpes

2.20

Aktobe

1.83

Zhenys

1.75

Kaspiy

1.67

Kyzyl-Zhar

1.60

Irtysh

1.60

Kaisar

1.40

Ulytau

1.20

FK Tobol Kostanay

1.20

Altay (Kazakhstan)

1.17

Yelimay Semey

1.17

Atyrau

0.83

Zhetysu

0.60

Irtysh is 0.23 goals worse than Aktobe in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Ordabasy

0.67

Kairat Almaty

0.75

Zhenys

1.00

FC Astana

1.00

FK Tobol Kostanay

1.00

Okzhetpes

1.40

Yelimay Semey

1.50

Kaspiy

1.50

Kyzyl-Zhar

1.60

Ulytau

1.60

Aktobe

1.67

Irtysh

1.80

Atyrau

1.83

Kaisar

2.00

Zhetysu

2.80

Altay (Kazakhstan)

3.00

Irtysh is 0.13 goals worse than Aktobe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Irtysh

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Aktobe

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

For 2.0 · Against 0.0 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Irtysh

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (39)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (28)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.1	0.1	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (2)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (22)	-	-	-	0.2	0.2	0.1	-	-	-
vs Weaker (26)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Irtysh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Okzhetpes

13.0

Kairat Almaty

10.4

FK Tobol Kostanay

10.0

Aktobe

9.5

FC Astana

8.8

Kyzyl-Zhar

8.5

Ordabasy

8.3

Zhetysu

6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Zhetysu

6.1

FK Tobol Kostanay

5.6

Ordabasy

5.1

Aktobe

5.1

Kaisar

5.0

Kairat Almaty

4.4

FC Astana

4.0

Kyzyl-Zhar

3.2

Okzhetpes

2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Ordabasy

30.0

FK Tobol Kostanay

28.7

Aktobe

27.0

Kairat Almaty

26.1

FC Astana

23.5

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

0.0%

Under 9.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

0.0%

Under 3.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

0.0%

Under 21.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Irtysh or Draw✓ Hit

55.8%

Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.65

Edge

+0.1%

31%

25%

44%

covers Irtysh + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.72

10Bet

1.70

William Hil

1.70

1xBet

1.69

Betfair

1.67

Irtysh or Aktobe✓ Hit

75.1%

Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.25

Edge

+1.6%

31%

25%

44%

covers Irtysh + Aktobe

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Bet365

1.28

Superbet

1.27

1xBet

1.26

Betano

1.25

Draw or Aktobe✗ Miss

69.0%

Avg Implied 70.6% · @ 1.30

Edge

-1.6%

31%

25%

44%

covers Draw + Aktobe

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

1.35

1xBet

1.32

Betano

1.32

Superbet

1.31

Betfair

1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Irtysh over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

77.2%

@ 1.34+8.7%

Under

22.8%

@ 2.91-8.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.41

Betano

1.40

Superbet

1.37

10Bet

1.30

1xBet

1.29

Under

Marathonbet

3.14

1xBet

3.14

10Bet

2.95

Unibet

2.95

Pinnacle

2.79

Irtysh over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

43.6%

@ 2.56+7.7%

Under

56.4%

@ 1.43-7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.72

Pinnacle

2.62

Betano

2.57

10Bet

2.55

1xBet

2.55

Under

Unibet

1.46

Pinnacle

1.45

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.44

Marathonbet

1.44

Irtysh over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

18.6%

@ 6.27+4.2%

Under

81.4%

@ 1.06-4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.35

1xBet

6.35

Superbet

6.10

Under

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.06

Superbet

1.05

Irtysh over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.3%

@ 26.00+2.6%

Under

93.7%

@ 1.01-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

26.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

Aktobe over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

83.4%

@ 1.19+6.5%

Under

16.6%

@ 3.93-6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.22

Marathonbet

1.19

10Bet

1.18

1xBet

1.15

Under

1xBet

4.45

Marathonbet

3.98

10Bet

3.90

Superbet

3.40

Aktobe over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

53.5%

@ 1.97+6.7%

Under

46.5%

@ 1.73-6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.17

Betano

2.00

10Bet

1.95

1xBet

1.94

Marathonbet

1.94

Under

Pinnacle

1.81

1xBet

1.77

Marathonbet

1.77

Unibet

1.75

Betano

1.72

Aktobe over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

26.8%

@ 4.20+5.2%

Under

73.2%

@ 1.16-5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

4.40

Marathonbet

4.10

1xBet

4.10

Under

Marathonbet

1.17

1xBet

1.17

Superbet

1.13

Aktobe over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

10.8%

@ 12.00+2.8%

Under

89.2%

@ 1.04-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

12.00

Under

1xBet

1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Irtysh, so a minus line means Irtysh give that many goals of a start and Aktobe receive them. At -1, Irtysh must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Irtysh win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Irtysh)Actual: Aktobe

Irtysh -2

5.5%

Draw -2

9.3%

Aktobe +2

85.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap -1 (Irtysh)Actual: Draw

Irtysh -1

14.8%

@ 6.08+0.7%

Draw -1

16.2%

@ 4.38-3.4%

Aktobe +1

69.0%

@ 1.30+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

6.80

10Bet

6.25

Unibet

5.20

Draw

Marathonbet

4.95

10Bet

4.50

Unibet

3.70

Away

10Bet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.28

Unibet

1.26

Handicap +1 (Irtysh)Actual: Irtysh

Irtysh +1

55.8%

@ 1.64+3.7%

Draw +1

19.8%

@ 3.56-4.2%

Aktobe -1

24.4%

@ 3.57+0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.67

Marathonbet

1.65

Unibet

1.60

Draw

Marathonbet

3.84

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.10

Away

Marathonbet

3.82

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.15

Handicap +2 (Irtysh)Actual: Irtysh

Irtysh +2

75.6%

@ 1.19+0.7%

Draw +2

13.6%

@ 6.25-0.7%

Aktobe -2

10.7%

@ 8.30-0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.19

Draw

Marathonbet

6.25

Away

Marathonbet

8.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Irtysh

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	0.53	1.33	0.60	0.73	0.47
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.67	0.67	0.60	0.80	0.75	0.50
vs Weaker (21)	1.19	0.48	1.70	0.50	0.73	0.45
Clean sheet %	53% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.2

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.73	0.47	0.50	0.29	0.94	0.62
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (13)	0.46	0.69	0.25	0.38	0.80	1.20
vs Weaker (15)	1.00	0.33	0.80	0.20	1.10	0.40
Clean sheet %	67% (+39pp vs league)

This opponent (Irtysh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.8%

@ 1.32+7.2%

Under 0.5

23.2%

@ 3.01-7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

Superbet

1.38

Pinnacle

1.31

William Hil

1.30

Betfair

1.30

Under

William Hil

3.25

Betfair

3.20

10Bet

3.20

1xBet

3.12

Marathonbet

3.12

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

40.7%

@ 2.54+4.7%

Under 1.5

59.3%

@ 1.43-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.75

Betfair

2.63

Marathonbet

2.53

1xBet

2.53

Betano

2.52

Under

10Bet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.46

Betfair

1.44

William Hil

1.44

Marathonbet

1.43

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

16.4%

@ 6.14+1.4%

Under 2.5

83.6%

@ 1.08-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.25

Marathonbet

6.25

Superbet

6.20

Betfair

6.00

William Hil

6.00

Under

Betfair

1.11

William Hil

1.11

1xBet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.06

Superbet

1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Irtysh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

42.3%

@ 2.18+0.2%

Under

57.7%

@ 1.58-0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.32

Betano

2.22

Pinnacle

2.19

Marathonbet

2.14

1xBet

2.14

Under

Pinnacle

1.61

Marathonbet

1.60

Betano

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Unibet

1.58

Irtysh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.7%

@ 7.90-0.8%

Under

89.3%

@ 1.03+0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.90

Marathonbet

7.90

Under

1xBet

1.03

Marathonbet

1.03

Irtysh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.8%

Under

98.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aktobe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

57.2%

@ 1.84+7.3%

Under

42.8%

@ 1.83-7.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.97

Betano

1.90

Marathonbet

1.80

Pinnacle

1.80

1xBet

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.92

1xBet

1.86

Marathonbet

1.86

Unibet

1.82

Betano

1.80

Aktobe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

18.3%

@ 5.50+1.7%

Under

81.7%

@ 1.10-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.50

Marathonbet

5.50

Under

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.10

Aktobe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.2%

Under

95.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Irtysh

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.8

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.43	0.47	1.33	0.47	1.53	0.47
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.67	0.78	0.80	0.60	0.50	1.00
vs Weaker (21)	1.76	0.33	1.60	0.40	1.91	0.27
Clean sheet %	60% (+32pp vs league)

This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.93	0.79	0.79	0.75	1.06
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	2.50	1.00	1.00	0.00	4.00
vs Similar (13)	0.77	0.77	0.88	0.75	0.60	0.80
vs Weaker (15)	0.80	0.87	0.60	0.80	0.90	0.90
Clean sheet %	40% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Irtysh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

81.7%

@ 1.19+4.9%

Under 0.5

18.3%

@ 3.95-4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.23

William Hil

1.22

1xBet

1.15

Marathonbet

1.15

Under

Marathonbet

4.25

1xBet

4.25

William Hil

3.90

Superbet

3.40

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

55.0%

@ 1.98+8.5%

Under 1.5

45.0%

@ 1.72-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.17

10Bet

2.05

William Hil

2.00

Marathonbet

1.94

1xBet

1.94

Under

1xBet

1.76

Marathonbet

1.76

Betano

1.75

William Hil

1.75

Unibet

1.73

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

26.3%

@ 4.15+4.4%

Under 2.5

73.7%

@ 1.17-4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

4.40

William Hil

4.20

1xBet

4.00

Marathonbet

4.00

Under

William Hil

1.20

1xBet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.17

Superbet

1.13

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Irtysh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

46.0%

@ 1.86-3.7%

Under

54.0%

@ 1.83+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.95

Marathonbet

1.82

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.90

Marathonbet

1.84

Superbet

1.76

Irtysh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

14.3%

@ 5.25-3.1%

Under

85.7%

@ 1.11+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.50

1xBet

5.00

Under

1xBet

1.12

Marathonbet

1.10

Irtysh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.2%

Under

96.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aktobe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

61.1%

@ 1.60+3.5%

Under

38.9%

@ 2.18-3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.56

1xBet

1.55

Under

1xBet

2.30

Marathonbet

2.21

Superbet

2.02

Aktobe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

28.6%

@ 3.74+4.0%

Under

71.4%

@ 1.22-4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.88

1xBet

3.60

Under

1xBet

1.24

Marathonbet

1.20

Aktobe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

7.0%

@ 10.00-2.2%

Under

93.0%

@ 1.01+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	95.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	95.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	93.7%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	93.0%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	89.3%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	Marathonbet 1.03	-	-	-	+0.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	89.2%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-	-2.8%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	88.6%	1.04	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-2.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	85.7%	1.11	1xBet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	-	+3.1%	✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap	85.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	84.8%	1.23	Superbet 1.28	Betano 1.25	10Bet 1.25	Unibet 1.22	Betfair 1.22	+9.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	83.6%	1.08	Betfair 1.11	William Hil 1.11	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.06	Superbet 1.05	-1.4%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	83.4%	1.19	Superbet 1.22	Marathonbet 1.19	10Bet 1.18	1xBet 1.15	-	+6.5%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	81.7%	1.19	Superbet 1.23	William Hil 1.22	1xBet 1.15	Marathonbet 1.15	-	+4.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	81.7%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	-	-1.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	81.4%	1.06	1xBet 1.06	Marathonbet 1.06	Superbet 1.05	-	-	-4.2%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	77.2%	1.34	Pinnacle 1.41	Betano 1.40	Superbet 1.37	10Bet 1.30	1xBet 1.29	+8.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	76.8%	1.32	Betano 1.39	Superbet 1.38	Pinnacle 1.31	William Hil 1.30	Betfair 1.30	+7.2%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	76.7%	1.09	Betfair 1.13	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.09	Superbet 1.06	-	-6.9%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	75.6%	1.19	Marathonbet 1.19	-	-	-	-	+0.7%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	75.1%	1.25	William Hil 1.30	Bet365 1.28	Superbet 1.27	1xBet 1.26	Betano 1.25	+1.6%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	73.7%	1.17	William Hil 1.20	1xBet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	Superbet 1.13	-	-4.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	73.2%	1.16	Marathonbet 1.17	1xBet 1.17	Superbet 1.13	-	-	-5.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	71.4%	1.22	1xBet 1.24	Marathonbet 1.20	-	-	-	-4.0%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ORD (22)

€10m

FA (25)

€10m

AKT (25)

€10m

KA (24)

€10m

FTK (23)

€9m

YS (23)

€8m

OKZ (23)

€5m

ATY (20)

€4m

KYZ (26)

€4m

KAI (25)

€4m

IRT (26)

€4m

KAS (23)

€4m

ZHE (18)

€4m

A( (20)

€3m

ZHE (21)

€3m

ULY (20)

€3m

Irtysh's squad is €6m less valuable than Aktobe's (€4m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

AKT (12)

€5m

KA (9)

€4m

YS (11)

€4m

FTK (7)

€3m

ORD (8)

€3m

FA (9)

€3m

OKZ (8)

€2m

KAI (11)

€2m

KYZ (9)

€2m

ATY (7)

€2m

ZHE (6)

€2m

ULY (7)

€1m

A( (8)

€1m

IRT (6)

€1m

ZHE (8)

€1m

KAS (4)

€1m

Irtysh's attack is €4m less valuable than Aktobe's (€1m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ORD (4)

€3m

FA (3)

€2m

KA (5)

€2m

FTK (5)

€2m

AKT (4)

€2m

KAS (8)

€2m

OKZ (6)

€1m

KYZ (7)

€1m

ATY (5)

€1m

IRT (7)

€1m

KAI (4)

€1m

ULY (6)

€1m

A( (4)

€1m

ZHE (3)

€0m

YS (2)

€0m

ZHE (3)

€0m

Irtysh's midfield is €1m less valuable than Aktobe's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FA (13)

€5m

ORD (10)

€4m

FTK (11)

€4m

KA (10)

€4m

YS (10)

€3m

AKT (9)

€3m

IRT (13)

€2m

ATY (8)

€2m

KAI (10)

€2m

ZHE (10)

€2m

ZHE (9)

€2m

KYZ (10)

€1m

KAS (11)

€1m

OKZ (9)

€1m

A( (8)

€1m

ULY (7)

€1m

Irtysh's defence is €1m less valuable than Aktobe's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

IRT wins

Draws

AKT wins

Head-to-head

Irtysh vs Aktobe · H/A from IRT

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Irtysh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/08/26	H	IRT Vs FK Tobol Kostanay	0-2
09/08/26	A	Yelimay Semey Vs IRT	3-1
01/08/26	H	IRT Vs Kaspiy	3-2
25/07/26	A	Ulytau Vs IRT	1-2
29/04/26	H	IRT Vs Kyzyl-Zhar	1-2
24/10/25	A	Ekibastuz Vs IRT	1-2
17/10/25	A	Altay (Kazakhstan) Vs IRT	1-1
03/10/25	H	IRT Vs Khan Tengri	7-1
25/09/25	A	SD Family Vs IRT	2-7
19/09/25	H	IRT Vs Yassy Turkistan	6-1

Aktobe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Kaisar Vs AKT	1-2
09/08/26	A	Atyrau Vs AKT	1-1
01/08/26	A	Kyzyl-Zhar Vs AKT	3-1
25/07/26	H	AKT Vs Okzhetpes	2-1
19/07/26	A	Altay (Kazakhstan) Vs AKT	2-4
13/05/26	H	AKT Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)	1-1
30/04/26	H	AKT Vs Yelimay Semey	2-1
09/04/26	A	Arys Vs AKT	0-4
26/10/25	H	AKT Vs Ordabasy	2-2
19/10/25	A	FC Astana Vs AKT	5-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Irtysh

Kazakhstan: Premier League

Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWLL	2.05
Home	WWLWL	2.20
Away	WDWWL	1.89

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	70%	56%
AVG goals	3.18	3.35	3.00
Over 1.5 %	76%	80%	72%
Over 2.5 %	55%	65%	44%
Over 3.5 %	32%	40%	22%
Scored	2.21	2.45	1.94
Conceded	0.97	0.90	1.06
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheet	37%	40%	33%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Aktobe

Kazakhstan: Premier League

Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLDW	1.62
Home	WDWDW	2.00
Away	WWLDW	1.30

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	61%	37%
AVG goals	2.70	2.48	2.89
Over 1.5 %	78%	74%	81%
Over 2.5 %	56%	52%	59%
Over 3.5 %	24%	17%	30%
Scored	1.48	1.52	1.44
Conceded	1.22	0.96	1.44
BTTS	56%	57%	56%
Clean Sheet	24%	30%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	2.00	3.00	1.00

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Ordabasy	6	15	83%	2.5	16	4	+12	3.3	100%	83%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	3	4	2.7	0.7	-
2	FC Astana	5	13	80%	2.6	12	5	+7	3.4	100%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	2	5	2.4	1.0	-
3	Kairat Almaty	4	12	100%	3.0	10	3	+7	3.2	100%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	4	2	4	2.5	0.8	-
4	Aktobe	6	10	50%	1.7	11	10	+1	3.5	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	5	2	3	1.8	1.7	-
5	Okzhetpes	5	9	60%	1.8	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	1	2.2	1.4	-
6	Kaspiy	6	9	33%	1.5	10	9	+1	3.2	83%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	1.7	1.5	-
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	5	9	60%	1.8	6	5	+1	2.2	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	1.2	1.0	-
8	Irtysh	5	9	60%	1.8	8	9	-1	3.4	100%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.6	1.8	-
9	Kyzyl-Zhar	5	8	40%	1.6	8	8	+0	3.2	100%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	1	1.6	1.6	-
10	Zhenys	4	7	50%	1.8	7	4	+3	2.8	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	0	2	1.8	1.0	-
11	Yelimay Semey	6	6	17%	1.0	7	9	-2	2.7	83%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	8	4	0	3	1.2	1.5	-
12	Ulytau	5	4	20%	0.8	6	8	-2	2.8	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.6	-
13	Kaisar	5	2	0%	0.4	7	10	-3	3.4	100%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.4	2.0	-
14	Atyrau	6	2	0%	0.3	5	11	-6	2.7	83%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	0.8	1.8	-
15	Altay (Kazakhstan)	6	1	0%	0.2	7	18	-11	4.2	83%	83%	83%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	3.0	-
16	Zhetysu	5	1	0%	0.2	3	14	-11	3.4	100%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	0.6	2.8	-

Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches

Irtysh vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Irtysh

Aktobe

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Irtysh

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Aktobe

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Irtysh

Aktobe

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Irtysh

Aktobe

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Irtysh

Aktobe

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Irtysh

Aktobe

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature