Iskra’s home advantage and a recent win set the stage for a favoured home triumph. The model predicts a 47% chance of a home win, 29% for a draw, and 25% for an away win, making a home victory the most likely outcome. With an expected total of 2.5 goals, the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability. Iskra averages 1.14 goals scored and conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Mladost Lješkopolje, on a three-game winning streak, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.0%), Under 5.5 (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.7%), Home +2 handicap (90.5%), and Under 4.5 (89.1%). These picks reflect a low-scoring affair with a strong home edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Iskra (Montenegro) win
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje win
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Iskra (Montenegro)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.13
1.57
0.93
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.07
1.00
1.12
1.57
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.53
1.20
2.33
0.67
1.00
1.56
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lješkopolje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.10
1.64
0.93
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.33
0.75
1.00
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.52
1.00
2.00
0.90
1.09
1.09
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
Iskra (Montenegro) goals ↓
Mladost Lješkopolje goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.5%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
8.9%
8.6%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.9%
3.8%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.47 points better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of average points per game (1.78 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.33 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.33 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Iskra (Montenegro) or Draw
74.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
26%
covers Iskra (Montenegro) + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) or Mladost Lješkopolje
69.6%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
26%
covers Iskra (Montenegro) + Mladost Lješkopolje
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mladost Lješkopolje
56.4%
Avg Implied -
44%
30%
26%
covers Draw + Mladost Lješkopolje
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
Under
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5
Over
61.9%
Under
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5
Over
25.1%
Under
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Iskra (Montenegro), so a minus line means Iskra (Montenegro) give that many goals of a start and Mladost Lješkopolje receive them. At -1, Iskra (Montenegro) must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Iskra (Montenegro) win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Iskra (Montenegro))
Iskra (Montenegro) -2
7.6%
Draw -2
13.3%
Mladost Lješkopolje +2
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Iskra (Montenegro))
Iskra (Montenegro) -1
20.9%
Draw -1
22.7%
Mladost Lješkopolje +1
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Iskra (Montenegro))
Iskra (Montenegro) +1
74.1%
Draw +1
16.2%
Mladost Lješkopolje -1
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Iskra (Montenegro))
Iskra (Montenegro) +2
90.3%
Draw +2
7.1%
Mladost Lješkopolje -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Iskra (Montenegro)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.57
0.36
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.47
0.25
0.38
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lješkopolje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.86
0.36
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.40
0.45
0.45
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.0%
Under 0.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.7%
Under 1.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
Under 2.5
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.1%
Under
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Iskra (Montenegro)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
1.00
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.33
0.89
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lješkopolje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.25
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.57
1.00
0.50
0.64
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.1%
Under 0.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.2%
Under 1.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.7%
Under 2.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →