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Iskra vs FCM Ungheni Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Iskra
Iskra
Vs
45%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IskraIskra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D00D22D10W11D32W01L32W04LA·FC 07/12H·SPE07/03H·GAG14/03A·FCM28/03H·VUL04/04A·SPE11/04H·OLI18/04A·SHE26/04A·GAG07/05A·SAX16/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.831.641.291.562.31
vs Stronger (2)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (16)1.501.751.621.001.382.50
vs Weaker (12)2.001.581.671.672.331.50
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L14L24L25L22D00D11D42W30W13LH·FC 30/11A·OLI07/12H·OLI08/03A·SHE14/03H·ISK28/03A·GAG06/04H·SPE11/04H·VUL18/04A·SPE26/04A·VIC17/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.302.292.291.752.31
vs Stronger (30)2.002.302.292.291.752.31
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.3%
No
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
Iskra goals ↓
FCM Ungheni goals →
01234
04.8%4.5%4.1%2.0%0.7%
15.8%11%7.4%3.6%1.3%
26.2%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.7%5.5%4.0%2.0%0.7%
41.7%2.5%1.8%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra goals (down), columns = FCM Ungheni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Iskra is 0.11 points worse than FCM Ungheni in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Iskra is 0.66 goals worse than FCM Ungheni in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 2.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Iskra is 0.39 goals worse than FCM Ungheni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D21W10W11D02L01L00D01LA·FC 07/12H·SPE07/03H·GAG14/03A·FCM28/03H·VUL04/04A·SPE11/04H·OLI18/04A·SHE26/04A·GAG07/05A·SAX16/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.790.290.570.580.92
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (12)0.250.750.170.670.330.83
vs Weaker (5)1.201.001.000.001.251.25
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D12L02L04L12L00D10W10W01LA·SPE23/11H·FC 30/11A·OLI07/12H·OLI08/03A·SHE14/03H·ISK28/03A·GAG06/04H·SPE11/04H·VUL18/04A·VIC17/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.061.241.001.221.121.25
vs Stronger (17)1.061.241.001.221.121.25
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D01L00D00D30W00D32W03LA·FC 07/12H·SPE07/03H·GAG14/03A·FCM28/03H·VUL04/04A·SPE11/04H·OLI18/04A·SHE26/04A·GAG07/05A·SAX16/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.891.111.000.290.831.58
vs Stronger (2)0.003.50--0.003.50
vs Similar (12)1.170.921.170.331.171.50
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.000.000.750.75
Clean sheet %58% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D04L02L22D21W10W00D01L32W12LA·SPE23/11H·FC 30/11A·OLI07/12H·OLI08/03A·SHE14/03H·ISK28/03A·GAG06/04H·SPE11/04H·VUL18/04A·VIC17/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.941.411.331.560.501.25
vs Stronger (17)0.941.411.331.560.501.25
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
ISK wins
2
Draws
3
FU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra vs FCM Ungheni · H/A from ISK
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/25AFCM Ungheni Vs ISK2-2
01/11/24AFCM Ungheni Vs ISK4-3
20/09/24HISK Vs FCM Ungheni2-3
10/08/24HISK Vs FCM Ungheni1-1
29/03/24AFCM Ungheni Vs ISK2-1

IskraIskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25ASaxan Vs ISK4-0
07/05/25AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs ISK2-3
26/04/25ASheriff II Vs ISK1-0
18/04/25HISK Vs Olimp Comrat3-2
11/04/25ASperanța Drochia Vs ISK1-1
04/04/25HISK Vs Vulturii Cutezători1-0
28/03/25AFCM Ungheni Vs ISK2-2
14/03/25HISK Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport0-0
07/03/25HISK Vs Speranis Nisporeni1-1
07/12/24AFC Stăuceni Vs ISK1-1

FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25AVictoria Bardar Vs FU3-1
26/04/25ASperanța Drochia Vs FU0-3
18/04/25HFU Vs Vulturii Cutezători4-2
11/04/25HFU Vs Speranis Nisporeni1-1
06/04/25AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs FU0-0
28/03/25HFU Vs Iskra2-2
14/03/25ASheriff II Vs FU5-2
08/03/25HFU Vs Olimp Comrat2-4
07/12/24AOlimp Comrat Vs FU4-1
30/11/24HFU Vs FC Stăuceni0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.38
HomeWDDWW1.95
AwayDDLWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%59%23%
AVG goals3.463.003.85
Over 1.5 %81%77%85%
Over 2.5 %65%55%73%
Over 3.5 %48%41%54%
Scored1.521.771.31
Conceded1.941.232.54
BTTS62%59%65%
Clean Sheet17%27%8%
Corners---
Cards---
FCM Ungheni
FCM Ungheni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.27
HomeLLDDW1.42
AwayLLDWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%33%
AVG goals3.963.834.08
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %79%75%83%
Over 3.5 %56%54%58%
Scored1.811.881.75
Conceded2.151.962.33
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet17%12%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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