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Iskra vs Vulturii Cutezători Result & Analysis

Date: 07/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Iskra
Iskra
Vs
43%
23%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vulturii Cutezători
Vulturii Cutezători
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Iskra hosts Vulturii Cutezători in a Moldova: Liga 1 matchup that looks poised for a high-scoring encounter. The home side has been struggling in recent form, coming off a defeat, while the away side is on a 2-game winning run. Iskra has a strong home record, scoring 2.5 goals on average while conceding just 1.0. Vulturii Cutezători, however, has a poor away record, scoring only 0.89 goals on average while conceding 3.33.

The model predicts a 43% chance of an Iskra win, 23% chance of a draw, and 34% chance of an away win, favouring the home win as the most likely result. The expected total number of goals is 3.6, with 3 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 9.6%.

The model suggests three selections: Over 1.5 (88.6%), BTTS Yes (70.8%), and Over 2.5 (70.3%). Iskra's home win percentage is 43%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 34%.

Results analysis

The away side, Vulturii Cutezători, pulled off a stunning upset with a 1-3 win over the home favourite, Iskra. This result extends Vulturii Cutezători's winning streak to three games, after coming off a defeat themselves. The pre-match favourite, Iskra, was the model's selection with a 43% chance of winning. Unfortunately for the model, its call was wrong. The model's selection was correct in suggesting the Over 1.5 (88.6%), BTTS Yes (70.8%), and Over 2.5 (70.3%) outcomes, all of which hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători win✓ Hit
33.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IskraIskra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D11D00D02L30W20W31W01L20WA·SIR04/04H·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05H·SIR05/05A·SPA09/05H·FC 16/05A·SIR20/05A·UNI31/07← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.671.571.431.501.88
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (11)2.180.731.830.672.600.80
vs Weaker (18)1.222.111.382.001.102.20
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L43W01L12L03L01L11D24L02L31WA·SAX30/11H·GAG07/12H·SPE07/03A·OLI15/03H·SHE28/03A·ISK04/04H·GAG12/04A·FCM18/04H·SPE26/04A·FCM01/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.651.002.251.273.09
vs Stronger (12)0.923.171.292.710.403.80
vs Similar (9)1.112.000.601.601.752.50
vs Weaker (2)2.502.50--2.502.50
Clean sheet %4% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.6%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.3%
Under 2.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.8%
No
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.2%
Iskra goals ↓
Vulturii Cutezători goals →
01234
03.5%3.6%3.8%2.2%0.9%
14.2%9.6%7.4%4.2%1.8%
25.0%8.4%7.1%4.0%1.7%
33.2%5.4%4.6%2.6%1.1%
41.5%2.6%2.2%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra goals (down), columns = Vulturii Cutezători goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Iskra is 0.31 points better than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.49).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Iskra is 0.01 goals worse than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 1.95).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Iskra is 0.15 goals worse than Vulturii Cutezători in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D10W00D02L00D20W20W01L10WA·SIR04/04H·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05H·SIR05/05A·SPA09/05H·FC 16/05A·SIR20/05A·UNI31/07← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.860.640.810.75
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (11)1.000.090.830.171.200.00
vs Weaker (18)0.781.060.881.000.701.10
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L01L02L01L01L01L01L21WA·SAX30/11H·GAG07/12H·SPE07/03A·OLI15/03H·SHE28/03A·ISK04/04H·GAG12/04A·FCM18/04H·SPE26/04A·FCM01/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.000.361.090.560.89
vs Stronger (10)0.301.200.331.330.251.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.750.400.800.670.67
vs Weaker (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L00D00D30W00D11D00D10WA·SIR04/04H·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05H·SIR05/05A·SPA09/05H·FC 16/05A·SIR20/05A·UNI31/07← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.710.790.691.12
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (11)1.180.641.000.501.400.80
vs Weaker (18)0.441.060.501.000.401.10
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Vulturii Cutezători) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L32W00D11D01L00D10W23L01L10WA·SAX30/11H·GAG07/12H·SPE07/03A·OLI15/03H·SHE28/03A·ISK04/04H·GAG12/04A·FCM18/04H·SPE26/04A·FCM01/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.651.200.640.910.671.56
vs Stronger (10)0.601.201.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (8)0.501.120.200.801.001.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vulturii Cutezători over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ISK wins
0
Draws
0
VC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra vs Vulturii Cutezători · H/A from ISK
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/25HISK Vs Vulturii Cutezători1-0

IskraIskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26AUniver Comrat Vs ISK0-2
20/05/26ASireți Vs ISK1-0
16/05/26HISK Vs FC Stăuceni3-1
09/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs ISK0-2
05/05/26HISK Vs Sireți3-0
01/05/26HISK Vs Politehnica UTM0-2
25/04/26AFC Stăuceni Vs ISK0-0
17/04/26HISK Vs Floreşti1-1
10/04/26HISK Vs Spartanii Selemet1-1
04/04/26ASireți Vs ISK4-0

Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VC1-3
26/04/25HVC Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-2
18/04/25AFCM Ungheni Vs VC4-2
12/04/25HVC Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport1-1
04/04/25AIskra Vs VC1-0
28/03/25HVC Vs Sheriff II0-3
15/03/25AOlimp Comrat Vs VC2-1
07/03/25HVC Vs Speranța Drochia0-1
07/12/24HVC Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport4-3
30/11/24ASaxan Vs VC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.50
HomeDDLWW1.88
AwayLDWLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%31%
AVG goals3.262.923.58
Over 1.5 %78%71%85%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %46%42%50%
Scored1.581.621.54
Conceded1.681.292.04
BTTS62%58%65%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Vulturii Cutezători
Vulturii Cutezători
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW0.61
HomeWLLDL0.67
AwayLLLLW0.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%17%18%
AVG goals3.783.254.36
Over 1.5 %83%75%91%
Over 2.5 %65%50%82%
Over 3.5 %52%33%73%
Scored1.131.001.27
Conceded2.652.253.09
BTTS57%50%64%
Clean Sheet4%8%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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