This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.17
1.53
0.94
1.15
1.46
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
2.09
0.40
2.00
1.00
2.17
vs Similar (11)
1.36
0.73
1.50
0.67
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
2.25
0.50
2.50
0.33
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Jaiyq) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
1-3 ✓
4.8%
Jaiyq goals ↓
Kairat Almaty goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
15%
13%
6.7%
2.7%
1
5.9%
12%
9.1%
4.8%
1.9%
2
2.5%
4.1%
3.3%
1.7%
0.7%
3
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jaiyq goals (down), columns = Kairat Almaty goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ekibastuz
2.33
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.20
Yelimay Semey
2.00
Ordabasy
1.60
Turan Turkistan
1.50
SD Family
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Irtysh
1.33
Khan Tengri
1.25
Zhenys
1.25
Kaspiy
1.25
Ansat
1.01
Karshiga Almaty
1.01
BKS
1.01
Chromtau
1.01
Jelaev Nan
1.01
Jaiyq
1.01
Taraz
1.00
Akademiya Ontustik
1.00
Arys
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Talas Karatau
0.50
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Jaiyq is 0.49 points worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of average points per game (1.01 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SD Family
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.67
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.40
Kaspiy
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Irtysh
1.00
Ansat
0.79
Karshiga Almaty
0.79
BKS
0.79
Chromtau
0.79
Jelaev Nan
0.79
Jaiyq
0.79
Ordabasy
0.60
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.25
Talas Karatau
0.00
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.00
Taraz
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Jaiyq is 0.71 goals worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Taraz
0.00
Yelimay Semey
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ordabasy
0.40
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.40
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Kairat Almaty
0.50
Talas Karatau
1.00
Jas Qyran
1.00
Aktobe
1.00
Kaisar
1.00
Ekibastuz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
SD Family
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Ansat
1.09
Karshiga Almaty
1.09
BKS
1.09
Chromtau
1.09
Jelaev Nan
1.09
Jaiyq
1.09
Kaspiy
1.25
Irtysh
1.67
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Atyrau
2.00
Ulytau
3.00
Jaiyq is 0.59 goals worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Jaiyq or Draw✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied -
16%
27%
57%
covers Jaiyq + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq or Kairat Almaty✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied -
16%
27%
57%
covers Jaiyq + Kairat Almaty
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kairat Almaty✓ Hit
84.5%
Avg Implied -
16%
27%
57%
covers Draw + Kairat Almaty
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Jaiyq over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
51.4%
Under
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.6%
Under
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.8%
Under
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Jaiyq, so a minus line means Jaiyq give that many goals of a start and Kairat Almaty receive them. At -1, Jaiyq must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Jaiyq win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Jaiyq)Actual: Kairat Almaty
Jaiyq -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.7%
Kairat Almaty +2
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Jaiyq)Actual: Kairat Almaty
Jaiyq -1
4.6%
Draw -1
10.9%
Kairat Almaty +1
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Jaiyq)Actual: Kairat Almaty
Jaiyq +1
42.6%
Draw +1
25.5%
Kairat Almaty -1
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Jaiyq)Actual: Draw
Jaiyq +2
68.1%
Draw +2
18.2%
Kairat Almaty -2
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jaiyq
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
1.00
0.29
0.46
0.69
vs Stronger (11)
0.09
0.91
0.00
0.60
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.18
1.17
0.33
0.60
0.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.25
1.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Jaiyq) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jaiyq over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jaiyq
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.53
0.65
0.69
0.77
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.18
0.40
1.40
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.55
0.33
0.33
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.25
0.83
0.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Jaiyq) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jaiyq over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jaiyq over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kairat Almaty · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adilet Sadybekov20%
Olzhas Baibek20%
Ofri Arad14%
Dastan Satpaev14%
Edmilson11%
Jorginho9%
Ricardinho9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Valeriy Gromyko0%
Giorgi Zaria0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Luís Mata0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dastan Satpaev71%
Ofri Arad29%
Jorginho27%
Adilet Sadybekov20%
Valeriy Gromyko18%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy18%
Giorgi Zaria17%
Aleksandr Martynovich12%
Dan Glazer12%
Egor Sorokin9%
Erkin Tapalov9%
Ricardinho9%
Luís Mata0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Edmilson0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandr Shirobokov25%
Giorgi Zaria17%
Valeriy Gromyko9%
Ricardinho9%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Luís Mata0%
Ofri Arad0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Jorginho0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Edmilson0%
Adilet Sadybekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valeriy Gromyko18%
Dastan Satpaev14%
Luís Mata11%
Edmilson11%
Jorginho9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Giorgi Zaria0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Ofri Arad0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Ricardinho0%
Adilet Sadybekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →
Kairat Almaty plays in Kazakhstan - Premier League
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →