The clash between JäPS and EIF is a tight one, with the model favouring a JäPS victory but the margins are razor-thin. The predicted outcome is a home win, with a 36 % chance of JäPS triumph, a 30 % chance of a draw, and a 34 % chance of EIF pulling off an upset. The average number of goals expected is 2.5, and the most likely total is two, though the model’s single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2 % probability. JäPS, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while EIF, on the road, averages 1.55 scored and 1.45 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.2 %), Under 5.5 (96.0 %), Under 4.5 (89.6 %), Away under 2.5 goals (87.7 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (86.8 %). Both sides have recently struggled, with JäPS losing two straight matches before a win and EIF coming off a defeat, adding to the uncertainty of the encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
JäPS win
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
EIF win
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
JäPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.33
1.07
1.87
1.47
vs Stronger (8)
2.12
1.75
0.67
1.33
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.55
1.09
1.30
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EIF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.50
1.50
1.29
1.43
vs Stronger (18)
1.17
2.00
1.27
1.91
1.00
2.14
vs Similar (12)
1.75
0.67
2.00
0.60
1.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.9%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
JäPS goals ↓
EIF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.8%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JäPS goals (down), columns = EIF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
JäPS is 0.18 points better than EIF in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
JäPS is 0.04 goals worse than EIF in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 0.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
JäPS is 0.02 goals better than EIF in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
JäPS or Draw
66.4%
Avg Implied -
35%
31%
34%
covers JäPS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JäPS or EIF
68.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
31%
34%
covers JäPS + EIF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or EIF
64.8%
Avg Implied -
35%
31%
34%
covers Draw + EIF
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
JäPS over/under 0.5
Over
68.6%
Under
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5
Over
32.2%
Under
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 0.5
Over
67.5%
Under
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to JäPS, so a minus line means JäPS give that many goals of a start and EIF receive them. At -1, JäPS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal JäPS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (JäPS)
JäPS -2
4.9%
Draw -2
10.3%
EIF +2
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (JäPS)
JäPS -1
15.2%
Draw -1
20.0%
EIF +1
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (JäPS)
JäPS +1
66.4%
Draw +1
19.4%
EIF -1
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (JäPS)
JäPS +2
85.8%
Draw +2
9.8%
EIF -2
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
JäPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.67
1.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.64
0.82
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EIF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.69
0.50
0.79
0.29
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.61
0.45
0.64
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.08
1.20
0.20
0.71
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
JäPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
0.80
0.33
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.43
0.91
0.27
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (EIF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EIF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.07
0.81
1.00
0.50
1.14
vs Stronger (18)
0.56
1.39
0.82
1.27
0.14
1.57
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JäPS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EIF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
JäPS and EIF have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
JäPS and EIF have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
JäPS and EIF have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
JäPS and EIF have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa