JäPS and JIPPO face a razor-thin contest, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 29% for a JäPS victory, 30% for a draw and 40% for JIPPO to come out on top, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total of goals sits at 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals at 28%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% chance. JäPS, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. JIPPO, on a two-game winning streak, averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.08 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 5.5 (96.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.7%), Under 4.5 (90.8%), Home under 2.5 goals (90.6%) and Away +2 handicap (88.1%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
JäPS win
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JIPPO win
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
JäPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.33
1.07
1.87
1.47
vs Stronger (8)
2.12
1.75
0.67
1.33
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.55
1.09
1.30
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.07
1.57
1.14
1.25
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.00
1.00
0.88
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (9)
2.22
1.22
2.33
1.50
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.1%
Under 2.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.4%
Under 3.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
JäPS goals ↓
JIPPO goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
7.9%
3.4%
1.1%
1
8.7%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
5.4%
7.0%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.9%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JäPS goals (down), columns = JIPPO goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
JäPS is 0.57 points worse than JIPPO in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
JäPS is 0.79 goals worse than JIPPO in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
JäPS is 0.02 goals better than JIPPO in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
JäPS or Draw
59.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
30%
40%
covers JäPS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JäPS or JIPPO
69.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
30%
40%
covers JäPS + JIPPO
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or JIPPO
70.6%
Avg Implied -
29%
30%
40%
covers Draw + JIPPO
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
JäPS over/under 0.5
Over
65.7%
Under
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
Under
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
Under
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to JäPS, so a minus line means JäPS give that many goals of a start and JIPPO receive them. At -1, JäPS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal JäPS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (JäPS)
JäPS -2
3.5%
Draw -2
8.3%
JIPPO +2
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (JäPS)
JäPS -1
11.9%
Draw -1
17.5%
JIPPO +1
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (JäPS)
JäPS +1
59.7%
Draw +1
21.5%
JIPPO -1
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (JäPS)
JäPS +2
81.1%
Draw +2
12.2%
JIPPO -2
6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
JäPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.67
1.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.71
0.64
0.82
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.64
0.71
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.38
0.50
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
JäPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
0.80
0.33
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.43
0.91
0.27
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
JIPPO
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.43
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.52
0.62
0.38
0.31
0.62
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.56
1.33
0.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JäPS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
JäPS and JIPPO have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
JäPS and JIPPO have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
JäPS and JIPPO have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
JäPS and JIPPO have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
EIF
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa