The model favours an away win, with Klubi-04 holding a 43 % chance of triumph, JäPS a 31 % chance of victory and a 26 % chance of a draw. The expected total is 3.1 goals, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 23 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.9 % chance, reflecting the evenly matched offensive output. JäPS, playing at home, averages 1.64 goals scored and 1.36 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Klubi-04 on the road averages 2.0 scored and 1.17 conceded. The model’s selection list contains only one pick: Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.2 % probability. No edge percentage is attached. This concise preview covers the favoured result, overall shape, key statistics, and the sole suggested pick, all expressed as percentages without repetition.
Results analysis
The upset came early as JäPS snapped a two-game losing streak to claim a 2-0 win over Klubi-04, a result that was far from the model’s expectation. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, carried a 43 % probability but proved wrong, as the home side emerged victorious. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.2 % chance, hit, as the match produced two goals. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 fell short, and the predicted 2-0 outcome was not the chosen outcome. The final score of 2-0 confirmed the home win, overturning the model’s forecast.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
JäPS win✓ Hit
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
JäPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
1.46
1.31
1.76
1.41
vs Stronger (6)
2.50
1.50
0.50
1.00
3.50
1.75
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.33
1.64
1.36
1.23
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.63
2.00
1.82
1.92
1.38
vs Stronger (5)
2.80
2.80
3.25
2.50
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (25)
1.80
1.40
1.62
1.62
2.00
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
JäPS goals ↓
Klubi-04 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
6.7%
6.6%
3.7%
1.6%
1
5.4%
12%
9.1%
5.1%
2.2%
2
4.5%
7.5%
6.3%
3.5%
1.5%
3
2.1%
3.5%
2.9%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.2%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JäPS goals (down), columns = Klubi-04 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.71
Kooteepee
2.17
PK-35
2.00
JIPPO
1.86
JäPS
1.50
EIF
1.43
Klubi-04
1.00
SJK Akatemia
0.86
MP
0.71
KäPa
0.12
JäPS is 0.50 points better than Klubi-04 in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.71
PK-35
1.86
Kooteepee
1.50
JIPPO
1.43
MP
1.43
Klubi-04
1.12
KäPa
0.88
EIF
0.86
JäPS
0.83
SJK Akatemia
0.71
JäPS is 0.29 goals worse than Klubi-04 in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EIF
0.71
Haka
0.86
Kooteepee
1.00
JIPPO
1.00
JäPS
1.00
PK-35
1.00
SJK Akatemia
1.43
Klubi-04
1.62
MP
2.14
KäPa
2.25
JäPS is 0.62 goals better than Klubi-04 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
JäPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.46
0.85
0.65
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.83
0.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.75
0.55
0.91
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.88
0.82
0.85
0.77
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
1.50
0.75
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.72
0.69
0.85
0.83
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JäPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
JäPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
1.00
0.46
1.12
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
0.67
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.75
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.58
1.09
0.45
0.85
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Klubi-04) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Klubi-04
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.83
1.12
1.00
1.08
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.60
1.75
1.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.68
0.92
0.77
1.17
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (JäPS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JäPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JäPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Klubi-04 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SA (28)
€4m
SA (30)
€4m
HAK (24)
€1m
KOO (24)
€1m
JIP (25)
€1m
PK- (22)
€1m
EIF (21)
€1m
JÄP (27)
€1m
KÄP (30)
€1m
MP (30)
€0m
KLU (26)
€0m
JäPS and Klubi-04 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
PK-35
JIPPO
Kooteepee
EIF
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa