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Jas Qyran vs Astana II Result & Analysis

Date: 03/10/2023
Time: 09:00
Final 1-3
Jas Qyran
Jas Qyran
Vs
77%
14%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Astana II
Astana II
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Jas Qyran win✗ Miss
77.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Astana II win✓ Hit
8.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Jas QyranJas Qyran

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L11D10W01L23L51W11D00D02LH·AKT21/07A·YEL28/07H·EKI04/08A·KHA10/08H·ZHE17/08A·KYR24/08H·AKA31/08A·ARY14/09H·SPO21/09A·AKZ27/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.921.792.581.081.252.50
vs Stronger (4)0.001.750.001.000.002.50
vs Similar (20)2.301.803.101.101.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Astana IIAstana II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L04L32W12L02L21W42W30W15L05LA·YAS13/07H·YEL21/07A·EKI27/07H·KHA04/08A·ZHE11/08H·KYR18/08A·AKA25/08H·ARY01/09A·SPO15/09H·AKZ22/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.771.362.501.003.00
vs Stronger (12)1.173.421.832.330.504.50
vs Similar (17)1.062.471.002.621.112.33
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Jas Qyran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.6%
Under 2.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
8.3%
3-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
6.3%
1-1
6.0%
1-0
4.9%
Jas Qyran goals ↓
Astana II goals →
01234
02.3%1.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%
14.9%6.0%2.7%0.9%0.2%
28.2%8.2%4.1%1.4%0.3%
38.3%8.3%4.1%1.4%0.3%
46.3%6.3%3.1%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jas Qyran goals (down), columns = Astana II goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Jas Qyran is 0.46 points better than Astana II in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.68).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Jas Qyran is 0.64 goals better than Astana II in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Jas Qyran is 1.18 goals better than Astana II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 3.04).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Jas QyranJas Qyran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W01L21W10W00D00D01LH·AKT21/07A·YEL28/07H·EKI04/08A·KHA10/08H·ZHE17/08A·KYR24/08H·AKA31/08A·ARY14/09H·SPO21/09A·AKZ27/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.710.670.420.671.00
vs Stronger (4)0.000.250.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.800.800.400.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Astana IIAstana II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L12L00D00D21W40W20W01L04LA·YAS13/07H·YEL21/07A·EKI27/07H·KHA04/08A·ZHE11/08H·KYR18/08A·AKA25/08H·ARY01/09A·SPO15/09H·AKZ22/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.200.921.080.591.29
vs Stronger (12)0.831.331.500.830.171.83
vs Similar (17)0.651.180.431.290.801.10
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Jas Qyran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jas Qyran over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jas Qyran over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jas Qyran over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Jas QyranJas Qyran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L11D00D00D02L41W11D00D01LH·AKT21/07A·YEL28/07H·EKI04/08A·KHA10/08H·ZHE17/08A·KYR24/08H·AKA31/08A·ARY14/09H·SPO21/09A·AKZ27/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.251.081.920.670.581.50
vs Stronger (4)0.001.500.000.500.002.50
vs Similar (20)1.501.002.300.700.701.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Astana II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Astana IIAstana II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L03L20W12L02L00D02L10W14L01LA·YAS13/07H·YEL21/07A·EKI27/07H·KHA04/08A·ZHE11/08H·KYR18/08A·AKA25/08H·ARY01/09A·SPO15/09H·AKZ22/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.570.381.380.531.71
vs Stronger (12)0.332.080.331.500.332.67
vs Similar (17)0.471.290.431.290.501.30
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Jas Qyran) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jas Qyran over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jas Qyran over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jas Qyran over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Astana II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Home win77.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.576.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
JQ wins
0
Draws
0
AI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jas Qyran vs Astana II · H/A from JQ
DateH/AGameScore
22/06/23AAstana II Vs JQ1-3

Jas QyranJas Qyran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23AAkzhayik Vs JQ2-0
21/09/23HJQ Vs Sport Academy Kairat0-0
14/09/23AArys Vs JQ1-1
31/08/23HJQ Vs Akademiya Ontustik5-1
24/08/23AKyran Vs JQ3-2
17/08/23HJQ Vs Zhenys0-1
10/08/23AKhan Tengri Vs JQ0-1
04/08/23HJQ Vs Ekibastuz1-1
28/07/23AYelimay Semey Vs JQ2-0
21/07/23HJQ Vs Aktobe Jas1-0

Astana IIAstana II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/23HAI Vs Akzhayik0-5
15/09/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs AI5-1
01/09/23HAI Vs Arys3-0
25/08/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AI2-4
18/08/23HAI Vs Kyran2-1
11/08/23AZhenys Vs AI2-0
04/08/23HAI Vs Khan Tengri1-2
27/07/23AEkibastuz Vs AI2-3
21/07/23HAI Vs Yelimay Semey0-4
13/07/23AYassy Turkistan Vs AI3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jas Qyran
Jas Qyran
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.29
HomeWDLWD1.92
AwayLWLDL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%58%17%
AVG goals3.713.673.75
Over 1.5 %83%75%92%
Over 2.5 %58%50%67%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.922.581.25
Conceded1.791.082.50
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet21%33%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Astana II
Astana II
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL0.88
HomeLLWWL1.12
AwayLWLWL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%32%17%
AVG goals4.083.844.33
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %82%80%83%
Over 3.5 %55%56%54%
Scored1.511.841.17
Conceded2.572.003.17
BTTS57%68%46%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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