Javor is the clear favourite to win at home, with the model predicting a 74% chance of victory. This is largely due to the home side's strong form at their venue, where they have averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against opponents of similar strength. In contrast, OFK Vršac has struggled on the road, scoring just 0.82 goals per match and conceding 1.73.
The model predicts a 19% chance of a draw and an 8% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.8, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 2-0 to Javor, with a 14.9% probability.
The model's selection is the home win, and it also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.5% probability. Additionally, the model's selection is the home win, with a 73.5% probability, providing a slight edge.
Results analysis
In a shocking turn of events, OFK Vršac stunned Javor with a 1-2 away win, extending their 2-game winning run. This result marked the first defeat for Javor in their last 5 matches, which had seen them come off a defeat. The pre-match favourite, Javor, did not come through, as the model had predicted. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect. The model's other selection, Over 1.5, hit, with a probability of 77.5%. The model's call for a home win was wrong, with a pre-match probability of 74%. The suggested pick of Home win, also made by the model, missed, with a probability of 73.6%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Javor win✗ Miss
73.6%
Avg Implied 58.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Dafabet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Draw✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.66
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
OFK Vršac win✓ Hit
7.7%
Avg Implied 16.7% · @ 5.41
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Dafabet
5.40
1xBet
5.23
Marathonbet
5.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Javor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.40
1.38
1.00
1.00
1.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.12
0.80
1.20
0.67
3.67
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.14
1.30
0.90
1.09
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
1.00
5.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Vršac
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.03
1.20
0.67
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.11
1.29
0.71
0.77
1.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Javor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
@ 1.28+7.1%
Under 1.5
22.5%
@ 3.05-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.94+5.5%
Under 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.73-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
@ 3.31+3.1%
Under 3.5
69.5%
@ 1.25-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
3.25
Under
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
@ 1.94-6.8%
No
59.6%
@ 1.73+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Unibet
1.92
No
Unibet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.9%@ 5.92+8.1%
1-0
12.7%@ 5.33+5.2%
3-0
10.9%@ 9.50+6.7%
1-1
8.8%@ 6.50+2.6%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.17+3.2%
0-0
7.0%@ 8.50+2.2%
3-1
6.4%@ 11.33+2.9%
4-0
6.0%@ 19.00+3.9%
Javor goals ↓
OFK Vršac goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
2.8%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
1
13%
8.8%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.8%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
11%
6.4%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
6.0%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Javor goals (down), columns = OFK Vršac goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Borac Cacak
2.50
TSC Backa Topola
2.00
OFK Vršac
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
Javor
1.83
Napredak
1.67
Dubočica
1.67
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.50
Loznica
1.17
FK Vozdovac
1.17
Teleoptik
0.83
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
Naftagas
0.67
Jedinstvo Ub
0.67
Metalac GM
0.67
Grafičar
0.67
Javor is 0.17 points worse than OFK Vršac in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Javor
2.50
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.33
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
1.83
TSC Backa Topola
1.67
OFK Vršac
1.50
Dubočica
1.50
Teleoptik
1.33
Loznica
1.33
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Napredak
1.00
Metalac GM
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Javor is 1.00 goals better than OFK Vršac in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
OFK Vršac
1.00
Javor
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.17
Loznica
1.17
Napredak
1.17
Dubočica
1.17
Borac Cacak
1.17
Naftagas
1.50
Jedinstvo Ub
1.83
OFK Bor 1919
1.83
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.83
Metalac GM
1.83
Grafičar
1.83
Teleoptik
2.17
Javor and OFK Vršac are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Javor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.81
0.25
0.57
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.75
0.60
0.20
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.52
0.70
0.20
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Vršac
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.47
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.74
0.50
0.50
0.54
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Javor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Javor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Javor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Javor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Javor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.56
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.38
0.20
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.62
0.60
0.70
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFK Vršac
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.73
0.20
0.20
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.37
0.79
0.21
0.23
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Javor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Javor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Javor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Javor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
77.5%
1.28
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home win
73.6%
1.54
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Dafabet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
10Bet
1.50
+14.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Javor · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Herve Toure29%
Bayere Loue26%
Aleksa Radonjić21%
Petar Petrović12%
Boubacari Doucoure11%
Benjamin Acquah8%
Mateja Zuvić8%
Lazar Mićić8%
Ognjen Krsmanović7%
Mass Sise7%
Stefan Vilotic5%
Dušan Pantelić5%
Ibrahim Tanko4%
Nemanja Đokić3%
Kayode Saliman3%
Marko Bjeković3%
Mamane Amadou Sabo3%
Đorđe Skoko3%
Nikola Vasiljević0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Stefan Milošević0%
Milan Ilić0%
Dimitrije Stevanović0%
Andreja Ristić0%
Dušan Ristić0%
Martin Andjelkovic0%
Petar Đoković0%
Boasiako Francis Antwi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan Vilotic33%
Mamane Amadou Sabo27%
Boubacari Doucoure23%
Petar Petrović21%
Benjamin Acquah17%
Đorđe Skoko17%
Stefan Milošević16%
Mateja Zuvić15%
Herve Toure14%
Ognjen Krsmanović14%
Aleksa Radonjić14%
Kayode Saliman13%
Milan Ilić12%
Dušan Pantelić9%
Ibrahim Tanko8%
Lazar Mićić8%
Mass Sise7%
Petar Đoković7%
Bayere Loue6%
Marko Bjeković6%
Nikola Vasiljević3%
Nemanja Đokić3%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Dimitrije Stevanović0%
Andreja Ristić0%
Dušan Ristić0%
Martin Andjelkovic0%
Boasiako Francis Antwi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Bjeković15%
Herve Toure14%
Lazar Mićić12%
Kayode Saliman10%
Stefan Vilotic10%
Mamane Amadou Sabo9%
Petar Đoković7%
Bayere Loue6%
Petar Petrović6%
Boubacari Doucoure6%
Dušan Pantelić5%
Stefan Milošević4%
Aleksa Radonjić3%
Nemanja Đokić3%
Đorđe Skoko3%
Nikola Vasiljević0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Ibrahim Tanko0%
Milan Ilić0%
Mateja Zuvić0%
Dimitrije Stevanović0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Mass Sise0%
Andreja Ristić0%
Dušan Ristić0%
Ognjen Krsmanović0%
Martin Andjelkovic0%
Boasiako Francis Antwi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa Radonjić17%
Herve Toure14%
Ognjen Krsmanović14%
Bayere Loue10%
Kayode Saliman10%
Benjamin Acquah8%
Nemanja Đokić7%
Lazar Mićić4%
Marko Bjeković3%
Petar Petrović3%
Boubacari Doucoure3%
Nikola Vasiljević0%
Dušan Pantelić0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Ibrahim Tanko0%
Stefan Milošević0%
Stefan Vilotic0%
Milan Ilić0%
Mateja Zuvić0%
Dimitrije Stevanović0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
Mass Sise0%
Andreja Ristić0%
Dušan Ristić0%
Đorđe Skoko0%
Martin Andjelkovic0%
Petar Đoković0%
Boasiako Francis Antwi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (24)
€10m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
OB1 (17)
€2m
DUB (17)
€1m
TEL (7)
€1m
Javor's squad is €2m more valuable than OFK Vršac's (€5m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (9)
€5m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
OB1 (6)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Javor and OFK Vršac have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
OB1 (3)
€0m
TEL (1)
€0m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Javor and OFK Vršac have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAP (12)
€5m
TBT (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OB1 (8)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Javor's defence is €1m more valuable than OFK Vršac's (€3m vs €1m).
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Borac Cacak
Semendrija 1924
TSC Backa Topola
Dubočica
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Loznica
FK Vozdovac
Teleoptik
OFK Bor 1919
Naftagas
Metalac GM
Jedinstvo Ub
Grafičar