JDFS Alberts vs Rēzekne FA Result & Analysis

JDFS Alberts, riding a three-game winning streak, are the clear favourite to secure a home victory, a result the model rates at 77%. Their recent form shows they average 2.33 goals per game while conceding only 0.75, a strong performance against a “stronger” opponent tier. In contrast, Rēzekne FA, on a five-game losing run, have managed only 0.67 goals and allowed 2.67, struggling even in a “weaker” away environment. The expected total is 3.7 goals, with the most probable total being three goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, a 10.3% chance, and the model’s suggested picks include a 88.5% chance of Over 1.5, a 77.4% chance of a Home win, and a 70.6% chance of Over 2.5. The probabilities for the match outcome are 77% for a home win, 15% for a draw, and 8% for an away win.

The match saw JDFS Alberts extend their three-game winning run at home, while Rēzekne FA endured a five-match losing streak away. The final score was 8-1, confirming a home win. The model had picked a home win with a 77.4% probability, and this call was correct. The suggested selections were all fulfilled: Over 1.5 goals hit with an 88.5% chance, Home win hit at 77.4%, and Over 2.5 goals hit at 70.6%. The most likely scoreline of 2-0 was not reached, but the dominant 8-1 result still aligned with the model’s overall prediction.