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JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
Vs
27%
23%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

JDFS Alberts wināœ— Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ“ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II wināœ— Miss
50.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W50W10W11D12L11D33D60W60W31WA·DIN23/10A·TUK29/10A·SMI05/11A·SKA13/11H·SMI08/04H·SAL15/04H·TUK23/04A·DIN29/04H·BEI06/05A·RĒZ14/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.001.810.881.931.14
vs Stronger (25)1.760.801.850.771.670.83
vs Similar (2)1.503.501.001.002.006.00
vs Weaker (3)3.001.002.001.505.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W31W14L35L40W50W40W01L31W40WH·RÄŖG22/10A·RĒZ30/10H·FS 05/11A·GRO13/11H·BEI11/04A·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05H·RÄŖG14/05
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.370.933.200.873.531.00
vs Stronger (23)3.170.912.920.753.451.09
vs Similar (5)4.001.005.501.503.000.67
vs Weaker (2)4.001.002.001.006.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.1%
Under 2.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.9%
Under 3.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.5%
No
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 āœ“
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-3
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
JDFS Alberts goals ↓
Riga FC II goals →
01234
03.5%4.8%5.9%4.1%2.1%
13.2%9.4%9.0%6.3%3.3%
23.1%6.5%6.8%4.8%2.5%
31.6%3.3%3.5%2.4%1.3%
40.6%1.3%1.3%0.9%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JDFS Alberts goals (down), columns = Riga FC II goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Grobiņa
2.54
Riga FC II
2.44
Skanste
2.19
JDFS Alberts
1.81
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
RÄ«gas FS II
1.42
Beitar
1.32
Tukums II
1.27
JFK Ventspils
1.08
Valmiera II
1.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.88
Smiltene
0.85
Dinamo RÄ«ga
0.82
Rēzekne FA
0.40
JDFS Alberts is 0.63 points worse than Riga FC II in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 2.44).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga FC II
3.28
Grobiņa
2.73
JDFS Alberts
2.31
RÄ«gas FS II
2.23
Skanste
2.23
Beitar
1.64
Tukums II
1.58
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.38
Dinamo RÄ«ga
1.23
Smiltene
1.19
Valmiera II
1.15
JFK Ventspils
0.84
Rēzekne FA
0.60
JDFS Alberts is 0.97 goals worse than Riga FC II in terms of goals scored per game (2.31 vs 3.28).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Riga FC II
0.60
Grobiņa
0.65
Skanste
0.92
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.08
JFK Ventspils
1.16
JDFS Alberts
1.38
Valmiera II
1.54
RÄ«gas FS II
1.62
Tukums II
2.08
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.35
Dinamo RÄ«ga
2.45
Smiltene
2.58
Beitar
2.64
Rēzekne FA
3.12
JDFS Alberts is 0.78 goals worse than Riga FC II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 0.60).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D11D01L10W21W20W20W10WA·DIN23/10A·TUK29/10A·SMI05/11A·SKA13/11H·SMI08/04H·SAL15/04H·TUK23/04A·DIN29/04H·BEI06/05A·RĒZ14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.330.750.250.860.43
vs Stronger (25)0.680.280.690.230.670.33
vs Similar (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Weaker (3)2.000.331.500.503.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W40W21W12L03L30W20W10W01L10WA·PRO19/10H·RÄŖG22/10A·RĒZ30/10H·FS 05/11A·GRO13/11H·BEI11/04A·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.471.330.471.330.47
vs Stronger (23)1.260.481.330.421.180.55
vs Similar (5)1.200.401.000.501.330.33
vs Weaker (2)2.500.502.001.003.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W10W00D11D01L12L40W40W21WA·DIN23/10A·TUK29/10A·SMI05/11A·SKA13/11H·SMI08/04H·SAL15/04H·TUK23/04A·DIN29/04H·BEI06/05A·RĒZ14/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.671.060.621.070.71
vs Stronger (25)1.080.521.150.541.000.50
vs Similar (2)1.002.501.001.001.004.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Riga FC II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W10W02L32W10W30W30W00D21WA·PRO19/10H·RÄŖG22/10A·RĒZ30/10H·FS 05/11A·GRO13/11H·BEI11/04A·RĒZ16/04H·JFK22/04H·GRO29/04A·VAL05/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.501.600.472.200.53
vs Stronger (23)1.740.481.250.422.270.55
vs Similar (5)2.800.604.501.001.670.33
vs Weaker (2)1.500.500.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Riga FC II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.5%-------āœ“ Hit
Over 2.570.1%-------āœ— Miss

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
JDFS Alberts and Riga FC II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
JDFS Alberts and Riga FC II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
JDFS Alberts and Riga FC II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
JA wins
1
Draws
1
RFI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II · H/A from JA
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22ARiga FC II Vs JA6-2
23/04/22HJA Vs Riga FC II1-1

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23ARēzekne FA Vs JA1-3
06/05/23HJA Vs Beitar6-0
29/04/23ADinamo RÄ«ga Vs JA0-6
23/04/23HJA Vs Tukums II3-3
15/04/23HJA Vs Saldus SS/Leevon1-1
08/04/23HJA Vs Smiltene1-2
13/11/22ASkanste Vs JA1-1
05/11/22ASmiltene Vs JA0-1
29/10/22ATukums II Vs JA0-5
23/10/22ADinamo RÄ«ga Vs JA0-1

Riga FC IIRiga FC II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23HRFI Vs RÄ«gas FS II4-0
05/05/23AValmiera II Vs RFI1-3
29/04/23HRFI Vs Grobiņa0-1
22/04/23HRFI Vs JFK Ventspils4-0
16/04/23ARēzekne FA Vs RFI0-5
11/04/23HRFI Vs Beitar4-0
13/11/22AGrobiņa Vs RFI5-3
05/11/22HRFI Vs FS Jelgava1-4
30/10/22ARēzekne FA Vs RFI1-3
22/10/22HRFI Vs RÄ«gas FS II6-0

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.75
HomeWLDDW1.76
AwayWWDWW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%47%53%
AVG goals2.812.593.07
Over 1.5 %69%71%67%
Over 2.5 %44%41%47%
Over 3.5 %28%18%40%
Scored1.811.761.87
Conceded1.000.821.20
BTTS47%53%40%
Clean Sheet41%41%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Riga FC II
Riga FC II
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.34
HomeLWWLW2.35
AwayWWLWW2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%76%73%
AVG goals4.163.824.53
Over 1.5 %91%82%100%
Over 2.5 %75%76%73%
Over 3.5 %62%53%73%
Scored3.253.003.53
Conceded0.910.821.00
BTTS44%35%53%
Clean Sheet50%53%47%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GrobiņaGrobiņa2666
81%
2.5
7117+54
3.4
85%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.7
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2561
76%
2.4
8215+67
3.9
84%
72%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.30.6
-
3SkansteSkanste2657
69%
2.2
5824+34
3.2
81%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
4JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2647
50%
1.8
6036+24
3.7
88%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2640
46%
1.5
4028+12
2.6
77%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6RÄ«gas FS IIRÄ«gas FS II2637
42%
1.4
5842+16
3.8
81%
69%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Tukums IITukums II2633
38%
1.3
4154-13
3.7
81%
77%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
8BeitarBeitar2533
40%
1.3
4166-25
4.3
88%
76%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.6
-
9Valmiera IIValmiera II2628
27%
1.1
3040-10
2.7
69%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
10JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2527
28%
1.1
2129-8
2.0
56%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
11Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2623
19%
0.9
3661-25
3.7
85%
58%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
12SmilteneSmiltene2622
23%
0.8
3167-36
3.8
92%
85%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
13Dinamo RÄ«gaDinamo RÄ«ga2218
23%
0.8
2754-27
3.7
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.5
-
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2510
8%
0.4
1578-63
3.7
84%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.1
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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