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Jedinstvo vs Bokelj Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 1-1
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Vs
31%
37%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jedinstvo win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bokelj win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L41W10W23L12L10W02L02L24L21WA·MLA25/02A·BOK01/03H·MOR07/03A·BUD11/03H·PET15/03A·JEZ21/03H·SUT04/04H·ARS08/04A·DEČ12/04H·MLA18/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.430.530.931.071.93
vs Stronger (13)0.771.620.571.001.002.33
vs Similar (17)0.821.290.500.881.111.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D14L12L12L01L20W00D01L10W02LA·JEZ25/02H·JED01/03A·SUT07/03H·MOR11/03A·ARS15/03H·BUD21/03A·DEČ04/04H·PET08/04A·MLA12/04H·JEZ18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.401.271.600.731.20
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.001.481.311.690.711.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%20%029%128%215%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.9%
Under 1.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.4%
Under 2.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.8%
Under 3.5
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
33.3%
No
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
20.2%
0-1
14.6%
1-1 ✓
14.4%
1-0
14.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
Jedinstvo goals ↓
Bokelj goals →
01234
020%15%6.7%1.9%0.4%
114%14%5.5%1.5%0.3%
26.4%5.4%2.3%0.6%0.1%
31.8%1.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
40.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jedinstvo goals (down), columns = Bokelj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sutjeska
2.00
Mornar
1.92
Petrovac
1.42
Dečić
1.42
Buducnost Podgorica
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Mladost DG
1.28
Jezero
1.24
Bokelj
1.05
Jedinstvo
0.97
Grbalj
0.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.00
Jedinstvo is 0.08 points worse than Bokelj in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sutjeska
1.69
Mornar
1.42
Mladost DG
1.36
Petrovac
1.22
Jezero
1.21
Dečić
1.19
Bokelj
1.05
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Arsenal Tivat
1.00
Jedinstvo
0.83
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.50
Grbalj
0.00
Jedinstvo is 0.22 goals worse than Bokelj in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mornar
0.81
Buducnost Podgorica
0.97
Grbalj
1.00
Petrovac
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Dečić
1.25
Bokelj
1.26
Arsenal Tivat
1.28
Jezero
1.29
Jedinstvo
1.36
Mladost DG
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
4.00
Jedinstvo is 0.10 goals worse than Bokelj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D03L00D00D01L01L12L10WA·MLA25/02A·BOK01/03H·MOR07/03A·BUD11/03H·PET15/03A·JEZ21/03H·SUT04/04H·ARS08/04A·DEČ12/04H·MLA18/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.270.270.400.93
vs Stronger (13)0.310.770.290.430.331.17
vs Similar (17)0.350.470.250.120.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D01L01L00D00D00D10W02LA·JEZ25/02H·JED01/03A·SUT07/03H·MOR11/03A·ARS15/03H·BUD21/03A·DEČ04/04H·PET08/04A·MLA12/04H·JEZ18/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.670.400.600.200.73
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.330.740.460.690.210.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W10W20W12L10W01L01L12L11DA·MLA25/02A·BOK01/03H·MOR07/03A·BUD11/03H·PET15/03A·JEZ21/03H·SUT04/04H·ARS08/04A·DEČ12/04H·MLA18/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.270.670.671.00
vs Stronger (13)0.460.850.290.570.671.17
vs Similar (17)0.470.820.250.750.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L11D00D20W00D01L00D00DA·JEZ25/02H·JED01/03A·SUT07/03H·MOR11/03A·ARS15/03H·BUD21/03A·DEČ04/04H·PET08/04A·MLA12/04H·JEZ18/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.871.000.530.47
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.740.851.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.576.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Bokelj have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Bokelj have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Bokelj have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Bokelj have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
JED wins
3
Draws
2
BOK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jedinstvo vs Bokelj · H/A from JED
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26ABokelj Vs JED1-4
26/10/25HJED Vs Bokelj0-0
24/08/25ABokelj Vs JED1-1
12/04/25ABokelj Vs JED1-1
22/02/25HJED Vs Bokelj0-1
06/10/24ABokelj Vs JED1-2
11/08/24HJED Vs Bokelj0-1

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HJED Vs Mladost DG2-1
12/04/26ADečić Vs JED4-2
08/04/26HJED Vs Arsenal Tivat0-2
04/04/26HJED Vs Sutjeska0-2
21/03/26AJezero Vs JED0-1
15/03/26HJED Vs Petrovac1-2
11/03/26ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JED3-2
07/03/26HJED Vs Mornar1-0
01/03/26ABokelj Vs JED1-4
25/02/26AMladost DG Vs JED1-0

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HBOK Vs Jezero0-2
12/04/26AMladost DG Vs BOK0-1
08/04/26HBOK Vs Petrovac0-1
04/04/26ADečić Vs BOK0-0
21/03/26HBOK Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-0
15/03/26AArsenal Tivat Vs BOK1-0
11/03/26HBOK Vs Mornar1-2
07/03/26ASutjeska Vs BOK2-1
01/03/26HBOK Vs Jedinstvo1-4
25/02/26AJezero Vs BOK1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.00
HomeWLLLW1.24
AwayLWLWL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%36%12%
AVG goals2.481.763.20
Over 1.5 %66%52%80%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %24%4%44%
Scored1.000.801.20
Conceded1.480.962.00
BTTS48%32%64%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL0.98
HomeLLWLL0.84
AwayDLLDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%20%28%
AVG goals2.382.841.92
Over 1.5 %66%84%48%
Over 2.5 %38%48%28%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored0.901.040.76
Conceded1.481.801.16
BTTS42%52%32%
Clean Sheet32%20%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SutjeskaSutjeska3672
61%
2.0
6136+25
2.7
72%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.71.0
-
2MornarMornar3669
56%
1.9
5129+22
2.2
69%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.8
-
3PetrovacPetrovac3651
36%
1.4
4436+8
2.2
67%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.0
-
4DečićDečić3651
39%
1.4
4345-2
2.4
64%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.2
-
5Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3648
36%
1.3
3635+1
2.0
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.01.0
-
6JezeroJezero3847
32%
1.2
4649-3
2.5
79%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.3
-
7Mladost DGMladost DG3646
39%
1.3
4954-5
2.9
64%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
8Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3646
33%
1.3
3646-10
2.3
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
9BokeljBokelj3840
24%
1.1
4048-8
2.3
68%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
10JedinstvoJedinstvo3635
25%
1.0
3049-19
2.2
58%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
11GrbaljGrbalj21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
12Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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