Jedinstvo are tipped to win the encounter at home, a result that the model deems most likely. The expected goal tally sits at 2.5, with the most probable single scoreline 1-1 at a 13.7 % chance. Home form shows Jedinstvo scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 1.5 against weaker opposition, while Grbalj, on the road, averages 1.22 goals for and 2.11 against stronger teams. The match carries a 47 % chance of a Jedinstvo victory, a 29 % chance of a draw, and a 24 % chance of a Grbalj win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.6 %, Under 6.5 at 98.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1 %, Under 5.5 at 96.1 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.9 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 92.0 %, Home +2 handicap at 90.7 %, and Under 4.5 at 89.7 %. The preview highlights Jedinstvo’s home advantage and the low-scoring nature of the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Jedinstvo win
46.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grbalj win
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Jedinstvo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.40
0.69
1.00
0.93
1.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
1.83
0.40
1.00
1.14
2.43
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.89
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grbalj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.20
1.73
0.93
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (20)
1.45
1.40
1.64
0.82
1.22
2.11
vs Similar (5)
1.80
0.40
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
1.20
2.50
2.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
Jedinstvo goals ↓
Grbalj goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
7.4%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.3%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.1%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.4%
4.4%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jedinstvo goals (down), columns = Grbalj goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Jedinstvo is 0.50 points better than Grbalj in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo is 0.43 goals better than Grbalj in terms of goals scored per game (2.18 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Jedinstvo is 0.43 goals better than Grbalj in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Jedinstvo or Draw
75.2%
Avg Implied -
46%
29%
25%
covers Jedinstvo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo or Grbalj
71.0%
Avg Implied -
46%
29%
25%
covers Jedinstvo + Grbalj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Grbalj
53.8%
Avg Implied -
46%
29%
25%
covers Draw + Grbalj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5
Over
76.6%
Under
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5
Over
42.6%
Under
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5
Over
63.3%
Under
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5
Over
26.5%
Under
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Jedinstvo, so a minus line means Jedinstvo give that many goals of a start and Grbalj receive them. At -1, Jedinstvo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Jedinstvo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo -2
9.1%
Draw -2
14.3%
Grbalj +2
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo -1
23.4%
Draw -1
22.8%
Grbalj +1
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo +1
75.2%
Draw +1
15.3%
Grbalj -1
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo +2
90.5%
Draw +2
6.8%
Grbalj -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jedinstvo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.57
0.06
0.31
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.75
0.00
0.40
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.33
0.11
0.11
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grbalj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
0.65
0.55
0.36
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
1.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.0%
Under 0.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.3%
Under 1.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.2%
Under 2.5
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.9%
Under
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.6%
Under
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.1%
Under
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jedinstvo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.43
1.43
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.78
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grbalj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.07
0.60
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (20)
0.85
0.75
1.09
0.45
0.56
1.11
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.50
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.3%
Under 0.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.8%
Under 1.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.8%
Under 2.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.6%
Under
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.2%
Under
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.3%
Under
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Grbalj have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Grbalj have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Grbalj have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Grbalj have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mladost Lješkopolje
Zeta
Mogren
Lovćen
Kom
Iskra (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Berane