Defensive solidity will dominate this low-scoring affair, with Jedinstvo’s home side conceding an average of one goal per match against stronger opposition while only netting 0.56. Iskra, on the road, has struggled to keep clean sheets, allowing 1.7 goals on average against weaker teams, though they have managed 0.9. The model favours a home win, with a 39 % chance, a draw at 33 %, and an away win at 28 %. The expected total of 2.0 goals points to a tight match, and the single most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, carrying a 14.8 % probability.
Key selections include Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6 %), Under 5.5 (98.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.4 %), Under 4.5 (94.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (93.7 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (90.0 %). Both teams enter the match with recent form that suggests a cautious approach, making a clean sheet a realistic outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Jedinstvo win
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) win
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Jedinstvo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.40
0.69
1.00
0.93
1.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
1.83
0.40
1.00
1.14
2.43
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.89
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra (Montenegro)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.13
1.57
0.93
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.07
1.00
1.12
1.57
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.53
1.20
2.33
0.67
1.00
1.56
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.8%
Under 1.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
32.4%
Under 2.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.6%
Jedinstvo goals ↓
Iskra (Montenegro) goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
11%
5.6%
1.7%
0.4%
1
13%
15%
6.1%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.1%
7.3%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.0%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jedinstvo goals (down), columns = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Jedinstvo is 0.58 points better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo is 0.77 goals better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (2.18 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Jedinstvo is 0.21 goals better than Iskra (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Jedinstvo or Draw
71.6%
Avg Implied -
38%
33%
28%
covers Jedinstvo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo or Iskra (Montenegro)
66.7%
Avg Implied -
38%
33%
28%
covers Jedinstvo + Iskra (Montenegro)
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Iskra (Montenegro)
61.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
33%
28%
covers Draw + Iskra (Montenegro)
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5
Over
66.5%
Under
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5
Over
9.9%
Under
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5
Over
59.6%
Under
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5
Over
23.0%
Under
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Jedinstvo, so a minus line means Jedinstvo give that many goals of a start and Iskra (Montenegro) receive them. At -1, Jedinstvo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Jedinstvo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo -2
5.0%
Draw -2
11.1%
Iskra (Montenegro) +2
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo -1
16.1%
Draw -1
22.1%
Iskra (Montenegro) +1
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo +1
71.6%
Draw +1
18.1%
Iskra (Montenegro) -1
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Jedinstvo)
Jedinstvo +2
89.7%
Draw +2
7.6%
Iskra (Montenegro) -2
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jedinstvo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.57
0.06
0.31
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.75
0.00
0.40
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.33
0.11
0.11
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra (Montenegro)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.57
0.36
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.47
0.25
0.38
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jedinstvo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.43
1.43
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.78
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iskra (Montenegro)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
1.00
0.57
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.60
0.75
0.75
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.33
0.89
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
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Mladost Lješkopolje
Zeta
Mogren
Lovćen
Grbalj
Kom
Rudar (Montenegro)
Berane