Jedinstvo vs Lovćen Result & Analysis

Jedinstvo will look to continue their impressive form, having just completed a 3-game winning run. They've been nearly impenetrable at home, conceding just 0 goals on average. In contrast, Lovćen's away form has been somewhat inconsistent, scoring 1.75 goals and conceding 1.12 against stronger opponents.

The expected total goals for this match is 1.8, suggesting a low-scoring affair. The most likely score is 1-0 in favour of Jedinstvo, with a probability of 19.3%. Among the model's selections, the under 3.5 total goals is the most likely outcome, with a probability of 89.0%.

The model predicts a home win for Jedinstvo, with a 52% probability. The draw percentage is 32%, while the away win percentage is 16%. The model's suggested picks include under 3.5 total goals, home or draw, and under 2.5 total goals, with probabilities of 89.0%, 84.5%, and 72.9% respectively.

The pre-match favourite, Jedinstvo, failed to deliver as the match finished 2-3 in favour of Lovćen, extending their winning run. The model had picked a home win with a 52 % probability, but that call was wrong. The most likely total of 2 goals at 28 % was surpassed, yet the model’s selections for low-scoring outcomes all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.9 %, Under 6.5 at 99.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.7 %, Under 5.5 at 98.9 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7 % and Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5 %. Only Away under 2.5 goals at 98.1 % missed, as Lovćen scored three. The game confirmed the model’s low-scoring bias, but not its home-win prediction.