JIPPO vs JäPS Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2026

Time: 15:30

Final 1-0

JIPPO

47%

25%

27%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

JäPS

Finland: Ykkösliiga

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

JIPPO hosts JäPS in the Finland: Ykköisliiga on July 30. The recent-form storyline is JIPPO's struggles, having suffered two straight defeats, including a 0-1 loss to SJK Akatemia. However, they've shown resilience, with a win in their previous match. JäPS, on the other hand, is coming off a defeat, losing 1-2 to Haka.

The market favours JIPPO to win, with a 47% chance of a home win, while JäPS has a 27% chance of an away win. The model agrees, picking JIPPO to win. The expected total goals is 3.1, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.7%.

JIPPO has been scoring 1.82 goals at home against weaker opponents, while conceding 1.27 goals. JäPS has been scoring 1.5 goals away against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.5 goals. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals has an 82.2% chance of occurring, with an 8% edge. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 (82.2%), JIPPO to win (47%), JäPS to win (27%), JIPPO to draw (25%), and both teams to score (result not provided).

JIPPO has a 47% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance of an away win.

Results analysis

The win extends JIPPO's run, but the final score was a far cry from what the model predicted. The actual total goals were significantly higher than the expected 3.1, with a final score of 1-0. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, and it held a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's call was vindicated, as JIPPO took the three points. The model's selection of Over 1.5 missed, with an 82.2% probability, while the most likely total goals of 2 had a 23% chance. The suggested pick of Over 1.5, which had an 82.2% probability, missed, and the model's selection of a home win was correct.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JIPPO win✓ Hit

47.3%

Avg Implied 62.6% · @ 1.45

Edge

-15.3%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

1.56

Pinnacle

1.48

Betano

1.47

Superbet

1.47

Dafabet

1.46

Draw✗ Miss

25.4%

Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 4.03

Edge

+3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.37

Dafabet

4.30

Marathonbet

4.20

1xBet

4.20

Betfair

4.20

JäPS win✗ Miss

27.3%

Avg Implied 15.0% · @ 6.05

Edge

+12.3%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

6.60

Pinnacle

6.51

Betfair

6.50

1xBet

6.38

Bet365

6.25

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JIPPO

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.3

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.43	1.10	1.79	1.21	1.12	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (6)	1.50	1.33	1.67	1.00	1.33	1.67
vs Weaker (24)	1.42	1.04	1.82	1.27	1.08	0.85
Clean sheet %	23% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (JäPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JäPS

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.63	1.77	1.50	1.57	1.75	1.94
vs Stronger (6)	1.00	2.33	0.75	2.25	1.50	2.50
vs Similar (20)	1.50	1.60	1.78	1.22	1.27	1.91
vs Weaker (4)	3.25	1.75	2.00	2.00	3.67	1.67
Clean sheet %	23% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (JIPPO) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

82.2%

@ 1.24+8.2%

Under 1.5

17.8%

@ 3.54-8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.28

Bet365

1.28

10Bet

1.25

Betfair

1.25

Betano

1.24

Under

Betfair

3.80

Pinnacle

3.68

1xBet

3.68

Marathonbet

3.58

10Bet

3.55

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

59.3%

@ 1.80+7.7%

Under 2.5

40.7%

@ 1.92-7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.90

Pinnacle

1.88

Superbet

1.82

Betfair

1.80

10Bet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.96

Marathonbet

1.96

Pinnacle

1.95

Betano

1.93

10Bet

1.93

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

36.9%

@ 2.96+5.7%

Under 3.5

63.1%

@ 1.34-5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

Pinnacle

3.15

Betfair

3.10

10Bet

3.00

Superbet

2.92

Under

Pinnacle

1.36

Betano

1.36

Betfair

1.36

10Bet

1.35

Unibet

1.33

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

61.5%

@ 1.90+13.1%

38.5%

@ 1.78-13.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

2.00

Bet365

2.00

Betfair

1.95

William Hil

1.91

1xBet

1.87

Unibet

1.85

1xBet

1.82

10Bet

1.80

Betfair

1.80

Marathonbet

1.79

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

11.7%@ 7.02+5.7%

2-1

9.4%@ 7.02+3.4%

2-0

7.2%@ 6.03+0.2%

1-0 ✓

7.1%@ 5.76-0.2%

1-2

7.0%@ 16.99+4.5%

2-2

6.2%@ 16.39+3.6%

0-0

5.7%@ 10.62+1.7%

3-1

5.6%@ 10.94+1.7%

JIPPO goals ↓

	JäPS goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	5.0%	3.9%	1.7%	0.6%
1	7.1%	12%	7.0%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.4%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.3%	5.6%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.9%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JIPPO goals (down), columns = JäPS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Haka

2.67

Kooteepee

2.00

PK-35

1.83

JäPS

1.80

JIPPO

1.67

EIF

1.67

SJK Akatemia

1.00

0.83

Klubi-04

0.71

KäPa

0.14

JIPPO is 0.13 points worse than JäPS in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Haka

2.83

PK-35

1.67

Kooteepee

1.60

1.17

JIPPO

1.17

EIF

1.00

JäPS

1.00

KäPa

0.86

SJK Akatemia

0.83

Klubi-04

0.71

JIPPO is 0.17 goals better than JäPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

JäPS

0.60

EIF

0.67

JIPPO

1.00

Haka

1.00

PK-35

1.17

Kooteepee

1.20

SJK Akatemia

1.33

Klubi-04

1.43

1.83

KäPa

2.14

JIPPO is 0.40 goals worse than JäPS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	82.2%	1.24	Pinnacle 1.28	Bet365 1.28	10Bet 1.25	Betfair 1.25	Betano 1.24	+8.2%	✗ Miss

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SA (28)

€4m

SA (30)

€4m

HAK (24)

€1m

KOO (24)

€1m

JIP (25)

€1m

PK- (22)

€1m

EIF (21)

€1m

JÄP (27)

€1m

KÄP (30)

€1m

MP (30)

€0m

KLU (26)

€0m

JIPPO and JäPS have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SA (0)

€0m

SA (0)

€0m

EIF (0)

€0m

HAK (0)

€0m

JÄP (0)

€0m

JIP (0)

€0m

KÄP (0)

€0m

KLU (0)

€0m

KOO (0)

€0m

MP (0)

€0m

PK- (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SA (0)

€0m

SA (0)

€0m

EIF (0)

€0m

HAK (0)

€0m

JÄP (0)

€0m

JIP (0)

€0m

KÄP (0)

€0m

KLU (0)

€0m

KOO (0)

€0m

MP (0)

€0m

PK- (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SA (0)

€0m

SA (0)

€0m

EIF (0)

€0m

HAK (0)

€0m

JÄP (0)

€0m

JIP (0)

€0m

KÄP (0)

€0m

KLU (0)

€0m

KOO (0)

€0m

MP (0)

€0m

PK- (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

JIPPO vs JäPS · H/A from JIP

Date	H/A	Game	Score
18/10/25	A	JäPS Vs JIP	1-1
08/07/25	H	JIP Vs JäPS	1-1
17/05/25	A	JäPS Vs JIP	1-1
05/10/24	A	JäPS Vs JIP	1-4
10/07/24	H	JIP Vs JäPS	3-2
12/05/24	A	JäPS Vs JIP	1-5

JIPPO

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
25/07/26	A	PK-35 Vs JIP	1-1
15/07/26	H	JIP Vs MP	3-1
11/07/26	A	Klubi-04 Vs JIP	0-2
18/10/25	A	JäPS Vs JIP	1-1
04/10/25	H	JIP Vs KäPa	2-1
27/09/25	A	Turku PS Vs JIP	0-1
19/09/25	H	JIP Vs EIF	2-2
14/09/25	A	SJK Akatemia Vs JIP	1-1
06/09/25	H	JIP Vs Lahti	1-0
29/08/25	A	PK-35 Vs JIP	0-2

JäPS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
25/07/26	H	JÄP Vs Klubi-04	2-0
18/07/26	A	EIF Vs JÄP	0-1
18/10/25	H	JÄP Vs JIPPO	1-1
04/10/25	A	Klubi-04 Vs JÄP	2-1
28/09/25	A	SJK Akatemia Vs JÄP	1-1
19/09/25	H	JÄP Vs Turku PS	1-1
14/09/25	A	Lahti Vs JÄP	2-1
05/09/25	A	KäPa Vs JÄP	2-3
29/08/25	H	JÄP Vs EIF	0-0
22/08/25	A	PK-35 Vs JÄP	0-0

📊 9. Overall Statistics

JIPPO

Finland: Ykkösliiga

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDWWD	1.66
Home	LWDWW	1.96
Away	DWDWD	1.38

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	58%	35%
AVG goals	2.68	3.00	2.38
Over 1.5 %	80%	79%	81%
Over 2.5 %	46%	58%	35%
Over 3.5 %	28%	42%	15%
Scored	1.56	1.83	1.31
Conceded	1.12	1.17	1.08
BTTS	64%	62%	65%
Clean Sheet	26%	25%	27%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

JäPS

Finland: Ykkösliiga

Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLDWW	1.38
Home	WDDDW	1.50
Away	WLDLW	1.27

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	33%	35%
AVG goals	3.30	3.00	3.58
Over 1.5 %	86%	92%	81%
Over 2.5 %	58%	50%	65%
Over 3.5 %	42%	38%	46%
Scored	1.56	1.50	1.62
Conceded	1.74	1.50	1.96
BTTS	64%	67%	62%
Clean Sheet	24%	25%	23%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Haka	6	16	83%	2.7	17	6	+11	3.8	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	2.8	1.0	-
2	PK-35	6	11	50%	1.8	10	7	+3	2.8	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.7	1.2	-
3	Kooteepee	5	10	60%	2.0	8	6	+2	2.8	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.6	1.2	-
4	EIF	6	10	50%	1.7	6	4	+2	1.7	50%	17%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.7	-
5	JIPPO	6	10	50%	1.7	7	6	+1	2.2	67%	33%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.2	1.0	-
6	JäPS	5	9	60%	1.8	5	3	+2	1.6	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.6	-
7	SJK Akatemia	6	6	17%	1.0	5	8	-3	2.2	67%	50%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	0	0	0	0.8	1.3	-
8	MP	6	5	17%	0.8	7	11	-4	3.0	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.8	-
9	Klubi-04	7	5	14%	0.7	5	10	-5	2.1	86%	14%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.7	1.4	-
10	KäPa	7	1	0%	0.1	6	15	-9	3.0	86%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	0.9	2.1	-

Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

← all matches

JIPPO vs JäPS Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JIPPO

JäPS

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

JIPPO

JäPS

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature