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JIPPO vs KäPa Result & Analysis

Date: 29/06/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
JIPPO
JIPPO
Vs
61%
19%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JIPPO win✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KäPa win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JIPPOJIPPO

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D31W11D03L11D11D13L00D12LA·KÄP04/05H·KOO07/05H·LAH13/05A·JÄP17/05H·KLU21/05A·EIF25/05H·PK-01/06A·SJK06/06A·SAL14/06H·TUR19/06
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.201.791.291.691.12
vs Stronger (1)6.000.00--6.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.611.171.921.171.271.18
vs Weaker (6)1.501.501.002.001.751.25
Clean sheet %27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L24L04L31W35L05L22D13L35LH·JIP04/05A·ATL07/05A·TUR14/05A·PK-18/05H·SAL21/05A·LAH25/05H·KLU01/06A·JÄP06/06H·EIF14/06A·SJK18/06
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.832.801.382.382.183.12
vs Stronger (22)1.642.681.221.781.923.31
vs Similar (8)2.383.121.753.753.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%2%05%114%218%319%416%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.0%
Under 1.5
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.3%
Under 2.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.8%
No
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.1%
3-1 ✓
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-2
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
JIPPO goals ↓
KäPa goals →
01234
02.1%1.7%1.7%0.9%0.3%
13.3%6.7%4.7%2.4%0.9%
25.3%8.1%6.3%3.2%1.2%
34.7%7.3%5.6%2.9%1.1%
43.2%4.9%3.8%1.9%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JIPPO goals (down), columns = KäPa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lahti
2.15
Turku PS
1.96
PK-35
1.56
JIPPO
1.52
EIF
1.52
Klubi-04
1.44
JäPS
1.19
SJK Akatemia
1.07
KäPa
0.90
SalPa
0.56
OLS
0.00
JIPPO is 0.62 points better than KäPa in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 0.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turku PS
2.44
Lahti
2.00
Klubi-04
1.81
EIF
1.78
SJK Akatemia
1.70
KäPa
1.66
JäPS
1.52
PK-35
1.44
JIPPO
1.37
OLS
1.00
SalPa
0.81
JIPPO is 0.28 goals worse than KäPa in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.66).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PK-35
1.11
Lahti
1.11
JIPPO
1.15
EIF
1.59
Klubi-04
1.67
Turku PS
1.67
SJK Akatemia
1.81
JäPS
1.85
SalPa
1.93
KäPa
2.41
OLS
3.50
JIPPO is 1.27 goals better than KäPa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 2.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JIPPOJIPPO

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W00D01L10W11D11D00D12LA·KÄP04/05H·KOO07/05H·LAH13/05A·JÄP17/05H·KLU21/05A·EIF25/05H·PK-01/06A·SJK06/06A·SAL14/06H·TUR19/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.640.790.500.56
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.570.650.670.750.450.55
vs Weaker (6)0.500.830.501.000.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KäPaKäPa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L22D02L01L12L02L20W02L12LH·JIP04/05A·ATL07/05A·TUR14/05A·PK-18/05H·SAL21/05A·LAH25/05H·KLU01/06A·JÄP06/06H·EIF14/06A·SJK18/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.230.381.310.821.18
vs Stronger (22)0.591.180.560.890.621.38
vs Similar (8)0.751.380.002.251.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JIPPOJIPPO

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L21W11D02L01L00D02L00D00DA·KÄP04/05H·KOO07/05H·LAH13/05A·JÄP17/05H·KLU21/05A·EIF25/05H·PK-01/06A·SJK06/06A·SAL14/06H·TUR19/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.531.140.501.190.56
vs Stronger (1)5.000.00--5.000.00
vs Similar (23)1.040.521.250.420.820.64
vs Weaker (6)1.000.670.501.001.250.50
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (KäPa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KäPaKäPa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D02L02L30W23L03L02L11D23LH·JIP04/05A·ATL07/05A·TUR14/05A·PK-18/05H·SAL21/05A·LAH25/05H·KLU01/06A·JÄP06/06H·EIF14/06A·SJK18/06
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.571.001.081.351.94
vs Stronger (22)1.051.500.670.891.311.92
vs Similar (8)1.621.751.751.501.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KäPa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.579.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (22)
€3m
TP (22)
€2m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
KLU (17)
€0m
JIPPO and KäPa have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
JIPPO and KäPa have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
JIPPO and KäPa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
JIPPO and KäPa have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
JIP wins
1
Draws
1
KÄP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

JIPPO vs KäPa · H/A from JIP
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25AKäPa Vs JIP1-1
25/08/24AKäPa Vs JIP2-1
17/07/24AKäPa Vs JIP1-4
18/05/24HJIP Vs KäPa2-0

JIPPOJIPPO

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/06/25HJIP Vs Turku PS1-2
14/06/25ASalPa Vs JIP0-0
06/06/25ASJK Akatemia Vs JIP3-1
01/06/25HJIP Vs PK-351-1
25/05/25AEIF Vs JIP1-1
21/05/25HJIP Vs Klubi-040-3
17/05/25AJäPS Vs JIP1-1
13/05/25HJIP Vs Lahti3-1
07/05/25HJIP Vs Kooteepee1-1
04/05/25AKäPa Vs JIP1-1

KäPaKäPa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/06/25ASJK Akatemia Vs KÄP5-3
14/06/25HKÄP Vs EIF1-3
06/06/25AJäPS Vs KÄP2-2
01/06/25HKÄP Vs Klubi-040-5
25/05/25ALahti Vs KÄP5-3
21/05/25HKÄP Vs SalPa3-1
18/05/25APK-35 Vs KÄP4-0
14/05/25ATurku PS Vs KÄP4-2
07/05/25AAtlantis Vs KÄP2-1
04/05/25HKÄP Vs JIPPO1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

JIPPO
JIPPO
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.63
HomeDWLDL1.81
AwayDDDLD1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals2.712.522.90
Over 1.5 %80%76%85%
Over 2.5 %46%38%55%
Over 3.5 %24%24%25%
Scored1.661.521.80
Conceded1.051.001.10
BTTS54%43%65%
Clean Sheet34%43%25%
Corners---
Cards---
KäPa
KäPa
Finland: Ykkösliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.84
HomeLDWLL1.11
AwayLLLDL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%26%15%
AVG goals4.243.534.77
Over 1.5 %96%89%100%
Over 2.5 %73%63%81%
Over 3.5 %58%47%65%
Scored1.731.421.96
Conceded2.512.112.81
BTTS69%63%73%
Clean Sheet11%16%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LahtiLahti2758
63%
2.1
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
2Turku PSTurku PS2753
59%
2.0
6645+21
4.1
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.7
-
3PK-35PK-352742
41%
1.6
3930+9
2.6
85%
52%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
4JIPPOJIPPO2741
37%
1.5
3731+6
2.5
81%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.1
-
5EIFEIF2741
44%
1.5
4843+5
3.4
85%
63%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
6Klubi-04Klubi-042739
41%
1.4
4945+4
3.5
89%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
7JäPSJäPS2732
26%
1.2
4150-9
3.4
89%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.9
-
8SJK AkatemiaSJK Akatemia2729
30%
1.1
4649-3
3.5
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9KäPaKäPa2926
21%
0.9
4870-22
4.1
93%
79%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.4
-
10SalPaSalPa2715
15%
0.6
2252-30
2.7
70%
59%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
11OLSOLS20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →

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