The contest between JIPPO and PK-35 is finely balanced, with the model favouring a JIPPO win. Home advantage is modest; JIPPO averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.27 conceded at home against similar opposition, while PK-35, on the road, nets 1.56 and concedes only 1.0. The expected total is 2.5 goals, with the most probable total of two goals at 27%. The single score most likely to materialise is 1-1, carrying a 14.1% chance. JIPPO’s home win probability sits at 36%, a draw at 30%, and PK-35’s away win at 35%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Under 5.5 (95.7%), Under 4.5 (89.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.9%), and Home under 2.5 goals (86.6%). Both sides finish the week on a win, JIPPO having beaten KÄPa 3-1 and PK-35 having edged JäPS 3-0.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
JIPPO win
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PK-35 win
39.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
JIPPO
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.07
1.57
1.14
1.25
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.00
1.00
0.88
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (9)
2.22
1.22
2.33
1.50
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PK-35
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.10
1.33
1.27
2.40
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
3.60
1.20
0.00
2.00
4.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.33
1.25
1.56
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.75
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.6%
Under 2.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
JIPPO goals ↓
PK-35 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
9.7%
7.4%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.2%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.5%
7.4%
5.0%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JIPPO goals (down), columns = PK-35 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
JIPPO is 0.12 points worse than PK-35 in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
JIPPO is 0.50 goals worse than PK-35 in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
JIPPO and PK-35 are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
JIPPO or Draw
60.4%
Avg Implied -
31%
29%
40%
covers JIPPO + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
JIPPO or PK-35
70.6%
Avg Implied -
31%
29%
40%
covers JIPPO + PK-35
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or PK-35
69.0%
Avg Implied -
31%
29%
40%
covers Draw + PK-35
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
JIPPO over/under 0.5
Over
68.6%
Under
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 0.5
Over
73.8%
Under
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5
Over
38.7%
Under
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 3.5
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to JIPPO, so a minus line means JIPPO give that many goals of a start and PK-35 receive them. At -1, JIPPO must win by two or more to land; a one-goal JIPPO win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (JIPPO)
JIPPO -2
4.2%
Draw -2
9.0%
PK-35 +2
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (JIPPO)
JIPPO -1
13.2%
Draw -1
17.8%
PK-35 +1
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (JIPPO)
JIPPO +1
60.4%
Draw +1
20.8%
PK-35 -1
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (JIPPO)
JIPPO +2
81.2%
Draw +2
12.0%
PK-35 -2
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
JIPPO
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.64
0.71
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.48
0.38
0.50
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PK-35
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.53
0.27
1.27
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
0.50
0.33
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
JIPPO
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.43
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.52
0.62
0.38
0.31
0.62
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.56
1.33
0.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (PK-35) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PK-35
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
0.80
1.00
1.13
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
0.60
0.00
2.00
2.50
0.25
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.71
0.83
0.92
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PK-35 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
JIP (21)
€1m
PK- (20)
€1m
EIF (20)
€1m
JÄP (24)
€1m
KÄP (25)
€1m
MP (19)
€0m
KLU (17)
€0m
JIPPO and PK-35 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOO (10)
€1m
JIP (7)
€0m
EIF (9)
€0m
PK- (6)
€0m
JÄP (11)
€0m
HAK (7)
€0m
MP (10)
€0m
KLU (8)
€0m
KÄP (8)
€0m
JIPPO and PK-35 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PK- (7)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KÄP (6)
€0m
JÄP (4)
€0m
EIF (4)
€0m
JIP (4)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
MP (2)
€0m
KLU (3)
€0m
JIPPO and PK-35 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
JIP (10)
€0m
EIF (7)
€0m
KÄP (11)
€0m
PK- (7)
€0m
JÄP (9)
€0m
MP (7)
€0m
KLU (6)
€0m
JIPPO and PK-35 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haka
Kooteepee
Klubi-04
EIF
JäPS
SJK Akatemia
MP
KäPa