JIPPO is coming off a defeat, losing 0-3 to Haka, but they've shown resilience in their recent form, with a mix of wins and draws. Meanwhile, SJK Akatemia is struggling, having suffered two consecutive defeats, including a 0-3 loss to PK-35. In their home form, JIPPO has averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded against weaker opponents. On the road, SJK Akatemia has averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded against stronger opponents. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.1 goals and a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.8%. The model's selection is the home win, with a 43% probability, while the away win is 32% likely and the draw 26%. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.8% probability, and a notable edge of 8%.
Results analysis
JIPPO suffered a surprise 0-1 defeat at home to SJK Akatemia, extending their winless run to three matches. The away team's victory was a major upset, as JIPPO were pre-match favourites with a 43% chance of winning. The model's selection, a home win, was unfortunately incorrect. Meanwhile, the model's suggested pick of "Over 1.5" goals also missed, despite having an 82.8% probability. In contrast, SJK Akatemia's recent form showed promise, having come off a win, while JIPPO struggled, following two straight defeats.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
JIPPO win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied 66.5% · @ 1.37
Edge
-23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Dafabet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.36
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.79
Dafabet
4.60
BetVictor
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
SJK Akatemia win✓ Hit
31.6%
Avg Implied 12.7% · @ 7.16
Edge
+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Pinnacle
7.43
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
JIPPO
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.17
1.67
1.27
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.13
1.09
1.22
1.11
1.07
1.07
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
1.43
2.33
1.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.80
1.64
1.57
1.62
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.88
1.25
2.00
1.22
1.78
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
1.83
2.20
1.20
2.14
2.29
Clean sheet %
17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.8%
@ 1.21+6.1%
Under 1.5
17.2%
@ 3.97-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.69+5.3%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.05-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.79
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.11
Unibet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
@ 2.68+3.5%
Under 3.5
62.2%
@ 1.40-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.0%
@ 1.89+14.5%
No
37.0%
@ 1.78-14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.93
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
No
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.86
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 7.79+6.3%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.22+3.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 19.75+5.5%
2-2
6.4%@ 17.48+4.0%
1-0
6.4%@ 6.13-0.6%
2-0
6.3%@ 6.05-0.8%
0-0
5.5%@ 11.82+1.9%
0-1 ✓
5.3%@ 16.82+2.7%
JIPPO goals ↓
SJK Akatemia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
5.3%
4.5%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.4%
12%
7.6%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.5%
5.1%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.5%
2.1%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JIPPO goals (down), columns = SJK Akatemia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Haka
2.38
Kooteepee
2.29
PK-35
2.12
JIPPO
2.00
JäPS
1.43
EIF
1.25
Klubi-04
1.22
SJK Akatemia
0.75
MP
0.62
KäPa
0.22
JIPPO is 1.25 points better than SJK Akatemia in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Haka
2.50
PK-35
2.00
Klubi-04
1.67
Kooteepee
1.57
JIPPO
1.50
MP
1.25
SJK Akatemia
0.88
KäPa
0.78
EIF
0.75
JäPS
0.71
JIPPO is 0.62 goals better than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
JäPS
0.86
JIPPO
0.88
EIF
0.88
PK-35
0.88
Kooteepee
1.00
Haka
1.00
Klubi-04
1.67
KäPa
2.00
SJK Akatemia
2.00
MP
2.25
JIPPO is 1.12 goals better than SJK Akatemia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
JIPPO
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.48
0.44
0.56
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.86
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.83
0.36
0.79
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.94
0.25
1.12
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.75
0.60
0.40
0.71
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
JIPPO
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.53
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.61
0.78
0.56
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.57
1.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK Akatemia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK Akatemia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.97
1.29
0.79
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.94
1.00
0.88
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.50
1.08
1.60
0.80
1.43
1.29
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (JIPPO) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JIPPO over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JIPPO over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK Akatemia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.8%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
+6.1%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Finland: Ykkösliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Ykkösliiga stats & trends →