Jong Utrecht’s recent five matches have been a string of defeats, yet their home attack averages 1.62 goals and they concede 2.23 against similar opposition. FC Eindhoven, still struggling after three straight losses, averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.17 conceded on the road. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected total of 3.2 goals, most likely 3 in total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.4% chance. The favoured result is a home win, with probabilities of 46% for Jong Utrecht, 25% for a draw and 29% for FC Eindhoven. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%, edge 5%), Under 7.5 (97.3%, edge 1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%, edge 5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%, edge 5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.7%, edge 4%), Under 6.5 (93.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (91.7%, edge 2%) and Under 5.5 cards (90.3%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Jong Utrecht win
47.1%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.40
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.49
Bet365
2.45
Unibet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Draw
25.1%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.65
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.81
Dafabet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Betano
3.70
FC Eindhoven win
27.8%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.58
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.70
Pinnacle
2.68
Dafabet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.62
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Jong Utrecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.87
1.86
2.29
1.31
1.50
vs Stronger (5)
2.60
2.00
5.00
3.00
2.00
1.75
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.84
1.62
2.23
1.08
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Eindhoven
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.83
2.07
1.71
1.31
1.94
vs Stronger (6)
2.00
1.17
3.50
1.00
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (24)
1.58
2.00
1.83
1.83
1.33
2.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.2%
@ 1.14+1.8%
Under 1.5
16.8%
@ 5.01-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Unibet
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Pinnacle
5.14
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.9%
@ 1.49-1.1%
Under 2.5
39.1%
@ 2.43+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
BetVictor
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.6%
@ 2.24-3.2%
Under 3.5
61.4%
@ 1.60+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Both teams to score
Yes
62.8%
@ 1.43-1.8%
No
37.2%
@ 2.60+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
No
Unibet
2.70
BetVictor
2.63
1xBet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 7.07+5.1%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.97+4.4%
1-2
7.0%@ 9.29+2.2%
2-0
7.0%@ 13.79+3.7%
1-0
6.7%@ 11.41+2.8%
2-2
6.3%@ 10.11+1.9%
3-1
5.6%@ 15.08+2.7%
0-0
5.3%@ 14.96+2.3%
Jong Utrecht goals ↓
FC Eindhoven goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
4.7%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.7%
11%
7.0%
3.1%
1.1%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.3%
2.8%
1.0%
3
4.2%
5.6%
3.8%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.9%
2.5%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jong Utrecht goals (down), columns = FC Eindhoven goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
De Graafschap
1.60
Almere City FC
1.55
Heracles
1.53
NAC Breda
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Jong PSV U21
1.47
Vitesse
1.47
Waalwijk
1.45
Roda
1.43
Den Bosch
1.27
Dordrecht
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.24
Jong Utrecht
1.21
Emmen
1.18
VVV Venlo
1.18
FC OSS
1.16
Jong AZ
1.05
Helmond Sport
1.03
MVV
1.00
Jong Ajax
0.92
Jong Utrecht is 0.03 points worse than FC Eindhoven in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almere City FC
2.02
De Graafschap
1.93
Waalwijk
1.76
Heracles
1.74
Jong PSV U21
1.74
NAC Breda
1.71
Vitesse
1.68
Den Bosch
1.68
Jong AZ
1.61
Emmen
1.53
Jong Utrecht
1.53
Roda
1.52
FC Volendam
1.50
FC OSS
1.42
FC Eindhoven
1.34
VVV Venlo
1.32
Jong Ajax
1.32
Dordrecht
1.26
Helmond Sport
1.11
MVV
1.08
Jong Utrecht is 0.18 goals better than FC Eindhoven in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Roda
1.40
Heracles
1.44
Vitesse
1.45
NAC Breda
1.47
Dordrecht
1.47
FC Volendam
1.50
Waalwijk
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.53
De Graafschap
1.57
Almere City FC
1.61
Jong Utrecht
1.63
Helmond Sport
1.63
Jong PSV U21
1.68
FC OSS
1.68
FC Eindhoven
1.82
Den Bosch
1.88
Emmen
1.89
MVV
1.92
Jong Ajax
1.92
Jong AZ
2.00
Jong Utrecht is 0.18 goals better than FC Eindhoven in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
De Graafschap
56%
Jong AZ
54%
Roda
52%
Emmen
52%
Jong PSV U21
52%
Jong Ajax
52%
Waalwijk
50%
VVV Venlo
49%
Helmond Sport
49%
Dordrecht
48%
Almere City FC
48%
Jong Utrecht
48%
Den Bosch
47%
Vitesse
46%
FC Eindhoven
44%
MVV
44%
FC OSS
43%
Jong Utrecht is 3.8 percentage points better than FC Eindhoven in terms of average possession (48% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Jong Utrecht
For 4.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Eindhoven
For 4.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jong Utrecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
2.9
3.0
2.8
25.5
26.3
24.7
vs Stronger (9)
9.2
9.0
9.4
3.3
4.2
2.6
27.9
28.5
27.4
vs Similar (41)
9.7
9.8
9.5
2.8
2.8
2.8
25.0
25.9
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
56%
48%
32%
32%
32%
74%
84%
64%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
68%
68%
68%
26%
16%
36%
This opponent (FC Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Eindhoven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.3
11.9
3.0
3.0
3.0
22.9
23.5
22.3
vs Stronger (9)
8.8
9.8
8.0
2.7
3.5
2.0
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Similar (41)
11.0
9.2
12.9
3.1
3.0
3.2
22.6
23.4
21.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
48%
71%
34%
36%
32%
59%
64%
54%
% under line
41%
52%
29%
66%
64%
68%
41%
36%
46%
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Den Bosch
12.2
FC OSS
11.9
De Graafschap
11.9
Dordrecht
11.3
VVV Venlo
11.2
Almere City FC
11.0
Heracles
10.9
Helmond Sport
10.7
Jong PSV U21
10.6
Jong AZ
10.6
FC Eindhoven
10.6
Jong Ajax
10.5
Emmen
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
MVV
10.2
Vitesse
10.0
Waalwijk
10.0
Roda
9.9
NAC Breda
9.8
Jong Utrecht
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
4.5
Dordrecht
4.3
FC OSS
4.1
Emmen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Jong Ajax
3.8
Den Bosch
3.7
VVV Venlo
3.5
Heracles
3.5
Jong AZ
3.5
FC Volendam
3.4
Roda
3.3
Helmond Sport
3.3
Waalwijk
3.3
De Graafschap
3.3
Jong PSV U21
3.2
MVV
3.2
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Jong Utrecht
3.0
Almere City FC
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC OSS
29.0
Vitesse
26.7
Dordrecht
25.8
Emmen
25.7
Jong Utrecht
25.5
Helmond Sport
25.4
Jong Ajax
25.0
Roda
24.8
Heracles
24.1
Jong PSV U21
23.8
VVV Venlo
23.7
Jong AZ
23.4
Den Bosch
23.3
NAC Breda
22.9
FC Eindhoven
22.9
De Graafschap
22.7
MVV
22.5
Waalwijk
22.4
FC Volendam
22.3
Almere City FC
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.61+2.2%
Under 9.5
40.6%
@ 2.15-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.22
Unibet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.0%
Under 21.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Jong Utrecht or Draw
67.1%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.46
Edge
+3.1%
47%
25%
28%
covers Jong Utrecht + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
SBO
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Jong Utrecht or FC Eindhoven
76.1%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
+1.5%
47%
25%
28%
covers Jong Utrecht + FC Eindhoven
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or FC Eindhoven
56.9%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
-4.6%
47%
25%
28%
covers Draw + FC Eindhoven
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5
Over
84.7%
@ 1.17+5.6%
Under
15.3%
@ 4.43-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5
Over
56.0%
@ 1.88+6.5%
Under
44.0%
@ 1.84-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.83
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5
Over
29.1%
@ 3.73+4.3%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.23-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Jong Utrecht over/under 3.5
Over
12.2%
@ 8.68+1.4%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.05-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.90
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
FC Eindhoven over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
@ 1.18+2.1%
Under
19.6%
@ 4.26-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Unibet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
FC Eindhoven over/under 1.5
Over
48.4%
@ 1.97+1.3%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.76-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
FC Eindhoven over/under 2.5
Over
22.4%
@ 4.01-0.6%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.20+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
FC Eindhoven over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
@ 9.43-1.7%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Jong Utrecht, so a minus line means Jong Utrecht give that many goals of a start and FC Eindhoven receive them. At -1, Jong Utrecht must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Jong Utrecht win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Jong Utrecht)
Jong Utrecht -2
10.9%
@ 8.97+0.9%
Draw -2
13.2%
@ 6.74-0.1%
FC Eindhoven +2
75.9%
@ 1.17-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.90
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Unibet
6.40
Away
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Jong Utrecht)
Jong Utrecht -1
24.1%
@ 4.30+3.4%
Draw -1
19.0%
@ 4.39-1.3%
FC Eindhoven +1
56.9%
@ 1.52-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Handicap +1 (Jong Utrecht)
Jong Utrecht +1
67.1%
@ 1.45+6.0%
Draw +1
16.4%
@ 4.47-3.5%
FC Eindhoven -1
16.6%
@ 4.66-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Away
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Handicap +2 (Jong Utrecht)
Jong Utrecht +2
83.4%
@ 1.15+4.9%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 7.20-2.6%
FC Eindhoven -2
6.6%
@ 10.03-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Unibet
6.50
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Unibet
9.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jong Utrecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
1.00
1.21
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
2.00
3.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.80
0.92
1.08
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Eindhoven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.93
0.64
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.50
2.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.79
0.67
0.67
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.24-0.4%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.62+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.7%
@ 2.19-6.8%
Under 1.5
64.3%
@ 1.61+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 4.89-4.5%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.15+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.80
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.9%
@ 1.77-2.6%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.95+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.5%
@ 4.90-3.5%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.15+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 11.88-5.1%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
FC Eindhoven over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.2%
@ 1.83-2.5%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.88+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Unibet
1.93
1xBet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
FC Eindhoven over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.5%
@ 5.28-6.1%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.13+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
FC Eindhoven over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 13.12-5.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jong Utrecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.00
0.86
1.07
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
0.80
3.00
0.00
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
1.04
0.69
1.15
0.75
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Eindhoven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Eindhoven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.10
1.14
1.07
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.75
vs Similar (24)
0.83
1.21
1.17
1.17
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.14-2.3%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 5.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
William Hil
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.0%
@ 1.71-6.5%
Under 1.5
52.0%
@ 2.04+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Under
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.7%
@ 3.19-7.4%
Under 2.5
78.3%
@ 1.31+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.9%
@ 1.54-5.3%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.33+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Under
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.0%
@ 3.55-6.1%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.25+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.55
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.1%
@ 9.00-5.2%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
FC Eindhoven over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.7%
@ 1.58-5.2%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.26+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.26
10Bet
2.25
FC Eindhoven over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.9%
@ 3.73-6.8%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.23+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
10Bet
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
FC Eindhoven over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.5%
@ 9.00-4.9%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.04+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
Under 7.5
97.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 6.5
93.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-0.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.7%
Under 5.5 cards
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.13
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+6.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
87.8%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-1.4%
Under 5.5
85.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-1.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+4.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
84.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+5.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.15
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+3.5%
Home +2 handicap
83.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+4.9%
Over 1.5
83.2%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
+1.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.23
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+6.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
80.4%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+2.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.25
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
-
+6.1%
Under 4.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-2.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.31
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+7.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
77.6%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+0.6%
Home or Away
76.1%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+1.5%
Away +2 handicap
75.9%
1.17
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-0.8%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.0%
1.24
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-0.4%
Under 4.5
72.4%
1.23
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
-3.1%
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
1.35
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
70.9%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
-4.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Jong Utrecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Owen67%
Bjorn Menzo40%
Jerayno Hunte33%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Massien Ghaddari0%
Viggo Plantinga0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Jamie Schuldes0%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Viggo Plantinga40%
Jamie Schuldes20%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah20%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Massien Ghaddari0%
Bjorn Menzo0%
Emmanuel Owen0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
Jerayno Hunte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tijn den Boggende25%
Massien Ghaddari20%
Bjorn Menzo20%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Viggo Plantinga0%
Emmanuel Owen0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Jamie Schuldes0%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
Jerayno Hunte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emmanuel Owen67%
Massien Ghaddari20%
Mees Eppink0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Bjorn Menzo0%
Viggo Plantinga0%
Jessey Sneijder0%
Driss Laaouina0%
Jamie Schuldes0%
Nana Gyamfi-Amoah0%
Matyas Havelka0%
Levi Rietveld0%
Jerayno Hunte0%
FC Eindhoven
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Renfrum25%
Siegert Baartmans25%
Mika de Jonge25%
Clint Essers0%
Xander Blomme0%
Jort Borgmans0%
Guus Beaumont0%
Junior Poortvliet0%
Niek Munsters0%
Luc Netten0%
Rens Boon0%
Amir Bryson0%
Emre Eksi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rens Boon33%
Clint Essers25%
Xander Blomme0%
Jort Borgmans0%
Guus Beaumont0%
Junior Poortvliet0%
Niek Munsters0%
Luc Netten0%
Amir Bryson0%
Owen Renfrum0%
Siegert Baartmans0%
Mika de Jonge0%
Emre Eksi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guus Beaumont50%
Niek Munsters33%
Mika de Jonge25%
Clint Essers0%
Xander Blomme0%
Jort Borgmans0%
Junior Poortvliet0%
Luc Netten0%
Rens Boon0%
Amir Bryson0%
Owen Renfrum0%
Siegert Baartmans0%
Emre Eksi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika de Jonge25%
Clint Essers0%
Xander Blomme0%
Jort Borgmans0%
Guus Beaumont0%
Junior Poortvliet0%
Niek Munsters0%
Luc Netten0%
Rens Boon0%
Amir Bryson0%
Owen Renfrum0%
Siegert Baartmans0%
Emre Eksi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
Jong Utrecht and FC Eindhoven have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACF (10)
€5m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Jong Utrecht and FC Eindhoven have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Jong Utrecht and FC Eindhoven have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Jong Utrecht and FC Eindhoven have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Heracles
MVV
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
Vitesse
Roda
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
Jong AZ
Waalwijk
Den Bosch
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
FC OSS
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap