Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jong Utrecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.93
0.40
0.93
0.20
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.27
0.92
0.46
0.92
0.08
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.40
0.47
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.85
0.46
0.46
0.69
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jong Utrecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.27
0.47
1.07
0.53
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
1.27
0.54
1.15
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.07
0.47
0.87
0.67
1.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
1.04
0.54
0.85
0.69
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Utrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jong Utrecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Utrecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
Jong Utrecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Ohio67%
Rafik El Arguioui28%
Anthony Descotte25%
Adrian Blake20%
Georgios Charalampoglou13%
Silas Andersen12%
Sil van der Wegen9%
Lynden Edhart8%
Massien Ghaddari7%
Jesper van Riel5%
Joshua Mukeh5%
Mees Akkerman4%
Emil Rohd4%
Noa Dundas3%
BjΓΆrn Hardley0%
Gibson Yah0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Rickson van Hees0%
Oualid Agougil0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Andreas Dithmer0%
Ivar Jenner0%
Tony Varjund0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Achraf Boumenjal0%
Neal Viereck0%
Michel Driezen0%
Nazjir Held0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Sofiane Dris0%
Bjorn Menzo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rafik El Arguioui28%
Rickson van Hees27%
Anthony Descotte25%
Joshua Mukeh24%
Neal Viereck21%
Mees Akkerman20%
Noa Dundas17%
Ivar Jenner15%
Adrian Blake13%
Achraf Boumenjal12%
Oualid Agougil11%
Nazjir Held10%
Gibson Yah10%
Bjorn Menzo9%
Wessel Kooy8%
Per Kloosterboer7%
Silas Andersen6%
Sil van der Wegen6%
Lynden Edhart6%
Tijn den Boggende4%
Massien Ghaddari4%
Georgios Charalampoglou3%
Noah Ohio0%
BjΓΆrn Hardley0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Andreas Dithmer0%
Tony Varjund0%
Emil Rohd0%
Michel Driezen0%
Jesper van Riel0%
Sofiane Dris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tijn den Boggende12%
Mees Akkerman8%
Emil Rohd7%
Silas Andersen6%
Sil van der Wegen6%
Lynden Edhart6%
Jesper van Riel5%
Gibson Yah5%
Sofiane Dris5%
Massien Ghaddari4%
Nazjir Held3%
Georgios Charalampoglou3%
Anthony Descotte0%
Noah Ohio0%
BjΓΆrn Hardley0%
Joshua Mukeh0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Rickson van Hees0%
Noa Dundas0%
Oualid Agougil0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Andreas Dithmer0%
Ivar Jenner0%
Tony Varjund0%
Rafik El Arguioui0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Adrian Blake0%
Achraf Boumenjal0%
Neal Viereck0%
Michel Driezen0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Bjorn Menzo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Ohio67%
Rafik El Arguioui33%
Georgios Charalampoglou23%
Bjorn Menzo18%
Lynden Edhart17%
Adrian Blake7%
Nazjir Held6%
Silas Andersen6%
Sil van der Wegen3%
Anthony Descotte0%
BjΓΆrn Hardley0%
Gibson Yah0%
Joshua Mukeh0%
Kevin Gadellaa0%
Rickson van Hees0%
Noa Dundas0%
Oualid Agougil0%
Tom de Graaff0%
Andreas Dithmer0%
Ivar Jenner0%
Tony Varjund0%
Wessel Kooy0%
Achraf Boumenjal0%
Emil Rohd0%
Neal Viereck0%
Michel Driezen0%
Per Kloosterboer0%
Mees Akkerman0%
Jesper van Riel0%
Tijn den Boggende0%
Massien Ghaddari0%
Sofiane Dris0%
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dean Zandbergen22%
Layee Kromah21%
Gabin Blancquart17%
Bjorn van Zijl15%
Navarone Foor14%
Konstantinos Doumtsios12%
Max de Waal11%
NaΓ―m Matoug9%
Sylian Mokono8%
Martijn Berden8%
Thijme Verheijen8%
Tim Braem6%
Simon Janssen6%
Lasse Wehmeyer6%
Elias Sierra6%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl6%
Pepijn Doesburg5%
Rick Ketting4%
Dries Saddiki0%
Jan de Boer0%
Trevor Doornbusch0%
Brahim Darri0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Roel Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Diego van Zutphen0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri El Anbri0%
Resley Kessels0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roel Janssen43%
Tim Braem26%
Gabin Blancquart24%
Emmanuel Gyamfi19%
Simon Janssen18%
Lasse Wehmeyer18%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl17%
Navarone Foor14%
Sylian Mokono12%
Rick Ketting11%
Max de Waal11%
Diego van Zutphen11%
Brahim Darri10%
Jan de Boer9%
Trevor Doornbusch8%
Yousri El Anbri8%
Serano Seymor7%
Konstantinos Doumtsios4%
Martijn Berden4%
Thijme Verheijen4%
NaΓ―m Matoug3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Elias Sierra0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Dean Zandbergen0%
Layee Kromah0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Resley Kessels0%
Bjorn van Zijl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martijn Berden15%
Navarone Foor14%
Dean Zandbergen11%
Brahim Darri10%
NaΓ―m Matoug9%
Konstantinos Doumtsios8%
Bjorn van Zijl8%
Serano Seymor7%
Layee Kromah7%
Emmanuel Gyamfi6%
Elias Sierra6%
Thijme Verheijen4%
Tim Braem3%
Simon Janssen3%
Lasse Wehmeyer3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Jan de Boer0%
Trevor Doornbusch0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Roel Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Rick Ketting0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Max de Waal0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Diego van Zutphen0%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri El Anbri0%
Resley Kessels0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen33%
Navarone Foor21%
Thijme Verheijen19%
Konstantinos Doumtsios17%
Layee Kromah14%
Pepijn Doesburg11%
Lasse Wehmeyer9%
Martijn Berden8%
Rick Ketting7%
NaΓ―m Matoug6%
Max de Waal5%
Sylian Mokono4%
Tim Braem3%
Elias Sierra3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Jan de Boer0%
Trevor Doornbusch0%
Brahim Darri0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Roel Janssen0%
Simon Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Diego van Zutphen0%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri El Anbri0%
Resley Kessels0%
Bjorn van Zijl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
Jong Utrecht's squad is €2m less valuable than VVV Venlo's (€2m vs €4m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo have a similar attack value (both €1m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
EXC (11)
€6m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Jong Utrecht's defence is €1m less valuable than VVV Venlo's (€1m vs €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →