This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.80
1.80
1.27
0.73
2.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.32
1.82
1.93
1.36
0.71
2.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.0%
Under 2.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
Jonkopings Sodra goals ↓
Skövde AIK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.6%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.7%
10%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
2
7.8%
9.7%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.4%
6.7%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.8%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jonkopings Sodra goals (down), columns = Skövde AIK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.10
Gais
1.90
Utsikten
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Ostersunds FK
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Trelleborg
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orgryte IS
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.17
Skövde AIK
1.16
Orebro SK
1.13
Helsingborg
1.10
AFC Eskilstuna
1.03
Jonkopings Sodra
1.03
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
United Nordic
0.00
Jonkopings Sodra is 0.12 points worse than Skövde AIK in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gais
2.03
Osters IF
1.90
Utsikten
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.60
Skövde AIK
1.47
Ostersunds FK
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.43
Orebro SK
1.43
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Trelleborg
1.33
IK brage
1.30
GIF Sundsvall
1.23
Gefle IF
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.09
Helsingborg
1.07
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
AFC Eskilstuna
0.93
United Nordic
0.00
Jonkopings Sodra is 0.04 goals worse than Skövde AIK in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.77
Vasteras SK FK
0.80
United Nordic
1.00
Utsikten
1.03
Osters IF
1.17
Helsingborg
1.23
Ostersunds FK
1.30
AFC Eskilstuna
1.40
IK brage
1.40
Orgryte IS
1.47
Gefle IF
1.50
Orebro SK
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Skövde AIK
1.69
Trelleborg
1.73
GIF Sundsvall
1.77
Jonkopings Sodra
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
2.50
Jonkopings Sodra is 0.21 goals worse than Skövde AIK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Osters IF
54%
Gais
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Landskrona BoIS
53%
Jonkopings Sodra
52%
Utsikten
52%
Orebro SK
49%
Orgryte IS
49%
IK brage
49%
Ostersunds FK
49%
AFC Eskilstuna
49%
Helsingborg
48%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Gefle IF
47%
Trelleborg
47%
Skövde AIK
46%
Jonkopings Sodra is 5.9 percentage points better than Skövde AIK in terms of average possession (52% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Jonkopings Sodra
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skövde AIK
For 4.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jonkopings Sodra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.3
9.8
3.0
2.8
3.3
24.6
24.4
24.8
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
8.5
11.3
3.0
2.0
3.7
20.8
24.0
18.7
vs Similar (45)
9.5
9.4
9.5
3.0
2.8
3.3
25.2
24.4
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
60%
37%
48%
44%
52%
65%
67%
63%
% under line
51%
40%
63%
52%
56%
48%
35%
33%
37%
This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
12.1
11.9
3.0
2.9
3.1
26.6
27.2
25.9
vs Stronger (2)
15.5
17.0
14.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
29.5
32.0
27.0
vs Similar (48)
11.8
11.8
11.8
3.1
3.0
3.2
26.5
26.9
25.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
78%
71%
84%
38%
36%
40%
77%
81%
72%
% under line
22%
29%
16%
62%
64%
60%
23%
19%
28%
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.9
Gais
11.7
GIF Sundsvall
11.1
Orebro SK
11.0
Helsingborg
10.9
Orgryte IS
10.8
Vasteras SK FK
10.7
Landskrona BoIS
10.7
Ostersunds FK
10.3
Trelleborg
10.3
Gefle IF
10.3
Osters IF
10.2
AFC Eskilstuna
10.2
Utsikten
9.8
Jonkopings Sodra
9.6
IK brage
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Gais
4.9
Orgryte IS
4.7
Ostersunds FK
4.6
Falkenbergs FF
4.5
Osters IF
4.5
Helsingborg
4.4
Landskrona BoIS
4.4
Gefle IF
4.3
Orebro SK
4.1
Trelleborg
4.0
AFC Eskilstuna
4.0
Jonkopings Sodra
3.8
Skövde AIK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.7
Gefle IF
26.7
Skövde AIK
26.5
Ostersunds FK
25.9
Orgryte IS
25.8
Trelleborg
25.7
Landskrona BoIS
25.1
IK brage
25.0
Jonkopings Sodra
24.6
Orebro SK
24.4
Osters IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.3
AFC Eskilstuna
24.2
Gais
24.0
Vasteras SK FK
22.8
GIF Sundsvall
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.5%
Under 9.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jonkopings Sodra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.60
0.33
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.74
0.57
0.36
1.00
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.53
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.64
0.71
0.57
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jonkopings Sodra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.10
1.07
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
1.11
1.07
1.00
0.31
1.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Skövde AIK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skövde AIK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.10
1.13
0.73
0.20
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.68
1.18
1.21
0.79
0.14
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skövde AIK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Skövde AIK · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Engstrom36%
Mamudo Moro12%
Armend Suljev9%
Sargon Abraham8%
Emil Skillermo8%
Filip Schyberg7%
Marcus Mikhail7%
Adrian Zendejas0%
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic0%
Žiga Ovsenek0%
Elmar Abraham0%
Samuel Sorman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Fritiof Hellichius0%
Filip Drinic0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Alper Demirol0%
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne73%
Filip Schyberg29%
Hugo Engstrom27%
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic18%
Filip Drinic18%
Adrian Zendejas17%
Mamudo Moro12%
Žiga Ovsenek12%
Fritiof Hellichius9%
Armend Suljev9%
Sargon Abraham8%
Samuel Sorman8%
Marcus Mikhail7%
Elmar Abraham0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Alper Demirol0%
Emil Skillermo0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Mikhail14%
Fritiof Hellichius9%
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne9%
Samuel Sorman8%
Sargon Abraham0%
Mamudo Moro0%
Adrian Zendejas0%
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Žiga Ovsenek0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Elmar Abraham0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Filip Drinic0%
Armend Suljev0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Alper Demirol0%
Emil Skillermo0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Alexander Ljubicic27%
Shirko Shhab25%
Hugo Engstrom18%
Žiga Ovsenek12%
Armend Suljev9%
Sargon Abraham0%
Mamudo Moro0%
Adrian Zendejas0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Elmar Abraham0%
Samuel Sorman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Elias Lindell0%
Edvin Tellgren0%
Marcus Mikhail0%
Fritiof Hellichius0%
Filip Drinic0%
Alper Demirol0%
Emil Skillermo0%
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Alex Hall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →