This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.43
2.20
1.33
1.33
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.65
1.41
2.00
1.22
1.25
1.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.92
1.46
2.50
1.50
1.43
1.43
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.8%
Under 2.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
2-1 ✓
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
Jonkopings Sodra goals ↓
Vasteras SK FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.6%
7.2%
3.5%
1.3%
1
7.1%
13%
8.9%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.2%
7.5%
5.5%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.1%
3.1%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jonkopings Sodra goals (down), columns = Vasteras SK FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.10
Gais
1.90
Utsikten
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Ostersunds FK
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Trelleborg
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orgryte IS
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.17
Skövde AIK
1.16
Orebro SK
1.13
Helsingborg
1.10
AFC Eskilstuna
1.03
Jonkopings Sodra
1.03
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
United Nordic
0.00
Jonkopings Sodra is 1.07 points worse than Vasteras SK FK in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 2.10).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gais
2.03
Osters IF
1.90
Utsikten
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.60
Skövde AIK
1.47
Ostersunds FK
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.43
Orebro SK
1.43
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Trelleborg
1.33
IK brage
1.30
GIF Sundsvall
1.23
Gefle IF
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.09
Helsingborg
1.07
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
AFC Eskilstuna
0.93
United Nordic
0.00
Jonkopings Sodra is 0.17 goals worse than Vasteras SK FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.77
Vasteras SK FK
0.80
United Nordic
1.00
Utsikten
1.03
Osters IF
1.17
Helsingborg
1.23
Ostersunds FK
1.30
AFC Eskilstuna
1.40
IK brage
1.40
Orgryte IS
1.47
Gefle IF
1.50
Orebro SK
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Skövde AIK
1.69
Trelleborg
1.73
GIF Sundsvall
1.77
Jonkopings Sodra
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
2.50
Jonkopings Sodra is 1.10 goals worse than Vasteras SK FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Osters IF
54%
Gais
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Landskrona BoIS
53%
Jonkopings Sodra
52%
Utsikten
52%
Orebro SK
49%
Orgryte IS
49%
IK brage
49%
Ostersunds FK
49%
AFC Eskilstuna
49%
Helsingborg
48%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Gefle IF
47%
Trelleborg
47%
Skövde AIK
46%
Jonkopings Sodra is 1.2 percentage points worse than Vasteras SK FK in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Jonkopings Sodra
For 3.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vasteras SK FK
For 5.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 14.6 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jonkopings Sodra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
9.6
9.2
9.9
2.6
2.6
2.6
25.6
25.2
25.8
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
7.0
11.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
23.0
29.0
17.0
vs Similar (32)
9.6
9.5
9.8
2.6
2.6
2.7
25.9
24.7
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
50%
45%
35%
41%
29%
72%
75%
70%
% under line
52%
50%
55%
65%
59%
71%
28%
25%
30%
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
11.3
11.4
11.3
2.1
2.5
1.7
22.4
22.1
22.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
12.1
12.4
11.7
2.3
2.6
2.0
24.2
24.2
24.2
vs Weaker (13)
10.2
9.5
10.8
1.7
2.2
1.3
20.1
19.0
21.0
% over line
68%
82%
55%
32%
41%
24%
48%
50%
45%
% under line
32%
18%
45%
68%
59%
76%
52%
50%
55%
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.5
Gais
11.5
Landskrona BoIS
11.4
Vasteras SK FK
11.3
Orebro SK
10.7
Helsingborg
10.6
Utsikten
10.5
Orgryte IS
10.2
Ostersunds FK
10.2
Trelleborg
10.0
GIF Sundsvall
9.9
Osters IF
9.7
Jonkopings Sodra
9.6
AFC Eskilstuna
9.3
IK brage
8.5
Gefle IF
8.0
Falkenbergs FF
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
6.1
Gefle IF
6.0
Gais
5.8
Ostersunds FK
4.8
Osters IF
4.5
Falkenbergs FF
4.5
Trelleborg
4.5
Orebro SK
4.3
Landskrona BoIS
4.2
Orgryte IS
4.2
AFC Eskilstuna
4.2
Helsingborg
4.2
Jonkopings Sodra
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
GIF Sundsvall
3.4
Vasteras SK FK
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gefle IF
33.0
Utsikten
30.5
Trelleborg
27.6
Orgryte IS
27.4
Ostersunds FK
26.6
Skövde AIK
26.5
Gais
26.2
Landskrona BoIS
25.7
IK brage
25.7
Jonkopings Sodra
25.6
AFC Eskilstuna
25.4
Orebro SK
25.0
Osters IF
24.3
Helsingborg
23.3
GIF Sundsvall
22.6
Vasteras SK FK
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.7%
Under 21.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jonkopings Sodra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.75
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.47
1.20
0.40
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.47
1.11
0.33
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.46
1.33
0.50
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jonkopings Sodra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.87
0.80
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.82
0.79
0.86
0.64
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.97
1.00
0.93
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.94
0.89
0.89
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
1.00
1.17
1.00
0.43
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vasteras SK FK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikkel Ladefoged43%
Bonaventure Lendambi29%
Taonsa Axel17%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Jens Magnusson8%
Mattias Hellisdal7%
Marcus Baggesen6%
Simon Gefvert5%
Herman Magnusson5%
Philip Bonde5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Jonathan Ring0%
Ismet Lushaku0%
Elis Jäger0%
Madiou Keita0%
Mamadou Diagne0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikkel Ladefoged29%
Bonaventure Lendambi29%
Victor Wernersson18%
Jens Magnusson17%
Madiou Keita17%
Jonathan Ring14%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Taonsa Axel11%
Herman Magnusson11%
Mamadou Diagne11%
Ismet Lushaku8%
Mattias Hellisdal7%
Marcus Baggesen6%
Jonathan Karlsson6%
Simon Gefvert5%
Karl Gunnarsson5%
Elis Jäger5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Philip Bonde0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismet Lushaku25%
Marcus Baggesen25%
Jonathan Ring14%
Mattias Hellisdal14%
Simon Gefvert11%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Abdelrahman Boudah8%
Jens Magnusson8%
Mikkel Ladefoged7%
Mamadou Diagne5%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Herman Magnusson0%
Elis Jäger0%
Madiou Keita0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Philip Bonde0%
Taonsa Axel0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Bonaventure Lendambi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taonsa Axel22%
Mikkel Ladefoged21%
Jonathan Ring14%
Bonaventure Lendambi14%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Mamadou Diagne5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Ismet Lushaku0%
Simon Gefvert0%
Herman Magnusson0%
Jens Magnusson0%
Elis Jäger0%
Mattias Hellisdal0%
Madiou Keita0%
Marcus Baggesen0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Philip Bonde0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →