This opponent (Sampdoria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sampdoria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.20
1.13
1.07
0.67
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.90
1.20
1.13
1.07
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
Juve Stabia goals ↓
Sampdoria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.6%
2.0%
0.6%
1
11%
14%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.6%
8.3%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.2%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Juve Stabia goals (down), columns = Sampdoria goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Palermo
1.88
Hellas Verona
1.82
Pisa
1.72
Catanzaro
1.58
Cremonese
1.54
Modena
1.41
Juve Stabia
1.34
Avellino
1.26
Padova
1.21
Cesena
1.21
Mantova
1.21
Arezzo
1.19
Benevento
1.17
Vicenza Virtus
1.16
Sampdoria
1.16
Carrarese
1.16
Ascoli
1.15
Virtus Entella
1.11
Empoli
1.08
Sudtirol
1.07
Juve Stabia is 0.18 points better than Sampdoria in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hellas Verona
1.73
Catanzaro
1.63
Pisa
1.63
Palermo
1.57
Cremonese
1.46
Modena
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Carrarese
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Mantova
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.17
Arezzo
1.13
Benevento
1.11
Avellino
1.10
Vicenza Virtus
1.10
Ascoli
1.09
Padova
1.03
Sudtirol
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Sampdoria
0.92
Juve Stabia is 0.25 goals better than Sampdoria in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Palermo
0.90
Hellas Verona
0.94
Modena
0.95
Pisa
1.00
Cremonese
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.20
Sudtirol
1.20
Sampdoria
1.26
Catanzaro
1.28
Padova
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.34
Carrarese
1.37
Empoli
1.42
Arezzo
1.43
Benevento
1.46
Vicenza Virtus
1.47
Cesena
1.47
Avellino
1.49
Ascoli
1.49
Mantova
1.50
Juve Stabia is 0.07 goals better than Sampdoria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
57%
Catanzaro
54%
Juve Stabia
53%
Sampdoria
51%
Carrarese
51%
Modena
50%
Avellino
50%
Cesena
50%
Palermo
49%
Empoli
48%
Padova
48%
Virtus Entella
46%
Sudtirol
41%
Juve Stabia is 2.7 percentage points better than Sampdoria in terms of average possession (53% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Juve Stabia
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 14.9 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sampdoria
For 6.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 18.2 · Total 31.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Juve Stabia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.9
8.3
3.1
3.0
3.2
29.1
30.5
27.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.1
9.9
8.3
3.1
3.0
3.3
29.1
30.5
27.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
44%
24%
44%
40%
48%
91%
100%
82%
% under line
67%
56%
76%
56%
60%
52%
9%
0%
18%
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sampdoria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.5
3.1
3.4
2.9
31.7
33.6
29.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
10.1
10.7
9.5
3.2
3.6
2.9
31.7
33.6
29.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
56%
41%
46%
42%
50%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
52%
44%
59%
54%
58%
50%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Benevento
11.0
Carrarese
10.6
Vicenza Virtus
10.4
Padova
10.0
Virtus Entella
9.9
Palermo
9.6
Ascoli
9.6
Cesena
9.4
Empoli
9.4
Mantova
9.3
Sampdoria
9.1
Juve Stabia
9.1
Modena
9.0
Avellino
9.0
Catanzaro
8.9
Cremonese
8.9
Hellas Verona
8.8
Sudtirol
8.5
Pisa
8.3
Arezzo
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ascoli
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Mantova
5.1
Carrarese
5.1
Sampdoria
5.1
Catanzaro
4.9
Avellino
4.9
Palermo
4.8
Juve Stabia
4.8
Padova
4.7
Modena
4.7
Empoli
4.5
Benevento
4.5
Virtus Entella
4.3
Sudtirol
4.2
Hellas Verona
4.1
Cesena
4.1
Pisa
4.1
Cremonese
4.0
Arezzo
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
33.0
Sampdoria
32.6
Ascoli
32.6
Sudtirol
30.8
Avellino
30.8
Catanzaro
30.5
Vicenza Virtus
30.0
Virtus Entella
29.9
Empoli
29.8
Juve Stabia
29.7
Padova
28.7
Modena
28.6
Benevento
28.5
Carrarese
28.4
Palermo
28.4
Cremonese
28.0
Cesena
26.1
Hellas Verona
25.9
Pisa
25.1
Arezzo
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Juve Stabia or Draw
71.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
30%
covers Juve Stabia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia or Sampdoria
68.8%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
30%
covers Juve Stabia + Sampdoria
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sampdoria
59.5%
Avg Implied -
39%
30%
30%
covers Draw + Sampdoria
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 0.5
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 1.5
Over
26.3%
Under
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 2.5
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Juve Stabia, so a minus line means Juve Stabia give that many goals of a start and Sampdoria receive them. At -1, Juve Stabia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Juve Stabia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Juve Stabia)
Juve Stabia -2
6.3%
Draw -2
12.2%
Sampdoria +2
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Juve Stabia)
Juve Stabia -1
18.5%
Draw -1
22.0%
Sampdoria +1
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Juve Stabia)
Juve Stabia +1
71.7%
Draw +1
17.4%
Sampdoria -1
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Juve Stabia)
Juve Stabia +2
89.1%
Draw +2
7.9%
Sampdoria -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Juve Stabia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.29
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.29
0.44
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sampdoria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.13
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.30
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.13
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Juve Stabia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.93
0.71
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.70
0.93
0.71
0.50
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sampdoria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sampdoria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sampdoria over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Juve Stabia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Bellich33%
Leonardo Candellone33%
Thomas Battistella0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Piscopo33%
Davide Buglio33%
Giulio Scuderi33%
Marco Bellich0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Leonardo Candellone0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Battistella33%
Nicola Patanè33%
Marco Bellich0%
Leonardo Candellone0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leonardo Candellone33%
Kevin Piscopo33%
Marco Bellich0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
Sampdoria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Liam Henderson33%
Gennaro Tutino33%
Danel Sinani0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Peter Vindahl0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Salvatore Esposito0%
Manuel Cicconi0%
Mattia Viti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Cicconi67%
Liam Henderson33%
Danel Sinani0%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Peter Vindahl0%
Gennaro Tutino0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Salvatore Esposito0%
Mattia Viti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefan Gartenmann33%
Danel Sinani0%
Peter Vindahl0%
Liam Henderson0%
Gennaro Tutino0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Salvatore Esposito0%
Manuel Cicconi0%
Mattia Viti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Danel Sinani33%
Liam Henderson33%
Stefan Gartenmann0%
Peter Vindahl0%
Gennaro Tutino0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Salvatore Esposito0%
Manuel Cicconi0%
Mattia Viti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
PAD (31)
€25m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
EMP (27)
€20m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
ARE (32)
€13m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Juve Stabia's squad is €24m less valuable than Sampdoria's (€13m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
PAD (9)
€6m
AVE (10)
€6m
CAR (5)
€5m
ASC (11)
€5m
ARE (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
VE (7)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
JS (8)
€2m
Juve Stabia's attack is €11m less valuable than Sampdoria's (€2m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
SAM (6)
€7m
PAD (9)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
ARE (6)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
Juve Stabia's midfield is €2m less valuable than Sampdoria's (€5m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
PAD (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
ARE (16)
€6m
JS (14)
€6m
BEN (13)
€5m
EMP (9)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Juve Stabia's defence is €11m less valuable than Sampdoria's (€6m vs €17m).
Italy: Serie B 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →