Kaisar’s recent three defeats have left them searching for a spark, while Okzhetpes, fresh from a win, look to extend their good form. The model sees the match as a tight contest, with the home side just edging out a win at 37%, a draw at 29%, and the visitors at 34%. The most likely result is a home win, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 13.9% chance. The expected total goals hover around 2.6, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. Kaisar, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded, whereas Okzhetpes, on the road, averages 1.46 scored and 1.77 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.7%), and Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Kaisar, the pre-match favourite, fell short of the 37% odds that the model had given them a home win. The final score was 2-3, giving Okzhetpes a deserved away victory. The model’s call was wrong, but its other selections proved accurate. Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2% and Home under 3.5 goals at 95.6%. Kaisar’s run of four straight defeats ended, while Okzhetpes continued a two-game winning streak.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kaisar win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.50
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.19
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Unibet
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Okzhetpes win✓ Hit
33.7%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.54
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.69
Superbet
2.62
Betfair
2.60
William Hil
2.60
Betano
2.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kaisar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.57
1.20
1.07
1.20
2.07
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
1.93
1.12
1.38
0.83
2.67
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.33
1.29
0.71
1.38
1.88
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Okzhetpes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.70
1.60
1.60
1.40
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.50
1.70
1.60
1.60
1.40
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
@ 1.27+1.4%
Under 1.5
26.3%
@ 3.30-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Unibet
3.75
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.1%
@ 1.89-2.4%
Under 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.84+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.93
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Under
Unibet
1.98
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.5%
@ 3.09-4.2%
Under 3.5
74.5%
@ 1.31+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Under
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
@ 1.68-1.4%
No
46.7%
@ 2.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
No
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.64+6.5%
0-0
9.0%@ 8.93+4.4%
1-0
8.9%@ 7.82+3.6%
0-1
8.4%@ 7.58+2.9%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.58+3.5%
1-2
7.9%@ 8.51+3.0%
2-0
6.7%@ 11.19+3.0%
0-2
6.0%@ 11.22+2.3%
Kaisar goals ↓
Okzhetpes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.4%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.9%
14%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.3%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.9%
3.6%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kaisar goals (down), columns = Okzhetpes goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
Kaisar is 1.40 points worse than Okzhetpes in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
Kaisar is 0.80 goals worse than Okzhetpes in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
Kaisar is 0.60 goals worse than Okzhetpes in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kaisar
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Okzhetpes
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Kaisar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (23)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Okzhetpes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.4
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.4
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Kaisar or Draw✗ Miss
66.3%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.43
Edge
+2.3%
37%
29%
34%
covers Kaisar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Kaisar or Okzhetpes✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
-1.2%
37%
29%
34%
covers Kaisar + Okzhetpes
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or Okzhetpes✓ Hit
62.9%
Avg Implied 63.9% · @ 1.43
Edge
-1.0%
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + Okzhetpes
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Kaisar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.1%
@ 1.28+2.0%
Under
26.9%
@ 3.15-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Under
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.15
10Bet
2.85
Kaisar over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.8%
@ 2.36-1.2%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.51+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.62
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Under
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Kaisar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 5.07-3.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.10+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Superbet
4.90
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Kaisar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 23.00+0.2%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
23.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.1%
@ 1.26-0.8%
Under
28.9%
@ 3.25+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.22
Under
10Bet
3.50
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.3%
@ 2.34-4.1%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.51+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.0%
@ 5.30-4.1%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.09+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Superbet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Okzhetpes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.00-3.6%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Kaisar, so a minus line means Kaisar give that many goals of a start and Okzhetpes receive them. At -1, Kaisar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kaisar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Kaisar)Actual: Okzhetpes
Kaisar -2
6.1%
@ 6.60-5.9%
Draw -2
11.2%
@ 4.65-5.8%
Okzhetpes +2
82.7%
@ 1.11+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Kaisar)Actual: Okzhetpes
Kaisar -1
17.3%
@ 5.01+0.1%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 4.02-1.6%
Okzhetpes +1
62.9%
@ 1.40+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.00
Draw
10Bet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Unibet
3.50
Away
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Kaisar)Actual: Draw
Kaisar +1
66.3%
@ 1.41+5.9%
Draw +1
18.7%
@ 3.97-2.8%
Okzhetpes -1
15.0%
@ 4.70-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.00
Handicap +2 (Kaisar)Actual: Kaisar
Kaisar +2
85.0%
@ 1.10+13.1%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 4.85-6.3%
Okzhetpes -2
5.0%
@ 6.65-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kaisar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.67
0.27
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.71
0.75
0.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.73
0.57
0.29
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Okzhetpes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.53
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.80
0.80
0.93
0.53
0.67
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.1%
@ 1.37+0.1%
Under 0.5
32.9%
@ 2.78-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 2.67-4.2%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.40+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Under
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 6.48-4.2%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.45
Superbet
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.6%
@ 2.03-2.6%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.67+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Unibet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Kaisar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 6.45-3.5%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.06+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.45
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Kaisar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 2.07-1.9%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.65+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Under
Unibet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.3%
@ 6.75-2.3%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.06+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.75
Under
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kaisar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.53
0.80
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.21
0.38
1.12
0.50
1.33
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.60
0.71
0.43
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Okzhetpes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.67
1.07
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.90
0.67
1.07
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.22+1.1%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 3.56-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
William Hil
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Superbet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.5%
@ 2.06-3.1%
Under 1.5
58.5%
@ 1.66+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Under
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 4.33-6.2%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.15+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.20
Under
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.74-3.1%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.96+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Kaisar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 4.58-6.4%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.15+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.50
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Kaisar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.2%
@ 1.79-0.4%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.90+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 4.90-3.2%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.12+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.06
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.4%
1.08
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
87.0%
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.4%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.0%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.7%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.6%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.5%
1.31
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.7%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.1%
1.28
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.1%
1.26
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.22
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.8%
1.27
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-1.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Kaisar and Okzhetpes have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Kaisar and Okzhetpes have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Kaisar and Okzhetpes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Kaisar and Okzhetpes have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →