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Kaisar vs Zhenys Result & Analysis

Date: 29/06/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Kaisar
Kaisar
Vs
54%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zhenys
Zhenys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Kaisar are tipped to take the match at home, with a 54% chance of victory, 25% for a draw and 21% for a Zhenys win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a fairly open game, but the model’s most likely total is two goals, a 24% chance, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, at 11.8%. Kaisar have been scoring an average of two goals per game at home against similarly strong opposition while conceding just one, whereas Zhenys have struggled away, netting only one goal and letting in 2.5 on average. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.1% probability. The home win probability is 54%, the draw 25%, and the away win 21%. The final score of 2-0 confirms the home side’s advantage.

Results analysis

After a string of four defeats, Kaisar’s win extended their poor run, while Zhenys kept their three-game winning streak alive. The final score was 2-0, confirming the model’s home win pick with a 54% probability. The model’s selection was correct. Its over 1.5 goals suggestion, at 80.1%, hit as well. The most likely scoreline was 2-0, matching the result. Kaisar’s home form shows a 2.0 average goals scored and 1.0 conceded, whereas Zhenys’ away average is 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded. The expected total of 2.9 goals fell short, but the match still produced more than 1.5 goals, validating the model’s predictions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaisar win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zhenys win✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KaisarKaisar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W21W10W40W11D32W31W50W11D12LH·AKA17/04A·YAS24/04H·IGI30/04H·BUL08/05A·AST13/05H·OKZ22/05A·KYR28/05A·BAY12/06H·TAR19/06A·SPO25/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.400.902.400.802.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.881.122.001.001.751.25
vs Weaker (2)4.500.004.000.005.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhenys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhenysZhenys

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D03L14L11D11D12L40W02L31WA·AST17/04H·OKZ24/04A·KYR30/04H·TAR08/05A·SPO15/05H·EKI21/05A·BAY28/05A·IGI19/06H·ZHE24/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.221.561.251.751.201.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.172.001.251.751.002.50
vs Weaker (3)1.330.67--1.330.67
Clean sheet %22% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0 ✓
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
Kaisar goals ↓
Zhenys goals →
01234
06.4%4.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
18.7%12%5.9%2.2%0.6%
29.0%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.5%
35.5%6.0%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.5%2.8%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kaisar goals (down), columns = Zhenys goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.35
Kaisar
2.15
Zhetysu
2.12
Sport Academy Kairat
1.96
Kyran
1.58
Ekibastuz
1.42
Taraz Karatau
1.38
Zhenys
1.35
Yassy Turkistan
1.35
Akademiya Ontustik
1.15
Astana II
1.04
Igilik
0.81
Bulat
0.65
Baykonur
0.27
Kaisar is 0.81 points better than Zhenys in terms of average points per game (2.15 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Okzhetpes
3.08
Sport Academy Kairat
2.35
Kaisar
2.31
Zhetysu
2.19
Kyran
2.19
Astana II
1.92
Yassy Turkistan
1.85
Taraz Karatau
1.73
Ekibastuz
1.73
Akademiya Ontustik
1.62
Zhenys
1.54
Bulat
1.38
Igilik
1.04
Baykonur
0.62
Kaisar is 0.77 goals better than Zhenys in terms of goals scored per game (2.31 vs 1.54).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.85
Zhetysu
0.88
Kaisar
1.00
Sport Academy Kairat
1.19
Zhenys
1.38
Kyran
1.65
Taraz Karatau
1.81
Ekibastuz
1.81
Yassy Turkistan
2.08
Akademiya Ontustik
2.31
Astana II
2.38
Igilik
2.69
Baykonur
2.73
Bulat
2.77
Kaisar is 0.38 goals better than Zhenys in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KaisarKaisar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D10W11D11D10W20W01L11DH·AKA17/04A·YAS24/04H·IGI30/04H·BUL08/05A·AST13/05H·OKZ22/05A·KYR28/05A·BAY12/06H·TAR19/06A·SPO25/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.400.401.200.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.250.501.000.50
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhenys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhenysZhenys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L00D01L11D30W01L10WH·OKZ24/04A·KYR30/04H·TAR08/05A·SPO15/05H·EKI21/05A·BAY28/05A·IGI19/06H·ZHE24/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.880.500.750.751.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.331.000.500.750.001.50
vs Weaker (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhenys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhenys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhenys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KaisarKaisar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D10W30W00D21W21W30W10W01LH·AKA17/04A·YAS24/04H·IGI30/04H·BUL08/05A·AST13/05H·OKZ22/05A·KYR28/05A·BAY12/06H·TAR19/06A·SPO25/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.502.000.401.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.250.621.750.500.750.75
vs Weaker (2)3.000.003.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhenys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhenysZhenys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D10W01L10W01L21WH·OKZ24/04A·KYR30/04H·TAR08/05A·SPO15/05H·EKI21/05A·BAY28/05A·IGI19/06H·ZHE24/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.880.751.000.750.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.831.000.751.001.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %25% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhenys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhenys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhenys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Kaisar and Zhenys have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Kaisar and Zhenys have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (6)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Kaisar and Zhenys have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
OKZ (9)
€1m
Kaisar and Zhenys have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
KAI wins
0
Draws
0
ZHE wins

Head-to-head

Kaisar vs Zhenys · H/A from KAI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

KaisarKaisar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/06/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs KAI2-1
19/06/22HKAI Vs Taraz Karatau1-1
12/06/22ABaykonur Vs KAI0-5
28/05/22AKyran Vs KAI1-3
22/05/22HKAI Vs Okzhetpes3-2
13/05/22AAstana II Vs KAI1-1
08/05/22HKAI Vs Bulat4-0
30/04/22HKAI Vs Igilik1-0
24/04/22AYassy Turkistan Vs KAI1-2
17/04/22HKAI Vs Akademiya Ontustik3-1

ZhenysZhenys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/06/22HZHE Vs Zhetysu3-1
19/06/22AIgilik Vs ZHE2-0
28/05/22ABaykonur Vs ZHE0-4
21/05/22HZHE Vs Ekibastuz1-2
15/05/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs ZHE1-1
08/05/22HZHE Vs Taraz Karatau1-1
30/04/22AKyran Vs ZHE4-1
24/04/22HZHE Vs Okzhetpes0-3
17/04/22AAstana II Vs ZHE0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kaisar
Kaisar
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL2.30
HomeWWWWD2.60
AwayWDWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%80%60%
AVG goals3.303.203.40
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %70%60%80%
Over 3.5 %50%60%40%
Scored2.402.402.40
Conceded0.900.801.00
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Zhenys
Zhenys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.00
HomeLDLW1.00
AwayDLDWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%20%
AVG goals2.783.002.60
Over 1.5 %89%100%80%
Over 2.5 %56%75%40%
Over 3.5 %33%25%40%
Scored1.221.251.20
Conceded1.561.751.40
BTTS56%75%40%
Clean Sheet22%0%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2661
73%
2.3
8022+58
3.9
88%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2113.10.8
-
2KaisarKaisar2656
65%
2.2
6026+34
3.3
88%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3ZhetysuZhetysu2655
65%
2.1
5723+34
3.1
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1022.20.9
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2651
58%
2.0
6131+30
3.5
88%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.2
-
5KyranKyran2641
46%
1.6
5743+14
3.8
85%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.7
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2637
35%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
85%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
7Taraz KaratauTaraz Karatau2636
38%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
8ZhenysZhenys2635
38%
1.3
4036+4
2.9
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.4
-
9Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2635
38%
1.3
4854-6
3.9
81%
77%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2630
31%
1.2
4260-18
3.9
88%
88%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
11Astana IIAstana II2627
27%
1.0
5062-12
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.4
-
12IgilikIgilik2621
23%
0.8
2770-43
3.7
73%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13BulatBulat2617
15%
0.7
3672-36
4.2
92%
81%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
14BaykonurBaykonur267
4%
0.3
1671-55
3.3
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.7
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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