Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn Result & Analysis

Kalju Nomme’s recent five matches (LWWWD) ended with a narrow defeat to Laagri, while FC Levadia Tallinn are on a three-game winning streak after a 4-0 rout of Trans Narva. The model therefore favours an away win, assigning 39% to Levadia, 36% to Kalju and 25% to a draw. The expected goal output is 3.2, with the most likely total of three goals (22% probability). The single scoreline the model sees as most probable is 1-1, with a 11.4% chance. Kalju, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, whereas Levadia, on the road, averages 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Under 6.5 (95.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.3% with an 8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.6%) and Away under 3.5 goals (91.5% with a 9% edge).

Kalju Nomme’s recent form, a run of two losses before a streak of three wins, fell short as FC Levadia Tallinn, riding a four-game winning run, secured a 2-3 victory. The model had correctly picked the away win, a 39% favourite, and the final score matched the predicted 3-goal outcome. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 goals hit with a 98.3% probability, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 92.6%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 91.5%. Only the Away under 2.5 2H goals missed, with a 95.3% probability. The model’s predictions largely came through.