Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Kalju Nomme face Flora Tallinn in a match the model favours an away win, with the probability of a 44% victory for Flora balanced against a 28% chance of a home win and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% chance. Kalju’s home form shows a modest 0.67 goals scored per game and 0.83 conceded against similar opponents, while Flora’s away form is stronger, averaging 1.25 scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 74.5% and Under 3.5 goals at 73.6%. The probabilities for the match result are 28% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 44% for an away win. The match is expected to be tight, with Flora’s better away scoring edge giving them the edge in a likely 1-1 draw.

The pre-match favourite, Flora Tallinn, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Kalju Nomme’s recent form, after two straight defeats, had been a run of two losses followed by three wins, while Flora’s run was two losses and two wins. The model had given Flora a 44% chance of victory, yet the result was a stalemate. The Over 1.5 goal selection, with a 74.5% probability, hit, while the Under 3.5 goal pick, at 73.6%, missed. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 had a 13.6% chance, but the actual 2-2 outcome was outside the top three predictions.