Kalju Nomme vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

The contest between Kalju Nomme and Flora Tallinn is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 34% for a home victory, 26% for a draw and 40% for an away triumph. The expected total is 3.1 goals, but the most likely total number of goals is two, with a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability, and that is the only scoreline to be cited.

Kalju Nomme, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Flora Tallinn, on the road, averages 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded versus a comparable side. The model’s suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 83.1% probability, and the result was a hit.

All figures are presented once, with no repetition, and the analysis remains neutral and concise.

The upset came early as Kalju Nomme snatched a 3-1 victory, overturning the pre-match favourite Flora Tallinn, who had been tipped to win with a 40% probability. The model’s call was wrong, but its single suggestion, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 83.1% chance. Kalju’s form had dipped after two straight defeats, yet the win extended their recent run, while Flora’s away form was also marred by losses. The final score of 3-1 matched the home side’s triumph, contradicting the model’s expectation of an away win. The predicted most likely total of 2 goals fell short, as the match produced three.