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Kalju Nomme vs Paide Result & Analysis

Date: 29/05/2022
Time: 11:30
Final 1-0
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Vs
44%
29%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kalju Nomme win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paide win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W21W11D11D30W30W10W31W01L11DA·LEG02/04H·TAL10/04A·FC 13/04A·TAM17/04H·TRA23/04H·LEG26/04A·VAP30/04H·TAM08/05H·FC 18/05A·KUR24/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.862.000.621.831.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.251.500.501.502.001.50
vs Weaker (10)2.200.602.500.331.751.00
Clean sheet %36% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-701L50W21W12L62W70W00D01L42W30WH·FC 10/04H·LEG13/04A·TRA16/04A·KUR23/04H·VAP27/04H·TAL01/05A·FLO08/05A·FC 15/05H·TRA18/05H·TAM24/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.671.073.501.251.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.601.401.002.000.000.50
vs Weaker (10)3.700.905.000.802.401.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
Under 2.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0 ✓
10.7%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.7%
Kalju Nomme goals ↓
Paide goals →
01234
09.7%7.7%4.7%1.7%0.4%
111%14%6.7%2.4%0.6%
28.4%8.9%4.7%1.7%0.4%
34.0%4.2%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.4%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kalju Nomme goals (down), columns = Paide goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.69
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Paide
1.81
Kalju Nomme
1.81
Elva
1.50
Kuressaare
1.39
Tammeka
1.08
Trans Narva
1.06
Tallinna Kalev
0.97
Legion
0.76
Vaprus
0.31
Kalju Nomme and Paide are level in average points per game (both 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.61
Paide
2.33
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.06
Kalju Nomme
1.64
Kuressaare
1.36
Trans Narva
1.19
Tallinna Kalev
1.17
Tammeka
1.06
Legion
0.97
Vaprus
0.89
Elva
0.50
Kalju Nomme is 0.69 goals worse than Paide in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 2.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.58
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.69
Kalju Nomme
0.83
Paide
1.03
Kuressaare
1.42
Elva
1.50
Tammeka
1.58
Trans Narva
1.61
Legion
2.18
Tallinna Kalev
2.56
Vaprus
2.67
Kalju Nomme is 0.19 goals better than Paide in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W10W10W10W10W00D01L00D00DA·LEG02/04H·TAL10/04A·FC 13/04A·TAM17/04H·TRA23/04H·LEG26/04A·VAP30/04H·TAM08/05H·FC 18/05A·KUR24/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.290.750.251.170.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
vs Weaker (10)0.900.300.830.331.000.25
Clean sheet %71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W12L31W30W00D01L21W10WH·FC 10/04H·LEG13/04A·TRA16/04A·KUR23/04H·VAP27/04H·TAL01/05A·FLO08/05A·FC 15/05H·TRA18/05H·TAM24/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.671.500.620.860.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.200.800.331.000.000.50
vs Weaker (10)1.700.602.200.401.200.80
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L01L20W20W10W30W01L11DA·LEG02/04H·TAL10/04A·FC 13/04A·TAM17/04H·TRA23/04H·LEG26/04A·VAP30/04H·TAM08/05H·FC 18/05A·KUR24/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.250.380.670.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.250.001.500.501.00
vs Weaker (10)1.300.301.670.000.750.75
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PaidePaide

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W11D00D31W40W00D00D21W20WH·FC 10/04H·LEG13/04A·TRA16/04A·KUR23/04H·VAP27/04H·TAL01/05A·FLO08/05A·FC 15/05H·TRA18/05H·TAM24/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.402.000.620.860.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.600.671.000.000.00
vs Weaker (10)2.000.302.800.401.200.20
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Paide have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Paide have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Paide have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Paide have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
KN wins
0
Draws
0
PAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kalju Nomme vs Paide · H/A from KN
DateH/AGameScore
06/03/22APaide Vs KN2-3

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/22AKuressaare Vs KN1-1
18/05/22HKN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-1
08/05/22HKN Vs Tammeka3-1
30/04/22AVaprus Vs KN0-1
26/04/22HKN Vs Legion3-0
23/04/22HKN Vs Trans Narva3-0
17/04/22ATammeka Vs KN1-1
13/04/22AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KN1-1
10/04/22HKN Vs Tallinna Kalev2-1
02/04/22ALegion Vs KN2-4

PaidePaide

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/22HPAI Vs Tammeka3-0
18/05/22HPAI Vs Trans Narva4-2
15/05/22AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs PAI1-0
08/05/22AFlora Tallinn Vs PAI0-0
01/05/22HPAI Vs Tallinna Kalev7-0
27/04/22HPAI Vs Vaprus6-2
23/04/22AKuressaare Vs PAI2-1
16/04/22ATrans Narva Vs PAI1-2
13/04/22HPAI Vs Legion5-0
10/04/22HPAI Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD2.14
HomeWWWWL2.25
AwayWDDWD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%75%50%
AVG goals2.792.623.00
Over 1.5 %86%88%83%
Over 2.5 %50%62%33%
Over 3.5 %21%12%33%
Scored1.932.001.83
Conceded0.860.621.17
BTTS57%38%83%
Clean Sheet36%50%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.87
HomeWWWWW1.88
AwayWWLDL1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%57%
AVG goals3.734.752.57
Over 1.5 %80%88%71%
Over 2.5 %80%88%71%
Over 3.5 %47%62%29%
Scored2.673.501.71
Conceded1.071.250.86
BTTS53%50%57%
Clean Sheet33%38%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3697
86%
2.7
9421+73
3.2
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.60.6
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
67%
2.2
7425+49
2.8
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.10.7
-
3PaidePaide3665
53%
1.8
8437+47
3.4
78%
64%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3665
53%
1.8
5930+29
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
5KuressaareKuressaare3650
36%
1.4
4951-2
2.8
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.4
-
6TammekaTammeka3639
28%
1.1
3857-19
2.6
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
7Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
28%
1.1
4358-15
2.8
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.6
-
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3635
28%
1.0
4292-50
3.7
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
9LegionLegion3829
18%
0.8
3783-46
3.2
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
10VaprusVaprus3611
8%
0.3
3296-64
3.6
75%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.92.7
-
11ElvaElva23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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