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Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 4-2
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Vs
48%
25%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kalju Nomme win✓ Hit
48.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tammeka win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D00D60W30W00D21W15L21W22D20WA·TAL05/11A·FLO11/11A·KUR02/03H·TRA09/03A·NÕM17/03A·VAP30/03H·FC 06/04H·PAI14/04A·FLO21/04A·TAL27/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.172.211.211.311.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.081.752.002.400.431.29
vs Weaker (18)2.170.782.330.562.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W11D11D10W50W00D12L12L10W03LA·VII29/11H·VII03/12A·TAL03/03H·VAP09/03A·TRA16/03H·FLO31/03A·NÕM05/04H·KUR13/04A·PAI20/04H·FC 28/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.771.001.531.402.00
vs Stronger (13)1.151.850.571.291.832.50
vs Similar (17)1.241.711.381.751.111.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.7%
Under 2.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.0%
No
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
4.9%
Kalju Nomme goals ↓
Tammeka goals →
01234
04.9%4.4%3.7%1.7%0.6%
16.4%11%6.9%3.1%1.1%
26.9%9.4%6.4%2.9%1.0%
34.3%5.9%4.0%1.8%0.6%
42.0%2.7%1.9%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kalju Nomme goals (down), columns = Tammeka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.42
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Flora Tallinn
1.94
Trans Narva
1.17
Tammeka
1.17
Viimsi
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Kuressaare
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
0.87
Nõmme United
0.42
Kalju Nomme is 0.83 points better than Tammeka in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.28
Kalju Nomme
2.19
Paide
2.06
Flora Tallinn
1.92
Trans Narva
1.33
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
1.28
Tallinna Kalev
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Nõmme United
0.61
Viimsi
0.50
Kalju Nomme is 0.89 goals better than Tammeka in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Viimsi
0.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.53
Paide
1.08
Flora Tallinn
1.19
Kalju Nomme
1.22
Tammeka
1.50
Vaprus
1.58
Trans Narva
1.75
Kuressaare
1.86
Tallinna Kalev
1.97
Nõmme United
2.19
Kalju Nomme is 0.28 goals better than Tammeka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D30W20W00D11D13L11D11D10WA·TAL05/11A·FLO11/11A·KUR02/03H·TRA09/03A·NÕM17/03A·VAP30/03H·FC 06/04H·PAI14/04A·FLO21/04A·TAL27/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.140.710.690.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.581.171.201.400.141.00
vs Weaker (18)1.110.441.110.331.110.56
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D10W20W00D10W02L00D02LA·VII29/11H·VII03/12A·TAL03/03H·VAP09/03A·TRA16/03H·FLO31/03A·NÕM05/04H·KUR13/04A·PAI20/04H·FC 28/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.470.670.730.80
vs Stronger (13)0.620.920.290.711.001.17
vs Similar (17)0.590.590.620.620.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W10W00D10W02L10W11D10WA·TAL05/11A·FLO11/11A·KUR02/03H·TRA09/03A·NÕM17/03A·VAP30/03H·FC 06/04H·PAI14/04A·FLO21/04A·TAL27/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.431.070.500.620.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.580.801.000.290.29
vs Weaker (18)1.060.331.220.220.890.44
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W11D00D30W00D02L10W10W01LA·VII29/11H·VII03/12A·TAL03/03H·VAP09/03A·TRA16/03H·FLO31/03A·NÕM05/04H·KUR13/04A·PAI20/04H·FC 28/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.530.870.671.20
vs Stronger (13)0.540.920.290.570.831.33
vs Similar (17)0.651.120.751.120.561.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Kalju Nomme's squad is €2m more valuable than Tammeka's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Tammeka have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Tammeka have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kalju Nomme's defence is €2m more valuable than Tammeka's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
KN wins
3
Draws
2
TAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka · H/A from KN
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23HKN Vs Tammeka4-1
13/08/23ATammeka Vs KN1-1
24/05/23HKN Vs Tammeka1-2
16/04/23ATammeka Vs KN0-2
08/10/22ATammeka Vs KN3-0
21/08/22HKN Vs Tammeka1-1
08/05/22HKN Vs Tammeka3-1
17/04/22ATammeka Vs KN1-1

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24ATallinna Kalev Vs KN0-2
21/04/24AFlora Tallinn Vs KN2-2
14/04/24HKN Vs Paide2-1
06/04/24HKN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-5
30/03/24AVaprus Vs KN1-2
17/03/24ANõmme United Vs KN0-0
09/03/24HKN Vs Trans Narva3-0
02/03/24AKuressaare Vs KN0-6
11/11/23AFlora Tallinn Vs KN0-0
05/11/23ATallinna Kalev Vs KN1-1

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24HTAM Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-3
20/04/24APaide Vs TAM0-1
13/04/24HTAM Vs Kuressaare1-2
05/04/24ANõmme United Vs TAM2-1
31/03/24HTAM Vs Flora Tallinn0-0
16/03/24ATrans Narva Vs TAM0-5
09/03/24HTAM Vs Vaprus1-0
03/03/24ATallinna Kalev Vs TAM1-1
03/12/23HTAM Vs Viimsi1-1
29/11/23AViimsi Vs TAM0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.52
HomeWDWLW1.83
AwayWDWDW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%30%
AVG goals2.562.912.26
Over 1.5 %74%74%74%
Over 2.5 %46%52%41%
Over 3.5 %22%30%15%
Scored1.461.781.19
Conceded1.101.131.07
BTTS46%57%37%
Clean Sheet40%39%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.00
HomeDWDLL1.08
AwayWDWLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%23%21%
AVG goals2.602.272.96
Over 1.5 %78%69%88%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %18%12%25%
Scored1.080.961.21
Conceded1.521.311.75
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3687
75%
2.4
8219+63
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.30.5
-
2Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3672
58%
2.0
7944+35
3.4
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.21.2
-
3PaidePaide3672
64%
2.0
7439+35
3.1
81%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.11.1
-
4Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3670
58%
1.9
6943+26
3.1
78%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
5TammekaTammeka3642
31%
1.2
4754-7
2.8
81%
61%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.5
-
6Trans NarvaTrans Narva3642
28%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
58%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
7VaprusVaprus3635
25%
1.0
3557-22
2.6
69%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3634
22%
0.9
4667-21
3.1
81%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.9
-
9Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3833
21%
0.9
3875-37
3.0
84%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3615
6%
0.4
2279-57
2.8
86%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.62.2
-
11ViimsiViimsi22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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