PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva Result & Analysis

Date: 15/06/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Vs
49%
23%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Kalju Nomme win✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva win✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W20W21W61W32W20W10W40W02L10WH·LAA09/04A·KUR12/04A·TRA19/04H·TAL22/04A·FLO27/04H·FC 04/05A·TAM10/05H·KUR18/05H·PAI28/05A·TAL01/06
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.302.531.331.801.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.382.081.571.711.172.50
vs Weaker (17)2.760.713.381.002.220.44
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W21W12L21W12L40W42W52W42W10WH·TAL08/04A·TAM13/04H·KAL19/04A·VAP23/04A·KUR27/04H·TAM03/05H·VAP11/05A·TAL19/05H·LAA27/05A·PAI31/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.301.271.402.071.20
vs Stronger (12)1.001.500.501.501.501.50
vs Similar (18)2.111.171.781.332.441.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.2%
Under 1.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.5%
Under 2.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.2%
No
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0 ✓
5.9%
1-0
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
Kalju Nomme goals ↓
Trans Narva goals →
01234
03.6%3.4%3.2%1.7%0.6%
14.8%9.6%6.7%3.4%1.3%
25.9%9.0%6.9%3.5%1.3%
34.0%6.1%4.7%2.4%0.9%
42.1%3.2%2.4%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kalju Nomme goals (down), columns = Trans Narva goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
Kalju Nomme is 0.64 points better than Trans Narva in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
Kalju Nomme is 0.44 goals better than Trans Narva in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
Kalju Nomme is 0.42 goals better than Trans Narva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.44).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D10W11D11D20W10W20W00D10WH·LAA09/04A·KUR12/04A·TRA19/04H·TAL22/04A·FLO27/04H·FC 04/05A·TAM10/05H·KUR18/05H·PAI28/05A·TAL01/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.330.530.870.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.850.570.710.331.00
vs Weaker (17)1.590.242.000.381.220.11
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D01L20W01L10W11D50W20W10WH·TAL08/04A·TAM13/04H·KAL19/04A·VAP23/04A·KUR27/04H·TAM03/05H·VAP11/05A·TAL19/05H·LAA27/05A·PAI31/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.400.401.200.47
vs Stronger (12)0.420.500.170.500.670.50
vs Similar (18)1.060.390.560.331.560.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D20W11D50W21W00D00D20W02L00DH·LAA09/04A·KUR12/04A·TRA19/04H·TAL22/04A·FLO27/04H·FC 04/05A·TAM10/05H·KUR18/05H·PAI28/05A·TAL01/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.801.200.800.930.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.921.231.001.000.831.50
vs Weaker (17)1.180.471.380.621.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D01L11D30W31W02L22D00DH·TAL08/04A·TAM13/04H·KAL19/04A·VAP23/04A·KUR27/04H·TAM03/05H·VAP11/05A·TAL19/05H·LAA27/05A·PAI31/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.870.871.000.870.73
vs Stronger (12)0.581.000.331.000.831.00
vs Similar (18)1.060.781.221.000.890.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Kalju Nomme's squad is €2m more valuable than Trans Narva's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Trans Narva have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Kalju Nomme and Trans Narva have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Kalju Nomme's defence is €1m more valuable than Trans Narva's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
KN wins
2
Draws
2
TN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva · H/A from KN
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25ATrans Narva Vs KN1-2
20/10/24HKN Vs Trans Narva2-2
13/07/24ATrans Narva Vs KN2-2
02/06/24ATrans Narva Vs KN4-1
09/03/24HKN Vs Trans Narva3-0
21/10/23ATrans Narva Vs KN2-1
05/08/23HKN Vs Trans Narva4-0
20/05/23ATrans Narva Vs KN0-2

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/25ATallinna Kalev Vs KN0-1
28/05/25HKN Vs Paide0-2
18/05/25HKN Vs Kuressaare4-0
10/05/25ATammeka Vs KN0-1
04/05/25HKN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-0
27/04/25AFlora Tallinn Vs KN2-3
22/04/25HKN Vs Tallinna Kalev6-1
19/04/25ATrans Narva Vs KN1-2
12/04/25AKuressaare Vs KN0-2
09/04/25HKN Vs Laagri3-0

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25APaide Vs TN0-1
27/05/25HTN Vs Laagri4-2
19/05/25ATallinna Kalev Vs TN2-5
11/05/25HTN Vs Vaprus4-2
03/05/25HTN Vs Tammeka4-0
27/04/25AKuressaare Vs TN2-1
23/04/25AVaprus Vs TN1-2
19/04/25HTN Vs Kalju Nomme1-2
13/04/25ATammeka Vs TN1-2
08/04/25HTN Vs Tallinna Kalev1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.00
HomeWWWWL2.08
AwayWWWWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals3.283.682.88
Over 1.5 %90%96%84%
Over 2.5 %70%80%60%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored2.082.441.72
Conceded1.201.241.16
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.46
HomeWLWWW1.19
AwayWWLWW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%31%50%
AVG goals3.062.813.33
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %60%50%71%
Over 3.5 %42%35%50%
Scored1.581.311.88
Conceded1.481.501.46
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet26%19%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches